$0.0497+9.2%24hmcap $56.15M · its own chain · rank #378
1
The prediction
as of Oct 4, 2026
MEGA price prediction for tomorrow
53%chance MEGA is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $56.15M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 47% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 46.4% of 10,929 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 1963 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−40%−30%−20%−10%0%−15%−10%−5%0%+5%+10%+29% in 30 days↑ 76% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 8 rose · ▼ 17 fell · ◆ 5 sideways(±1.7% over 1 day)
Bold: MEGA's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 1963 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to MEGA's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0464−7%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0497−0.4%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0538+8%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.4%
Likely range
−7% to +8%$0.0464 – $0.0538
2,298 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.8% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
MEGA price prediction for this week
59%chance MEGA is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $56.15M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 41% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 36,473 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 1963 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−40%−30%−20%−10%0%−40%−20%0%+20%+40%+29% in 30 days↑ 76% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 9 rose · ▼ 11 fell · ◆ 10 sideways(±5.8% over 7 days)
Bold: MEGA's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 1963 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to MEGA's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0404−19%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0482−3.4%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0610+22%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−3.4%
Likely range
−19% to +22%$0.0404 – $0.0610
2,245 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.4% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
MEGA price prediction for the next 30 days
65%chance MEGA is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $56.15M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 35% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 1963 matched past setups
next 30 days
−40%−30%−20%−10%0%−50%0%+50%+100%+29% in 30 days↑ 76% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 14 fell · ◆ 6 sideways(±12% over 30 days)
Bold: MEGA's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 1963 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to MEGA's volatility.
Bad case$0.0312−37%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0444−11.0%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0675+35%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−11.0%
Likely range
−37% to +35%$0.0312 – $0.0675
1,963 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 63.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this MEGA prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for MEGA in setups like this: short, hold 30 days, 1× — profitable 63.6% of the time, typical +10.4% (n=1963).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±5.5% over 30 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 385 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 1,963 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own MEGA trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade MEGA · by share of the last day's volume
MEGA$0.049753% ▼ 1Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 1Dopen calculator
MEGA$0.049759% ▼ 7Dbest play▼ Short 7D 2× → +7.4%open calculator
MEGA$0.049765% ▼ 30Dbest play▼ Short 30D 1× → +10%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in MEGA's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (2,298 cases) into 47% higher.
Up 14% over 7 days
Up 14% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 45% of the time (37,341 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 45% · normal 46% higher a day later
70% below its high
70% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (131,564 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
Up 29% over 30 days
Up 29% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (39,806 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (168,672 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in MEGA's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (2,245 cases) into 41% higher.
Up 14% over 7 days
Up 14% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 40% of the time (36,949 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 40% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Up 29% over 30 days
Up 29% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (38,824 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,458 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($56.2M market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 42% of the time (63,184 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in MEGA's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (1,963 cases) into 35% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (82,194 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Up 29% over 30 days
Up 29% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (35,679 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($56.2M market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 35% of the time (61,807 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 35% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
70% below its high
70% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (124,083 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Our record on MEGA
Our last 1 call on MEGA over 30 days: right on 0 of 1 · 1 of 1 ended inside our range
Aug 30 said 66% down · ended +14.5%✗ wrong
white: MEGA's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 2 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 45 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
4
higher 30 days after
0 of 4
typical 30-day move
−62.1%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED4 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
MEGA: 4 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2026
all-time high MEGA all-time high: $0.2109
—
—
−4.2%
−27.5%
−62.1%
−59.6%
−78.1%
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Apr 30, 2026 MEGA set an all-time high; it fell 4.2% by day 1 and was 62.1% lower 30 days later, 60 points behind BTC.
MEGA-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, USDT, USDC). On Apr 30, 2026OKX listed MEGA; it fell 4.2% by day 1 and was 62.1% lower 30 days later, 60 points behind BTC.
MEGA-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. On Apr 30, 2026OKX opened perpetual futures for MEGA; it fell 4.2% by day 1 and was 62.1% lower 30 days later, 60 points behind BTC.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How MEGA's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
MEGA median day 30
MEGA n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
all venues · all-time high
−62.1%
1
−40.3%
429
6.1%
below
Binance · spot listing
−62.1%
1
−19.0%
71
31.0%
below
OKX · spot listing
−62.1%
1
−22.3%
107
28.0%
below
OKX · perpetual listing
−62.1%
1
−22.7%
138
30.4%
below
Venue · kind
MEGA median day 7
MEGA n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
all venues · all-time high
−27.5%
1
−17.7%
—
—
below
Binance · spot listing
−27.5%
1
−10.4%
—
—
below
OKX · spot listing
−27.5%
1
−10.1%
—
—
below
OKX · perpetual listing
−27.5%
1
−14.1%
—
—
below
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
MEGA median day 1
MEGA n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
all venues · all-time high
−4.2%
1
−4.1%
—
—
below
Binance · spot listing
−4.2%
1
−1.9%
—
—
below
OKX · spot listing
−4.2%
1
−2.3%
—
—
below
OKX · perpetual listing
−4.2%
1
−2.6%
—
—
below
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on MEGA · questions · sources
MEGA in short
Filed under crypto on its own chain, MegaETH (MEGA) has been with no start date recorded; it holds rank #378 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026 and trades 76.2% below its Apr 30, 2026 high.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the price is $0.0497 (+9.2% over 24 hours), market cap $56.2M, fully diluted value $497M, holder count not reported, $824,879 TVL.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; MEGA is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the record for MegaETH runs to 4 events, of which 2 are spot listings, 1 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks and 0 funding rounds; 4 carry a day-30 measurement with a median of −62.1%.
