How often it went up33 measured cases
These odds in plain words
as of · counted from every past case of this pattern
Delistings of micro-cap tokens with BTC below its 50-day average: 33 of the 38 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 2 of those 33 closed higher — a base rate of 6%, with a 90% range of 2% to 17%, counted as of Oct 4, 2026.
- By day 30, 0 of the 9 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (0%).
- The typical day-30 move was −22.0%, the best −3.5% and the worst −42.5%.
- Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran −21.2% vs BTC and beat it in 0.0% of 9 comparable cases.
- Recent-cases check: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 0% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 15% of the time, so the count stayed on the same side on the newest cases.
Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched
Coming upON RECORD
Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern
as of · upcoming events
NO DATA YET Bitcoin's trend on a future day is only known on that day, so no scheduled delisting can be matched to this pattern before it happens.
Scheduled ones without the BTC condition: Delistings of micro-cap tokens →
Every past case38 cases
Every past delisting behind these odds
as of · events and their measured price moves
All 38 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.
| Date | Token | Venue / size | Next day | 30 days | vs BTC | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ||||||
| Alchemix (ALCX) | Binance | −29.2% | — | — | down next day | |
| Ardor (ARDR) | Binance | +1.9% | — | — | up next day | |
| Contentos (COS) | Binance | −24.8% | — | — | down next day | |
| Highstreet Token (HIGH) | Binance | −22.6% | — | — | down next day | |
| Mobox (MBOX) | Binance | −42.5% | — | — | down next day | |
| Major (MAJOR) | OKX | −8.4% | −42.5% | −19.9% | down next day | |
| Alchemix (ALCX) | Binance | −8.1% | −6.7% | −6.9% | down next day | |
| RSS3 (RSS3) | OKX | −16.2% | −37.2% | −41.3% | down next day | |
| Aavegotchi (GHST) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Realio Network (RIO) | OKX | −35.5% | −3.5% | −7.5% | down next day | |
| Sweat Economy (SWEAT) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| ChessCoin 0.32% (CHESS) | Binance | +7.5% | — | — | up next day | |
| Aavegotchi (GHST) | Binance | −26.7% | — | — | down next day | |
| NKN (NKN) | Binance | −16.2% | — | — | down next day | |
| 2025 | ||||||
| Ice Network (ICE) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Unit 00 - Rei (REI) | Binance | −14.9% | — | — | down next day | |
| pSTAKE Finance (PSTAKE) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Radio Caca (RACA) | OKX | −0.2% | −26.0% | −29.0% | sideways next day | |
| Kadena (KDA) | OKX | −32.1% | — | — | down next day | |
| Ampleforth Governance Token (FORTH) | OKX | −9.7% | −22.0% | −15.4% | down next day | |
| Terra Classic USD (USTC) | OKX | −12.4% | −40.6% | −34.0% | down next day | |
| Ethernity Chain (ERN) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Moonbeam (GLMR) | OKX | −2.8% | −15.8% | −25.4% | down next day | |
| Moonriver (MOVR) | OKX | −6.1% | −11.6% | −21.2% | down next day | |
| Badger (BADGER) | Binance | −19.9% | — | — | down next day | |
| Balancer (BAL) | Binance | −17.0% | — | — | down next day | |
| Cortex (CTXC) | Binance | −34.1% | — | — | down next day | |
| Firo (FIRO) | Binance | −40.3% | — | — | down next day | |
| Kava Lend (HARD) | Binance | −65.8% | — | — | down next day | |
| Status (SNT) | Binance | −8.2% | — | — | down next day | |
| Troy (TROY) | Binance | −23.0% | — | — | down next day | |
| VIDT DAO (VIDT) | Binance | −0.8% | — | — | sideways next day | |
| Aergo (AERGO) | Binance | −11.3% | — | — | down next day | |
| VITE (VITE) | Binance | −49.5% | — | — | down next day | |
| 2024 | ||||||
| BarnBridge (BOND) | Binance | −26.1% | — | — | down next day | |
| Dock (DOCK) | Binance | −27.4% | — | — | down next day | |
| MDEX (HECO) (MDX) | Binance | −1.1% | — | — | down next day | |
| Polkastarter (POLS) | Binance | −6.0% | — | — | down next day | |
Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched
How this is counted
How these odds are counted
as of · methodology
This page is a count of 33 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (market-cap bucket and BTC regime), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.
- Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
- Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose majority side flips is flagged as flipped.
- Past patterns can stop working.
The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.
Questions
Questions about this pattern
as of · answers generated from this count
- What does the 6% figure on this page mean?
- It is a base rate: 2 of the 33 measured past cases of delistings of micro-cap tokens with BTC below its 50-day average closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 4, 2026.
- It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 2% to 17% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
- How is a case measured?
- Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
- The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
- Why does this pattern exist and others not?
- A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
- This one has 33.
- Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
- What does the recent-cases check say here?
- The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 0% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 15% of the time.
- A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
- Where do the 38 cases come from?
- From this site's own event history: every delisting with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
- The full list, with dates, is on this page.