$1.06+5.6%24hmcap $880.13M · its own chain · rank #90
1
The prediction
as of Oct 4, 2026
FIL price prediction for tomorrow
52%chance FIL is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $880.13M · mid-cap
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 48% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 46.4% of 10,929 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 262 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−30%−20%−10%0%+10%−15%−10%−5%0%+5%+10%−7.6% in 7 days↑ 100% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 9 rose · ▼ 11 fell · ◆ 10 sideways(±1.8% over 1 day)
Bold: FIL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 262 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to FIL's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.995−6%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$1.05−0.6%half did better, half worse
Good case$1.12+6%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.6%
Likely range
−6% to +6%$0.995 – $1.12
300 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.8% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
FIL price prediction for this week
50%chance FIL is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $880.13M · mid-cap
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 50% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 36,473 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 262 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−30%−20%−10%0%+10%−20%0%+20%+40%−7.6% in 7 days↑ 100% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 12 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±4.6% over 7 days)
Bold: FIL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 262 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to FIL's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.885−16%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$1.05−0.1%half did better, half worse
Good case$1.35+28%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.1%
Likely range
−16% to +28%$0.885 – $1.35
291 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.4% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
FIL price prediction for the next 30 days
66%chance FIL is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $880.13M · mid-cap
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 34% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 262 matched past setups
next 30 days
−30%−20%−10%0%+10%−50%0%+50%+100%−7.6% in 7 days↑ 100% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 8 rose · ▼ 16 fell · ◆ 6 sideways(±9.1% over 30 days)
Bold: FIL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 262 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to FIL's volatility.
Bad case$0.688−35%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.959−9.0%half did better, half worse
Good case$1.41+34%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−9.0%
Likely range
−35% to +34%$0.688 – $1.41
262 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 63.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this FIL prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for FIL in setups like this: short, hold 30 days, 1× — profitable 65.1% of the time, typical +8.4% (n=262).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±5.5% over 30 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 388 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 262 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own FIL trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade FIL · by share of the last day's volume
FIL$1.0652% ▼ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 9× → +3.6%open calculator
FIL$1.0650% ▼ 7Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 7Dopen calculator
FIL$1.0666% ▼ 30Dbest play▼ Short 30D 1× → +8.4%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in FIL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (300 cases) into 48% higher.
Down 8% over 7 days
Down 8% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (52,549 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
91% below its high
91% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (131,564 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
Up 39% over 30 days
Up 39% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (39,806 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (168,672 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in FIL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (291 cases) into 50% higher.
Down 8% over 7 days
Down 8% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 44% of the time (52,149 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Up 39% over 30 days
Up 39% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (38,824 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,458 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
91% below its high
91% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a week later 42% of the time (129,935 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in FIL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (262 cases) into 34% higher.
Down 8% over 7 days
Down 8% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (50,697 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (82,194 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Up 39% over 30 days
Up 39% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (35,679 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
91% below its high
91% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (124,083 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Our record on FIL
Our last 6 calls on FIL over 30 days: right on 1 of 6 · 3 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on FIL: 61.7% hit rate, 81.2% inside the range (47 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 60% down · ended −4.4%✓ rightAug 2 said 56% down · ended +8.4%✗ wrongAug 9 said 56% down · ended +20.6%✗ wrongAug 16 said 65% down · ended +22.3%✗ wrongAug 23 said 60% down · ended +34.9%✗ wrongAug 30 said 66% down · ended +60.4%✗ wrong
white: FIL's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 2 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 41 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
6
higher 30 days after
—
typical 30-day move
—
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED6 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
FIL: 6 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Binance listed FIL on Aug 11, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
2021
all-time high FIL all-time high: $236.97
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. FIL set an all-time high on Apr 1, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
FIL-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, TRY, USDT, USDC). OKX listed FIL on Jan 29, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
FIL-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading (quotes: USD, USDT). OKX opened perpetual futures for FIL on Aug 10, 2019; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How FIL's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
FIL median day 30
FIL n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 4, 2026
Venue · kind
FIL median day 7
FIL n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 4, 2026
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
FIL median day 1
FIL n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 4, 2026
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on FIL · questions · sources
FIL in short
Filecoin (FIL), a crypto token on its own chain with no start date recorded, stands at rank #90 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 99.5% below its Apr 1, 2021 high.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the price is $1.06 (+5.6% over 24 hours), market cap $880.1M, fully diluted value $2.07B, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; FIL is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the record for Filecoin runs to 6 events, of which 4 are spot listings, 1 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks and 0 funding rounds; 0 carry a day-30 measurement with a median of not yet measurable.
From the latest data refresh
Filecoin (FIL), crypto on its own chain, holds rank #90 by market cap on Oct 4, 2026 and trades 99.5% under its Apr 1, 2021 high.
6 events are on record as of Oct 4, 2026.
