$0.0113+2.1%24hmcap $17.16M · its own chain · rank #692
1
The prediction
as of Oct 4, 2026
ARPA price prediction for tomorrow
51%chance ARPA is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $17.16M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 49% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 46.4% of 10,929 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 3162 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−20%−10%0%−10%−5%0%+5%+10%+20% in 30 days↑ 96% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 11 rose · ▼ 11 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±1.0% over 1 day)
Bold: ARPA's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 3162 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to ARPA's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0110−3%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.01130%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0117+3%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.0%
Likely range
−3% to +3%$0.0110 – $0.0117
4,185 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.8% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
ARPA price prediction for this week
50%chance ARPA is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $17.16M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 50% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 36,473 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 3162 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−20%−10%0%0%+20%+40%+20% in 30 days↑ 96% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 9 rose · ▼ 9 fell · ◆ 12 sideways(±2.6% over 7 days)
Bold: ARPA's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 3162 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to ARPA's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0103−9%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.01130%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0125+11%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
0.0%
Likely range
−9% to +11%$0.0103 – $0.0125
3,867 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.4% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
ARPA price prediction for the next 30 days
61%chance ARPA is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $17.16M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 39% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 3162 matched past setups
next 30 days
−20%−10%0%−50%0%+50%+100%+20% in 30 days↑ 96% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 9 rose · ▼ 12 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±5.5% over 30 days)
Bold: ARPA's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 3162 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to ARPA's volatility.
Bad case$0.00860−24%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0109−3.9%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0142+26%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−3.9%
Likely range
−24% to +26%$0.00860 – $0.0142
3,162 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 63.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this ARPA prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for ARPA in setups like this: short, hold 2 days, 1× — profitable 56.3% of the time, typical +0.4% (n=3162).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±1.4% over 2 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 410 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 3,162 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own ARPA trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade ARPA · by share of the last day's volume
ARPA$0.011351% ▼ 1Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 1Dopen calculator
ARPA$0.011350% ▼ 7Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 7Dopen calculator
ARPA$0.011361% ▼ 30Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 30Dopen calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in ARPA's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (4,185 cases) into 49% higher.
90% below its high
90% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (131,564 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
Up 20% over 30 days
Up 20% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (39,806 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($17.2M market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 46% of the time (88,690 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (168,672 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in ARPA's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (3,867 cases) into 50% higher.
Up 20% over 30 days
Up 20% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (38,824 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,458 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (−2%). After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,734 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
90% below its high
90% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a week later 42% of the time (129,935 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in ARPA's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (3,162 cases) into 39% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (82,194 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Up 20% over 30 days
Up 20% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (35,679 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
90% below its high
90% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (124,083 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (−2%). After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (85,642 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Our record on ARPA
Our last 6 calls on ARPA over 30 days: right on 0 of 6 · 3 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on ARPA: 51.1% hit rate, 79.2% inside the range (47 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 66% down · ended +10.4%✗ wrongAug 2 said 60% down · ended +11.9%✗ wrongAug 9 said 66% down · ended +9.4%✗ wrongAug 16 said 66% down · ended +8.2%✗ wrongAug 23 said 67% down · ended +16.1%✗ wrongAug 30 said 71% down · ended +14.8%✗ wrong
white: ARPA's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 2 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 40 data points on this page
Changed 2026-10-04 Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority unknown, freeze authority unknown, upgrade key unknown, admin keys unknown, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.full log →
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
2
higher 30 days after
—
typical 30-day move
—
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED2 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
ARPA: 2 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Binance listed ARPA on Nov 17, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
2021
all-time high ARPA all-time high: $0.2709
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. ARPA set an all-time high on Nov 3, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How ARPA's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
ARPA median day 30
ARPA n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 4, 2026
Venue · kind
ARPA median day 7
ARPA n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 4, 2026
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
ARPA median day 1
ARPA n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 4, 2026
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority unknown, freeze authority unknown, upgrade key unknown, admin keys unknown, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.
OUR NUMBERS ABOVE · PUBLIC FACTS BELOW
Where ARPA is listedON RECORD3 venues
Where ARPA is listed: spot and perpetuals, with dates
as of · exchange instrument APIs · announcementsread it →
Exchange coverage matrix: 3 venues on record; cell text is the listing date
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on ARPA · questions · sources
ARPA in short
ARPA Chain (ARPA) is a crypto token on its own chain, with no start date recorded; rank #692 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 95.8% below its Nov 3, 2021 high.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the price is $0.0113 (+2.1% over 24 hours), market cap $17.2M, fully diluted value $22.6M, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; ARPA is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the record for ARPA Chain runs to 2 events, of which 1 are spot listings, 0 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks and 0 funding rounds; 0 carry a day-30 measurement with a median of not yet measurable.
From the latest data refresh
ARPA Chain (ARPA) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #692 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 95.8% below its Nov 3, 2021 high.
2 events are on record as of Oct 4, 2026.
