$0.0957+4.9%24hmcap $172.32M · its own chain · rank #205
1
The prediction
as of Oct 4, 2026
XPL price prediction for tomorrow
50%chance XPL is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $172.32M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 50% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 46.4% of 10,929 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 1596 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−20%−10%0%+10%+20%−20%−10%0%+10%+3.1% in 30 days↑ 95% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 8 rose · ▼ 14 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±2.1% over 1 day)
Bold: XPL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 1596 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to XPL's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0907−6%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.09610%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.102+6%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
0.0%
Likely range
−6% to +6%$0.0907 – $0.102
1,668 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.8% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
XPL price prediction for this week
51%chance XPL is higher
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $172.32M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 51% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 36,473 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 1596 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−20%−10%0%+10%+20%−40%−20%0%+20%+40%+3.1% in 30 days↑ 95% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 12 rose · ▼ 10 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±5.4% over 7 days)
Bold: XPL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 1596 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to XPL's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0804−16%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0963+0.2%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.122+27%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
+0.2%
Likely range
−16% to +27%$0.0804 – $0.122
1,659 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.4% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
XPL price prediction for the next 30 days
66%chance XPL is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $172.32M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 34% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 1596 matched past setups
next 30 days
−20%−10%0%+10%+20%−50%0%+50%+3.1% in 30 days↑ 95% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 3 rose · ▼ 19 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±7.1% over 30 days)
Bold: XPL's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 1596 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to XPL's volatility.
Bad case$0.0585−39%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0882−8.2%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.133+39%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−8.2%
Likely range
−39% to +39%$0.0585 – $0.133
1,596 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 63.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this XPL prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for XPL in setups like this: short, hold 21 days, 1× — profitable 61.3% of the time, typical +7.1% (n=1596).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±4.6% over 21 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 382 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 1,596 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own XPL trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade XPL · by share of the last day's volume
XPL$0.095750% ▼ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 3× → +0.6%open calculator
XPL$0.095751% ▲ 7Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 7Dopen calculator
XPL$0.095766% ▼ 30Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 30Dopen calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in XPL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (1,668 cases) into 50% higher.
Down 10% over 7 days
Down 10% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (52,549 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (+3%). After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 45% of the time (61,195 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 45% · normal 46% higher a day later
94% below its high
94% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (131,564 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (168,672 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in XPL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (1,659 cases) into 51% higher.
Down 10% over 7 days
Down 10% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 44% of the time (52,149 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,458 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (+3%). After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (60,656 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($172.3M market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 42% of the time (63,184 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in XPL's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (1,596 cases) into 34% higher.
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (+3%). After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 40% of the time (58,494 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 40% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Down 10% over 7 days
Down 10% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (50,697 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (82,194 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($172.3M market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 35% of the time (61,807 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 35% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Our record on XPL
Our last 6 calls on XPL over 30 days: right on 1 of 6 · 5 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on XPL: 46.9% hit rate, 90.6% inside the range (32 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 57% down · ended +6.1%✗ wrongAug 2 said 57% down · ended +8.7%✗ wrongAug 9 said 57% down · ended +28.3%✗ wrongAug 16 said 67% down · ended +9.4%✗ wrongAug 23 said 70% down · ended −5.2%✓ rightAug 30 said 73% down · ended +13.9%✗ wrong
white: XPL's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 2 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 39 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
3
higher 30 days after
0 of 2
typical 30-day move
−69.1%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED3 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
XPL: 3 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
XPL-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, TRY, USDT, USDC). Announced 2025-09-26: OKX will launch XPL/USD and XPL/USDT for spot trading On Sep 25, 2025OKX listed XPL; it fell 4.3% by day 1 and was 69.3% lower 30 days later, 68 points behind BTC.
all-time high XPL all-time high: $1.87
—
—
—
+13.7%
−68.8%
−62.4%
−89.3%
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Sep 21, 2025 XPL set an all-time high; it was not measured by day 1 and was 68.8% lower 30 days later, 62 points behind BTC.
XPL-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. OKX opened perpetual futures for XPL on Aug 28, 2025; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How XPL's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
XPL median day 30
XPL n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
OKX · spot listing
−69.3%
1
−22.3%
107
28.0%
below
all venues · all-time high
−68.8%
1
−40.3%
429
6.1%
below
Venue · kind
XPL median day 7
XPL n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
OKX · spot listing
−26.9%
1
−10.1%
—
—
below
all venues · all-time high
+13.7%
1
−17.7%
—
—
above
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
XPL median day 1
XPL n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
OKX · spot listing
−4.3%
1
−2.3%
—
—
below
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on XPL · questions · sources
XPL in short
Plasma (XPL), a crypto token on its own chain with no start date recorded, stands at rank #205 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 94.9% below its Sep 21, 2025 high.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the price is $0.0957 (+4.9% over 24 hours), market cap $172.3M, fully diluted value $957.3M, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; XPL is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the record for Plasma runs to 3 events, of which 1 are spot listings, 1 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks and 0 funding rounds; 2 carry a day-30 measurement with a median of −69.1%.
From the latest data refresh
Plasma (XPL) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #205 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 94.9% below its Sep 21, 2025 high.
Its 1 measured listing shows a median day-30 move of −69.3%, 0 of it above the venue median.
Since PatternPlus began recording on Oct 3, 2026 (2 daily snapshots), rank moved from #205 to #205.
4 spot pairs and 1 perpetual instruments are live for XPL as of Oct 4, 2026, starting with OKX on Aug 28, 2025.
