$0.1998+4.5%24hmcap $1.36B · its own chain · rank #66
1
The prediction
as of Oct 4, 2026
ARB price prediction for tomorrow
52%chance ARB is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $1.36B · mid-cap
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 48% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 46.4% of 10,929 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 262 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−40%−20%0%+20%−20%−10%0%+10%−10% in 7 days↑ 92% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 8 rose · ▼ 14 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±2.9% over 1 day)
Bold: ARB's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 262 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to ARB's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.187−8%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.202−0.8%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.223+10%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.8%
Likely range
−8% to +10%$0.187 – $0.223
300 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.8% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
ARB price prediction for this week
50%chance ARB is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $1.36B · mid-cap
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 50% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 36,473 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 262 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−40%−20%0%+20%−40%−20%0%+20%+40%−10% in 7 days↑ 92% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 9 rose · ▼ 13 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±4.5% over 7 days)
Bold: ARB's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 262 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to ARB's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.157−23%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.203−0.2%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.292+44%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.2%
Likely range
−23% to +44%$0.157 – $0.292
291 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.4% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
ARB price prediction for the next 30 days
66%chance ARB is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $1.36B · mid-cap
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 34% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 262 matched past setups
next 30 days
−40%−20%0%+20%−50%0%+50%−10% in 7 days↑ 92% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 6 rose · ▼ 17 fell · ◆ 7 sideways(±8.7% over 30 days)
Bold: ARB's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 262 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to ARB's volatility.
Bad case$0.108−47%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.177−13.0%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.315+54%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−13.0%
Likely range
−47% to +54%$0.108 – $0.315
262 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 63.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this ARB prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for ARB in setups like this: short, hold 1 day, 4× — profitable 54.0% of the time, typical +4.4%, liquidated 4.2% of the time (n=262).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±1.0% over 1 day)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 372 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 262 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own ARB trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade ARB · by share of the last day's volume
ARB$0.199852% ▼ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 4× → +4.4%open calculator
ARB$0.199850% ▼ 7Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 7Dopen calculator
ARB$0.199866% ▼ 30Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 30Dopen calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in ARB's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (300 cases) into 48% higher.
Down 10% over 7 days
Down 10% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (52,549 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
91% below its high
91% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (131,564 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
Up 54% over 30 days
Up 54% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (39,806 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (168,672 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in ARB's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (291 cases) into 50% higher.
Down 10% over 7 days
Down 10% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 44% of the time (52,149 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Up 54% over 30 days
Up 54% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (38,824 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,458 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
91% below its high
91% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a week later 42% of the time (129,935 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in ARB's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (262 cases) into 34% higher.
Down 10% over 7 days
Down 10% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (50,697 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (82,194 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Up 54% over 30 days
Up 54% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (35,679 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
91% below its high
91% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (124,083 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
Our last 6 calls on ARB over 30 days: right on 0 of 6 · 1 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on ARB: 58.7% hit rate, 62.5% inside the range (46 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 70% down · ended +10.6%✗ wrongAug 2 said 60% down · ended +35.3%✗ wrongAug 9 said 56% down · ended +112.1%✗ wrongAug 16 said 70% down · ended +106.2%✗ wrongAug 23 said 68% down · ended +132.3%✗ wrongAug 30 said 63% down · ended +141.4%✗ wrong
white: ARB's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 2 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
Next event · the last 29 like it counts of past cases, not advice · every past case →
in 75 daysARB unlock: about 107.02M tokens (~1.58% of circulating), projected· 2026-12-18
10 measured events on record · typical move after 30 days +10.2% · next up: ARB unlock: about 107.02M tokens (~1.58% of circulating), projected, in 75 days
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
12
higher 30 days after
3 of 4
typical 30-day move
+10.2%
next up
in 75 days· unlock
Every eventMEASURED12 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
ARB: 12 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2027
unlock ARB unlock: about 107.02M tokens (~1.58% of circulating), projected
unlock ARB unlock: 107.50M tokens (1.61% of circulating), seen in the supply
—
+26.8%
+16.2%
+27.9%
in 14 days
in 14 days
in 74 days
supply_pattern
The circulating supply stepped up by 107,498,674 ARB on this day (CoinGecko), one of 4 such steps a quarter apart. ARB unlocked supply on Sep 18, 2026; the day-30 effect will be recorded in 14 days (day 1: +16.2%).