2 daily snapshots run from Oct 3, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026; over that span the rank went from #692 to #692.
No exchange listing with a date is on record for ARPA as of Oct 4, 2026.
No listing of ARPA has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 4, 2026.
No unlock schedule is on record for ARPA as of Oct 4, 2026.
ARPA is a native coin: its supply and rules follow protocol rules, and no issuer key was found to check as of Oct 4, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for ARPA Chain as of Oct 4, 2026.
ARPA Chain lists 1 audit link on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 4, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for ARPA Chain as of Oct 4, 2026.
No TVL, fees or revenue are reported to DefiLlama for ARPA Chain as of Oct 4, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026, 0 of the 0 powers that could be checked are held by the issuer; 13 could not be checked and 0 do not apply.
Whether the issuer can mint new tokens, freeze accounts, upgrade the contract, change balances, act through a hidden owner, blacklist addresses, restrict transfers to a whitelist, pause transfers, take a tax on purchases, take a tax on sales, block resale, hide the contract source and act through admin keys was not checked: no dexscreener response for those fields on Ethereum as of Oct 4, 2026.
security rows per chain and tokens.powers; vocabulary fixed: held, revoked, unknown; checked Oct 4, 2026.
The change log holds 1 entry between Oct 4, 2026 and Oct 4, 2026; the newest reads: Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority unknown, freeze authority unknown, upgrade key unknown, admin keys unknown, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.
Changed since Oct 4, 2026: powers set to mint_authority=unknown freeze_authority=unknown upgradeable=unknown admin_keys=unknown honeypot=unknown pausable=unknown blacklist=unknown tax=unknown (Oct 4).
The fields that changed most often were powers (1).
Changes logged for this record: 1 in the last 30 days as of Oct 4, 2026.
ARPA Chain trades 95.8% below its all-time high of $0.2709, set on Nov 3, 2021, 1,796 days before Oct 4, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 0.90).
Price change as of Oct 4, 2026: −0.2% over 1 hour, +2.1% over 24 hours, −0.7% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
With $17.2M market cap against $22.6M fully diluted, 24.0% of ARPA's valuation is in non-circulating supply as of Oct 4, 2026.
24-hour volume of $8.1M is 47.1% of market cap as of Oct 4, 2026.
Circulating supply is 1.52B of 2B total (76.0%); no maximum supply is stated.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1495 tokens, so ARPA sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 4, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
1 address identify ARPA Chain on ethereum; as the native coin of its own chain it has no token contract.
No other token on record uses the symbol ARPA as of Oct 4, 2026.
No former name, former symbol or alias is recorded for ARPA Chain as of Oct 4, 2026.
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Aug 8, 2019, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 4, 2026: CoinPaprika id arpa-arpa-chain, DefiLlama slug arpa-staking, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for ARPA Chain as of Oct 4, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 4, 2026.
Set against 1495 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 4, 2026, ARPA Chain ranks at the 54th percentile for market cap, the 46th for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $13.9M, the median distance from ATH −94.9% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Xphere (#691), Tether USD.E (#693), Codatta (#693), A Hunters Dream (#690) and Symbol (#689).
Market cap: $17.2M (P54 of 1495; peer median $13.9M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 47.07% (P95 of 1495; peer median 2.47%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1495; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −95.8% (P46 of 1495; peer median −94.9%).
peer set: all tokens on record (1495 tokens); as of Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026: 51% chance ARPA is lower tomorrow — a coin flip, typical move −0.0%, likely range −2.7% to +3.1%, from 4,185 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the ARPA Chain price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 4, 2026: 50% chance ARPA is lower over the next 7 days — a coin flip, typical move 0.0%, likely range −8.5% to +10.6%, from 3,867 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the ARPA price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 4, 2026: 61% chance ARPA is lower over the next 30 days, typical move −3.9%, likely range −23.9% to +25.8%, from 3,162 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these ARPA predictions?
Across 47 backtested 30-day calls on ARPA, the call was right 51.1% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 79.2% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 0 of 6 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind ARPA Chain?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for ARPA Chain as of Oct 4, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next ARPA unlock?
No future unlock is on record for ARPA as of Oct 4, 2026.
Is ARPA listed on Binance?
Yes; Binance listed ARPA.
Can the issuer mint more ARPA?
Not checked: no dexscreener response for ARPA as of Oct 4, 2026.
How far is ARPA from its all-time high?
95.8% below the $0.2709 high of Nov 3, 2021, 1,796 days ago, at $0.0113 on Oct 4, 2026.
Has ARPA Chain been hacked?
No hack is on record for ARPA Chain as of Oct 4, 2026; 1 audit link is listed.
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 3 exchanges (Binance, Coinbase and Upbit) as of Oct 4, 2026.
3 of 5 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 14 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6)
2026-10-04 19:24 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
0 of 5 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
—
2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 4, 2026 19:21 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x08280), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
hedgey last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY;
Optimism logs: HTTP 4), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 6,424 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.