From the latest data refresh
MegaETH (MEGA) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #378 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 76.2% below its Apr 30, 2026 high.
Its 3 measured listings show a median day-30 move of −62.1%, 0 of them above the venue median.
2 daily snapshots run from Oct 3, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026; over that span the rank went from #378 to #378.
MEGA is on 4 spot and 1 perpetual venues on record; the earliest dated listing was OKX (perp) on Apr 30, 2026.
3 of its listings have a measured day-30 outcome (median −62.1%); 0 finished above the venue's own listing median and 3 below.
No unlock schedule is on record for MEGA as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for MEGA as of Oct 4, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for MegaETH as of Oct 4, 2026.
MegaETH lists 1 audit link on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 4, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for MegaETH as of Oct 4, 2026.
DefiLlama reports $824,879 TVL and not reported revenue over 30 days as of Oct 4, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Across 429 all-time highs across every token on record, the median move is −4.1% on day 1 and −40.3% by day 30; 6.1% were still up after 30 days; MEGA's one sits below that median at −62.1%.
Across 71 spot listings on Binance, the median move is −1.9% on day 1 and −19.0% by day 30;
31.0% were still up after 30 days;
MEGA's one sits below that median at −62.1%.
Across 107 spot listings on OKX, the median move is −2.3% on day 1 and −22.3% by day 30;
28.0% were still up after 30 days;
MEGA's one sits below that median at −62.1%.
Across 138 perpetual listings on OKX, the median move is −2.6% on day 1 and −22.7% by day 30;
30.4% were still up after 30 days;
MEGA's one sits below that median at −62.1%.
MEGA sits above the venue median in 0 of 4 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 4, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for MEGA on its own chain as of Oct 4, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade MEGA; the check is retried at every rebuild.
4 events since Apr 30, 2026; 4 of the 4 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best MEGA all-time high: $0.2109 on Apr 30, 2026 (−62.1%), worst MEGA all-time high: $0.2109 on Apr 30, 2026 (−62.1%).
158 daily closes from Apr 30, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 2 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $0.2109 on Apr 30, 2026, 157 days before Oct 4, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 4, 2026.
MEGA is on 4 spot and 1 perpetual venues on record; the earliest was OKX (perp) on Apr 30, 2026 and the latest OKX (perp) on Apr 30, 2026; the first perpetual opened on OKX on Apr 30, 2026, the same day as the first spot pair.
0 delistings are on record for MEGA as of Oct 4, 2026.
1083 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no MEGA listing on record as of Oct 4, 2026 (Bitget, Azbit, Pionex, WEEX, Lbank and Gate, among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 4, 2026.
The all-time high on record for MegaETH is $0.2109 on Apr 30, 2026, 157 days ago as of Oct 4, 2026; the price is 76.2% below it; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.61).
Price change as of Oct 4, 2026: +0.1% over 1 hour, +9.2% over 24 hours, +10.1% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
With $56.2M market cap against $497M fully diluted, 88.7% of MEGA's valuation is in non-circulating supply as of Oct 4, 2026.
24-hour volume of $20.8M is 37.1% of market cap as of Oct 4, 2026.
Circulating supply is 1.13B of 10B total (11.3%) and a maximum of 10B.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1495 tokens, so MEGA sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 4, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for MegaETH as of Oct 4, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol MEGA as of Oct 4, 2026.
MegaETH shares its ticker with MEGA (Make ETH Great Again), MEGA (Make Europe Great Again), MEGA (MegaWorld) and MEGA (Megaton Finance) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 4, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Apr 30, 2026, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 4, 2026: CoinPaprika id mega-megaeth, DefiLlama slug megaton-finance, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for MegaETH as of Oct 4, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 4, 2026.
Among 1495 all tokens on record tokens, MegaETH is at the 75th percentile by market cap, 77th by distance from ATH and unranked by share unlocked as of Oct 4, 2026.
The peer median market cap is $13.9M, the median distance from ATH −94.9% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Jelly-My-Jelly (#378), Oasis Network (#377), Huma Finance (#376), Unipoly Coin (#380) and Augur (#375).
Market cap: $56.2M (P75 of 1495; peer median $13.9M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 37.12% (P93 of 1495; peer median 2.47%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1495; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −76.2% (P77 of 1495; peer median −94.9%).
TVL: $824,879 (P36 of 419; peer median $5.5M).
peer set: all tokens on record (1495 tokens); as of Oct 4, 2026.
3 of 5 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 14 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6)
2026-10-04 19:24 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
0 of 5 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
—
2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 4, 2026 19:21 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x08280), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
hedgey last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY;
Optimism logs: HTTP 4), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 4,703 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.