1 of its listings have a measured day-30 outcome (median −69.3%); 0 finished above the venue's own listing median and 1 below.
No unlock schedule is on record for XPL as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for XPL as of Oct 4, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Plasma as of Oct 4, 2026.
Plasma lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 4, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Plasma as of Oct 4, 2026.
DefiLlama reports not reported TVL and $19,083 revenue over 30 days as of Oct 4, 2026;
revenue to market cap of 0.001 sits at the 36th percentile of 1495 all tokens on record tokens.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Across 107 spot listings on OKX, the median move is −2.3% on day 1 and −22.3% by day 30; 28.0% were still up after 30 days; XPL's one sits below that median at −69.3%.
Across 429 all-time highs across every token on record, the median move is −4.1% on day 1 and −40.3% by day 30;
6.1% were still up after 30 days;
XPL's one sits below that median at −68.8%.
XPL sits above the venue median in 0 of 2 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 4, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for XPL on its own chain as of Oct 4, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade XPL; the check is retried at every rebuild.
3 events since Aug 28, 2025; 2 of the 2 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best XPL all-time high: $1.87 on Sep 21, 2025 (−68.8%), worst OKX lists XPL on Sep 25, 2025 (−69.3%).
375 daily closes from Sep 25, 2025 to Oct 4, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 2 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $1.87 on Sep 21, 2025, 378 days before Oct 4, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 4, 2026.
XPL is on 4 spot and 1 perpetual venues on record; the earliest was OKX (perp) on Aug 28, 2025 and the latest OKX (spot) on Sep 25, 2025; the first perpetual opened on OKX on Aug 28, 2025, 28 days before the first spot pair.
0 delistings are on record for XPL as of Oct 4, 2026.
1083 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no XPL listing on record as of Oct 4, 2026 (Bitget, Azbit, Pionex, WEEX, Lbank and Gate, among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Plasma trades 94.9% below its all-time high of $1.87, set on Sep 21, 2025, 378 days before Oct 4, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.83).
Price change as of Oct 4, 2026: 0.0% over 1 hour, +4.9% over 24 hours, −16.9% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
With $172.3M market cap against $957.3M fully diluted, 82.0% of XPL's valuation is in non-circulating supply as of Oct 4, 2026.
24-hour volume of $44.4M is 25.8% of market cap as of Oct 4, 2026.
Circulating supply is 1.8B of 10B total (18.0%); no maximum supply is stated.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1495 tokens, so XPL sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 4, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for Plasma as of Oct 4, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol XPL as of Oct 4, 2026.
Plasma shares its ticker with XPL (Pulse) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 4, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Aug 25, 2025, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 4, 2026: CoinPaprika id xpl-plasma, DefiLlama slug plasma, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Plasma as of Oct 4, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 4, 2026.
Plasma reported $19,083 in fees and $19,083 in revenue over 30 days to DefiLlama on not reported TVL as of Oct 4, 2026; its revenue-to-market-cap ratio of 0.001 is at the 36th percentile of 1495 all tokens on record tokens.
Annualised revenue of $228,996 gives a price-to-sales multiple of 752.5x at the $172.3M market cap of Oct 4, 2026.
DefiLlama records no parent protocol for Plasma (not a fork).
No oracle is listed for Plasma on DefiLlama.
DefiLlama lists Plasma under 'Chain' (slug plasma).
DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Among 1495 all tokens on record tokens, Plasma is at the 86th percentile by market cap, 50th by distance from ATH and unranked by share unlocked as of Oct 4, 2026.
The peer median market cap is $13.9M, the median distance from ATH −94.9% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Stargate Finance (#204), Ripple USD (#203), SwissBorg (#207), Jito (#207) and MX Token (#202).
Market cap: $172.3M (P86 of 1495; peer median $13.9M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 25.78% (P91 of 1495; peer median 2.47%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1495; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −94.9% (P50 of 1495; peer median −94.9%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.001 (P36 of 279; peer median 0.006).
peer set: all tokens on record (1495 tokens); as of Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026: 50% chance XPL is lower tomorrow — a coin flip, typical move 0.0%, likely range −5.6% to +6.3%, from 1,668 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the Plasma price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 4, 2026: 51% chance XPL is higher over the next 7 days — a coin flip, typical move +0.2%, likely range −16.3% to +26.7%, from 1,659 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the XPL price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 4, 2026: 66% chance XPL is lower over the next 30 days, typical move −8.2%, likely range −39.2% to +38.5%, from 1,596 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these XPL predictions?
Across 32 backtested 30-day calls on XPL, the call was right 46.9% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 90.6% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 1 of 6 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind Plasma?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Plasma as of Oct 4, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next XPL unlock?
No future unlock is on record for XPL as of Oct 4, 2026.
Is XPL listed on Binance?
Yes; Binance listed XPL.
How far is XPL from its all-time high?
94.9% below the $1.87 high of Sep 21, 2025, 378 days ago, at $0.0957 on Oct 4, 2026.
Has Plasma been hacked?
No hack is on record for Plasma as of Oct 4, 2026; 0 audit links are listed.
What happened when OKX listed XPL?
On Sep 25, 2025 XPL fell 4.3% by day 1 and was 69.3% lower 30 days later, 68 points behind BTC.
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 4 exchanges (Binance, Coinbase, OKX and Upbit) as of Oct 4, 2026.
3 of 5 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 14 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6)
2026-10-04 19:24 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
0 of 5 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
—
2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 4, 2026 19:21 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x08280), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
hedgey last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY;
Optimism logs: HTTP 4), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 4,923 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.