unlock ARB unlock: 107.02M tokens (1.71% of circulating), seen in the supply
—
+10.4%
−2.1%
−14.5%
+3.2%
+2.6%
+96.3%
supply_pattern
The circulating supply stepped up by 107,019,550 ARB on this day (CoinGecko), one of 4 such steps a quarter apart. On Jun 18, 2026ARB unlocked supply; it fell 2.1% by day 1 and was 3.2% higher 30 days later, 3 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +10.4% in the 7 days before.
unlock ARB unlock: 101.75M tokens (1.71% of circulating), seen in the supply
—
+9.5%
−7.9%
−8.4%
+21.7%
+17.4%
−20.7%
supply_pattern
The circulating supply stepped up by 101,749,187 ARB on this day (CoinGecko), one of 4 such steps a quarter apart. On Mar 18, 2026ARB unlocked supply; it fell 7.9% by day 1 and was 21.7% higher 30 days later, 17 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +9.5% in the 7 days before.
2025
unlock ARB unlock: 100.25M tokens (1.78% of circulating), seen in the supply
—
−14.6%
+4.2%
−0.2%
+17.2%
+6.9%
−44.3%
supply_pattern
The circulating supply stepped up by 100,245,151 ARB on this day (CoinGecko), one of 4 such steps a quarter apart. On Dec 18, 2025ARB unlocked supply; it rose 4.2% by day 1 and was 17.2% higher 30 days later, 7 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −14.6% in the 7 days before.
2024
all-time high ARB all-time high: $2.40
—
—
−3.7%
−17.8%
−14.0%
−18.3%
−37.2%
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jan 12, 2024ARB set an all-time high; it fell 3.7% by day 1 and was 14.0% lower 30 days later, 18 points behind BTC.
ARB-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, TRY, USDT, USDC). OKX listed ARB on Mar 23, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
ARB-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. OKX opened perpetual futures for ARB on Mar 23, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How ARB's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
ARB median day 30
ARB n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
all venues · unlock
+17.2%
3
−3.1%
89
41.6%
above
all venues · all-time high
−14.0%
1
−40.3%
429
6.1%
above
Venue · kind
ARB median day 7
ARB n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
all venues · unlock
−4.3%
4
−2.5%
—
—
below
all venues · all-time high
−17.8%
1
−17.7%
—
—
below
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
ARB median day 1
ARB n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
all venues · unlock
+1.1%
4
−0.6%
—
—
above
all venues · all-time high
−3.7%
1
−4.1%
—
—
above
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Source: dexscreener · holder series from PatternPlus snapshots · fetched
ARB unlock scheduleMEASURED
ARB unlock schedule and what past unlocks did
as of · On-chain vesting · PatternPlus effectsread it →
Full schedule, past and future (6 rows); past rows carry the measured price effect of the aggregated unlock on that date
Date
Category
Amount
% of circ.