Since PatternPlus began recording on Oct 3, 2026 (2 daily snapshots), rank moved from #90 to #90.
FIL is on 4 spot and 1 perpetual venues on record; the earliest dated listing was OKX (perp) on Aug 10, 2019.
No listing of FIL has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 4, 2026.
No unlock schedule is on record for FIL as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for FIL as of Oct 4, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Filecoin as of Oct 4, 2026.
Filecoin lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 4, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Filecoin as of Oct 4, 2026.
DefiLlama reports not reported TVL and $76,682 revenue over 30 days as of Oct 4, 2026;
revenue to market cap of 0.001 sits at the 32nd percentile of 1495 all tokens on record tokens.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for FIL on its own chain as of Oct 4, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade FIL; the check is retried at every rebuild.
As of Oct 4, 2026 FIL trades on 4 spot venues and 1 perpetual venues with dated listings, from OKX on Aug 10, 2019 to OKX on Jan 29, 2021; the first perpetual opened on OKX on Aug 10, 2019, 538 days before the first spot pair.
0 delistings are on record for FIL as of Oct 4, 2026.
1083 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no FIL listing on record as of Oct 4, 2026 (Bitget, Azbit, Pionex, WEEX, Lbank and Gate, among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Filecoin trades 99.5% below its all-time high of $236.97, set on Apr 1, 2021, 2,012 days before Oct 4, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.53).
Price change as of Oct 4, 2026: −0.7% over 1 hour, +5.6% over 24 hours, −7.4% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
With $880.1M market cap against $2.07B fully diluted, 57.5% of FIL's valuation is in non-circulating supply as of Oct 4, 2026.
24-hour volume of $67.2M is 7.6% of market cap as of Oct 4, 2026.
Circulating supply is 833.3M of 1.96B total (42.5%) and a maximum of 1.96B.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1495 tokens, so FIL sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 4, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for Filecoin as of Oct 4, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol FIL as of Oct 4, 2026.
No former name, former symbol or alias is recorded for Filecoin as of Oct 4, 2026.
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Dec 13, 2017, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 4, 2026: CoinPaprika id fil-filecoin, DefiLlama slug filecoin, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Filecoin as of Oct 4, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 4, 2026.
Over the 30 days to Oct 4, 2026 DefiLlama records $76,682 of fees and $76,682 of revenue for Filecoin, against not reported of TVL; revenue to market cap is 0.001, the 32nd percentile among 1495 all tokens on record tokens.
Annualised revenue of $920,184 gives a price-to-sales multiple of 956.5x at the $880.1M market cap of Oct 4, 2026.
DefiLlama records no parent protocol for Filecoin (not a fork).
No oracle is listed for Filecoin on DefiLlama.
DefiLlama lists Filecoin under 'Chain' (slug filecoin).
DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Set against 1495 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 4, 2026, Filecoin ranks at the 94th percentile for market cap, the 10th for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $13.9M, the median distance from ATH −94.9% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Lighter (#89), Liquid Staked Ethereum (#91), Binance Staked SOL (#88), PancakeSwap (#92) and Pi Network (#87).
Market cap: $880.1M (P94 of 1495; peer median $13.9M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 7.63% (P73 of 1495; peer median 2.47%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1495; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −99.5% (P10 of 1495; peer median −94.9%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.001 (P32 of 279; peer median 0.006).
peer set: all tokens on record (1495 tokens); as of Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026: 52% chance FIL is lower tomorrow — a coin flip, typical move −0.6%, likely range −5.5% to +6.5%, from 300 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the Filecoin price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 4, 2026: 50% chance FIL is lower over the next 7 days — a coin flip, typical move −0.1%, likely range −16.0% to +27.7%, from 291 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the FIL price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 4, 2026: 66% chance FIL is lower over the next 30 days, typical move −9.0%, likely range −34.7% to +34.2%, from 262 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these FIL predictions?
Across 47 backtested 30-day calls on FIL, the call was right 61.7% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 81.2% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 1 of 6 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind Filecoin?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Filecoin as of Oct 4, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next FIL unlock?
No future unlock is on record for FIL as of Oct 4, 2026.
Is FIL listed on Binance?
Yes; Binance listed FIL.
How far is FIL from its all-time high?
99.5% below the $236.97 high of Apr 1, 2021, 2,012 days ago, at $1.06 on Oct 4, 2026.
Has Filecoin been hacked?
No hack is on record for Filecoin as of Oct 4, 2026; 0 audit links are listed.
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 4 exchanges (Binance, Coinbase, OKX and Upbit) as of Oct 4, 2026.
3 of 5 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 14 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6)
2026-10-04 19:24 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
0 of 5 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
—
2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 4, 2026 19:21 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x08280), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
hedgey last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY;
Optimism logs: HTTP 4), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 6,181 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.