% of total
Type
Description
Before 7d
Day 1
Day 7
Day 30
Quarterly release seen in the supply history
100.25M
1.8%
1.0%
cliff
The circulating supply stepped up by 100,245,151 ARB on this day (CoinGecko), one of 4 such steps a quarter apart
−14.6%
+4.2%
−0.2%
+17.2%
Quarterly release seen in the supply history
101.75M
1.7%
1.0%
cliff
The circulating supply stepped up by 101,749,187 ARB on this day (CoinGecko), one of 4 such steps a quarter apart
+9.5%
−7.9%
−8.4%
+21.7%
Quarterly release seen in the supply history
107.02M
1.7%
1.1%
cliff
The circulating supply stepped up by 107,019,550 ARB on this day (CoinGecko), one of 4 such steps a quarter apart
+10.4%
−2.1%
−14.5%
+3.2%
Quarterly release seen in the supply history
107.5M
1.6%
1.1%
cliff
The circulating supply stepped up by 107,498,674 ARB on this day (CoinGecko), one of 4 such steps a quarter apart
+26.8%
+16.2%
+27.9%
in 14 days
NEXTin 75 days
Projected quarterly release
107.02M
1.6%
1.1%
cliff
Projected: 4 steps of about 107,019,550 ARB seen in the circulating supply a quarter apart since 2025-12-18, the next assumed on day 18; when the schedule ends is not known
scheduled · in 75 days
Projected quarterly release
107.02M
1.6%
1.1%
cliff
Projected: 4 steps of about 107,019,550 ARB seen in the circulating supply a quarter apart since 2025-12-18, the next assumed on day 18; when the schedule ends is not known
scheduled · in 165 days
Source: on-chain vesting contracts (Sablier, Hedgey, UNCX, Team Finance, Streamflow and Jupiter Lock) · effects by PatternPlus · fetched
Life of ARB since Jan 8, 2024MEASURED
Life of ARB since Jan 8, 2024
as of · Binance daily closes · PatternPlus snapshotsread it →
Source: CoinPaprika prices; effects computed by PatternPlus · fetched
PatternPlus historyON RECORD2 daily rows
Rank, holders, TVL and price recorded by PatternPlus since Oct 3, 2026
Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority unknown, freeze authority unknown, upgrade key unknown, admin keys unknown, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.
OUR NUMBERS ABOVE · PUBLIC FACTS BELOW
Where ARB is listedON RECORD4 venues
Where ARB is listed: spot and perpetuals, with dates
as of · exchange instrument APIs · announcementsread it →
Exchange coverage matrix: 4 venues on record; cell text is the listing date
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on ARB · questions · sources
ARB in short
Filed under crypto on its own chain, Arbitrum (ARB) has been with no start date recorded; it holds rank #66 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026 and trades 91.7% below its Jan 12, 2024 high.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the price is $0.1998 (+4.5% over 24 hours), market cap $1.36B, fully diluted value $2B, holder count not reported, $3.78B TVL.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; ARB is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 4, 2026.
This site has 10 past events for Arbitrum: 4 exchange listings, 1 futures listings, 4 unlocks, 0 hacks and 0 funding rounds; the median 30-day move after the 4 measured events was +10.2%.
From the latest data refresh
Arbitrum (ARB) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #66 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 91.7% below its Jan 12, 2024 high.
The next unlock, 1.6% of circulating supply, is scheduled for Dec 18, 2026.
2 daily snapshots run from Oct 3, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026; over that span the rank went from #66 to #66.
ARB is on 4 spot and 1 perpetual venues on record; the earliest dated listing was OKX (perp) on Mar 23, 2023.
No listing of ARB has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 4, 2026.
an unstated share of total supply is unlocked as of Oct 4, 2026;
the next scheduled unlock is Dec 18, 2026, 1.6% of circulating ($21.4M at today's price) under 'Projected quarterly release'.
ARB is a native coin: its supply and rules follow protocol rules, and no issuer key was found to check as of Oct 4, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Arbitrum as of Oct 4, 2026.
Arbitrum lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 4, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Arbitrum as of Oct 4, 2026.
DefiLlama reports $3.78B TVL and $1.9M revenue over 30 days as of Oct 4, 2026;
revenue to market cap of 0.016 sits at the 58th percentile of 1495 all tokens on record tokens.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 4, 2026.
The record for ARB holds 10 events up to Oct 4, 2026: 4 carry a day-30 measurement, 1 are pending and 5 predate the price series, with 2 more scheduled ahead.
Best day-30 outcome: ARB unlock: 101.75M tokens (1.71% of circulating), seen in the supply on Mar 18, 2026 (+21.7%);
worst: ARB all-time high: $2.40 on Jan 12, 2024 (−14.0%).
Median day-30 move by kind: unlock +17.2% (n=3); all-time high −14.0% (n=1).
3 of the 4 measured events were followed by a higher price after 30 days (75.0%).
Across 89 unlocks across every token on record, the median move is −0.6% on day 1 and −3.1% by day 30; 41.6% were still up after 30 days; ARB's 3 sit above that median at +17.2%.
Across 429 all-time highs across every token on record, the median move is −4.1% on day 1 and −40.3% by day 30;
6.1% were still up after 30 days;
ARB's one sits above that median at −14.0%.
ARB sits above the venue median in 2 of 2 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 4, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 4, 2026.
The issuer holds 0 of 0 checked powers as of Oct 4, 2026; 13 not checked, 0 not applicable.
Whether the issuer can mint new tokens, freeze accounts, upgrade the contract, change balances, act through a hidden owner, blacklist addresses, restrict transfers to a whitelist, pause transfers, take a tax on purchases, take a tax on sales, block resale, hide the contract source and act through admin keys was not checked: no dexscreener response for those fields on Arbitrum as of Oct 4, 2026.
security rows per chain and tokens.powers; vocabulary fixed: held, revoked, unknown; checked Oct 4, 2026.
an unstated share of ARB's total supply is unlocked as of Oct 4, 2026; the next cliff releases 107M ARB (1.6% of circulating, $21.4M at today's price) on Dec 18, 2026 under 'Projected quarterly release'.
1 unlock fall in the 90 days to Jan 2, 2027, releasing 1.6% of circulating supply ($21.4M at today's price).
3 past unlocks released at least 1% of circulating supply; the price was lower 30 days later after 0 of them, with a median day-30 change of +17.2%.
The largest measured unlock released 1.8% of circulating on Dec 18, 2025; the price moved +4.2% by day 1 and +17.2% by day 30.
The unlock schedule from the circulating supply's own regular steps (the next ones projected;
when the schedule ends is not known) holds 6 rows from Dec 18, 2025 to Mar 18, 2027: 6 cliff;
4 rows are in the past.
No allocation breakdown is on record for ARB as of Oct 4, 2026.
Regular steps in the circulating supply (CoinGecko's daily figure or our snapshots), the next ones projected, effects from our price series; as of Oct 4, 2026.
10 events since Mar 23, 2023; 1 of the 4 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best ARB unlock: 101.75M tokens (1.71% of circulating), seen in the supply on Mar 18, 2026 (+21.7%), worst ARB all-time high: $2.40 on Jan 12, 2024 (−14.0%).
1001 daily closes from Jan 8, 2024 to Oct 4, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 2 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $2.4 on Jan 12, 2024, 996 days before Oct 4, 2026.
2 scheduled events beyond Oct 4, 2026 are drawn hollow until their effects can be measured.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 4, 2026.
The change log holds 7 entries between Oct 4, 2026 and Oct 4, 2026; the newest reads: New record entry (unlock, Dec 18, 2025): ARB unlock: 100.25M tokens (1.78% of circulating), seen in the supply.
As of Oct 4, 2026ARB trades on 4 spot venues and 1 perpetual venues with dated listings, from OKX on Mar 23, 2023 to OKX on Mar 23, 2023; the first perpetual opened on OKX on Mar 23, 2023, the same day as the first spot pair.
0 delistings are on record for ARB as of Oct 4, 2026.
1083 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no ARB listing on record as of Oct 4, 2026 (Bitget, Azbit, Pionex, WEEX, Lbank and Gate, among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 4, 2026.
The all-time high on record for Arbitrum is $2.4 on Jan 12, 2024, 996 days ago as of Oct 4, 2026; the price is 91.7% below it; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.65).
Price change as of Oct 4, 2026: −0.6% over 1 hour, +4.5% over 24 hours, −10.2% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
With $1.36B market cap against $2B fully diluted, 32.1% of ARB's valuation is in non-circulating supply as of Oct 4, 2026.
24-hour volume of $102.9M is 7.6% of market cap as of Oct 4, 2026.
Circulating supply is 6.79B of 10B total (67.9%) and a maximum of 10B.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1495 tokens, so ARB sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 4, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
Arbitrum has 1 contract or mint address on record across 1 chain (arbitrum); it is the native coin of its own chain.
No other token on record uses the symbol ARB as of Oct 4, 2026.
Arbitrum shares its ticker with ARB (ARB Protocol), ARB (ARbit), ARB (Arabian.Finance), ARB (Arbitrage Loop) and ARB (DotARB) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 4, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Mar 23, 2023, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 4, 2026: CoinPaprika id arb-arbitrum, DefiLlama slug arbitrum-foundation, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Arbitrum as of Oct 4, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 4, 2026.
Over the 30 days to Oct 4, 2026 DefiLlama records $2.3M of fees and $1.9M of revenue for Arbitrum, against $3.78B of TVL; revenue to market cap is 0.016, the 58th percentile among 1495 all tokens on record tokens.
Annualised revenue of $22.3M gives a price-to-sales multiple of 60.9x at the $1.36B market cap of Oct 4, 2026.
TVL moved +40.1% between Nov 14, 2023 and Oct 4, 2026 (230 daily points).
Ethereum carries 100.0% of TVL across 1 chain.
DefiLlama records no parent protocol for Arbitrum (not a fork).
No oracle is listed for Arbitrum on DefiLlama.
DefiLlama lists Arbitrum under 'Canonical Bridge' (slug arbitrum-foundation).
DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Set against 1495 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 4, 2026, Arbitrum ranks at the 96th percentile for market cap, the 60th for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $13.9M, the median distance from ATH −94.9% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Rocket Pool ETH (#65), Venice Token (#67), JUST (#64), GateToken (#68) and Ethereum Classic (#63).
Market cap: $1.36B (P96 of 1495; peer median $13.9M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 7.59% (P73 of 1495; peer median 2.47%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1495; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −91.7% (P60 of 1495; peer median −94.9%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.016 (P58 of 279; peer median 0.006).
TVL: $3.78B (P95 of 419; peer median $5.5M).
peer set: all tokens on record (1495 tokens); as of Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026: 52% chance ARB is lower tomorrow — a coin flip, typical move −0.8%, likely range −8.1% to +9.7%, from 300 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the Arbitrum price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 4, 2026: 50% chance ARB is lower over the next 7 days — a coin flip, typical move −0.2%, likely range −22.7% to +43.6%, from 291 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the ARB price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 4, 2026: 66% chance ARB is lower over the next 30 days, typical move −13.0%, likely range −46.7% to +54.5%, from 262 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these ARB predictions?
Across 46 backtested 30-day calls on ARB, the call was right 58.7% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 62.5% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 0 of 6 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
What could move ARB next?
ARB unlocks 1.6% of its supply in 75 days.
After unlocks like this, the price fell the next day 66% of the time (29 past cases).
The same kind of event is scheduled again on Mar 18, 2027.
Who is behind Arbitrum?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Arbitrum as of Oct 4, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next ARB unlock?
The next scheduled unlock is Dec 18, 2026: 107M ARB, 1.6% of circulating supply, under 'Projected quarterly release'.
Is ARB listed on Binance?
Yes; Binance listed ARB.
Can the issuer mint more ARB?
Not checked: no dexscreener response for ARB as of Oct 4, 2026.
How far is ARB from its all-time high?
91.7% below the $2.4 high of Jan 12, 2024, 996 days ago, at $0.1998 on Oct 4, 2026.
Has Arbitrum been hacked?
No hack is on record for Arbitrum as of Oct 4, 2026; 0 audit links are listed.
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 4 exchanges (Binance, Coinbase, OKX and Upbit) as of Oct 4, 2026.
3 of 5 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 14 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6)
2026-10-04 19:24 UTC
none
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teamfinance
0 of 5 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
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2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 4, 2026 19:21 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x08280), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
hedgey last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY;
Optimism logs: HTTP 4), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 6,447 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.