$0.3051+1.5%24hmcap $59.86M · its own chain · rank #364
1
The prediction
as of Oct 4, 2026
ARRR price prediction for tomorrow
52%chance ARRR is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $59.86M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 48% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 46.4% of 10,929 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 2088 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−40%−20%0%−10%0%+10%+61% in 30 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 8 rose · ▼ 13 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±2.3% over 1 day)
Bold: ARRR's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 2088 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to ARRR's volatility. 29 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.299−7%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.320−0.4%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.343+7%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.4%
Likely range
−7% to +7%$0.299 – $0.343
2,459 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.8% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
ARRR price prediction for this week
57%chance ARRR is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $59.86M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 43% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 36,473 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 2088 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−40%−20%0%−40%−20%0%+20%+40%+61% in 30 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 7 rose · ▼ 14 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±5.8% over 7 days)
Bold: ARRR's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 2088 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to ARRR's volatility. 29 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.253−21%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.313−2.6%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.392+22%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−2.6%
Likely range
−21% to +22%$0.253 – $0.392
2,326 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.4% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
ARRR price prediction for the next 30 days
70%chance ARRR is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $59.86M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 30% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 2088 matched past setups
next 30 days
−40%−20%0%−100%−50%0%+50%+100%+61% in 30 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 6 rose · ▼ 16 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±12% over 30 days)
Bold: ARRR's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 2088 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to ARRR's volatility.
Bad case$0.184−43%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.278−13.4%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.439+37%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−13.4%
Likely range
−43% to +37%$0.184 – $0.439
2,088 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 63.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this ARRR prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for ARRR in setups like this: short, hold 2 days, 6× — profitable 62.5% of the time, typical +13.4%, liquidated 9.5% of the time (n=2088).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±1.4% over 2 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 379 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 2,088 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own ARRR trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
ARRR$0.305152% ▼ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 7× → +2.8%open calculator
ARRR$0.305157% ▼ 7Dbest play▼ Short 7D 2× → +6.7%open calculator
ARRR$0.305170% ▼ 30Dbest play▼ Short 30D 1× → +13%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in ARRR's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (2,459 cases) into 48% higher.
60% below its high
60% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (131,564 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
Up 61% over 30 days
Up 61% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (39,806 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (168,672 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (90,261 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in ARRR's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (2,326 cases) into 43% higher.
Up 61% over 30 days
Up 61% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (38,824 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,458 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($59.9M market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 42% of the time (63,184 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (+3%). After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,734 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in ARRR's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (2,088 cases) into 30% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (82,194 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Up 61% over 30 days
Up 61% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (35,679 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($59.9M market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 35% of the time (61,807 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 35% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
60% below its high
60% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (124,083 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Our record on ARRR
Our last 6 calls on ARRR over 30 days: right on 2 of 6 · 6 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on ARRR: 54.2% hit rate, 85.4% inside the range (48 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 59% down · ended −7.8%✓ rightAug 2 said 60% down · ended −13.7%✓ rightAug 9 said 66% down · ended +14.5%✗ wrongAug 16 said 65% down · ended +17.2%✗ wrongAug 23 said 63% down · ended +35.3%✗ wrongAug 30 said 57% down · ended +50.9%✗ wrong
white: ARRR's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 4, 2026: 1 live 30-day prediction on record, first result due Nov 3, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 25 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
1
higher 30 days after
—
typical 30-day move
—
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED1 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
ARRR: 1 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2021
all-time high ARRR all-time high: $16.87
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. ARRR set an all-time high on Apr 23, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How ARRR's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
ARRR median day 30
ARRR n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 4, 2026
Venue · kind
ARRR median day 7
ARRR n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 4, 2026
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
ARRR median day 1
ARRR n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 4, 2026
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Venue
Kind
n
Median next day
Median 7 days
Median 30 days
Up after 30 days
Mean 30 days
all venues
all-time high
429
−4.1%
−17.7%
−40.3%
6.1%
−38.9%
computed 2026-10-04 from every measured event on record
Source: event_stats, all measured events on record · fetched
Issuer powersON RECORD
What the issuer can do to ARRR holders (checked Oct 4, 2026)
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on ARRR · questions · sources
ARRR in short
Filed under crypto on its own chain, Pirate (ARRR) has been with no start date recorded; it holds rank #364 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026 and trades 98.2% below its Apr 23, 2021 high.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the price is $0.3051 (+1.5% over 24 hours), market cap $59.9M, fully diluted value $59.9M, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; ARRR is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 4, 2026.
1 events sit on Pirate's record as of Oct 4, 2026 (0 spot listings, 0 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks, 0 rounds); across the 0 with a measured day-30 outcome the median move was not yet measurable.
From the latest data refresh
Pirate (ARRR) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #364 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 98.2% below its Apr 23, 2021 high.
1 event are on record as of Oct 4, 2026.
Since PatternPlus began recording on Oct 3, 2026 (2 daily snapshots), rank moved from #364 to #364.
No exchange listing with a date is on record for ARRR as of Oct 4, 2026.
No listing of ARRR has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 4, 2026.
No unlock schedule is on record for ARRR as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for ARRR as of Oct 4, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Pirate as of Oct 4, 2026.
Pirate lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 4, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Pirate as of Oct 4, 2026.
No TVL, fees or revenue are reported to DefiLlama for Pirate as of Oct 4, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for ARRR on its own chain as of Oct 4, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade ARRR; the check is retried at every rebuild.
The all-time high on record for Pirate is $16.87 on Apr 23, 2021, 1,990 days ago as of Oct 4, 2026; the price is 98.2% below it; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.27).
Price change as of Oct 4, 2026: +0.1% over 1 hour, +1.5% over 24 hours, +1.5% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 100.0% of fully diluted value ($59.9M of $59.9M), so 0.0% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $503,166 is 0.8% of market cap as of Oct 4, 2026.
Circulating supply is 196.2M of 196.2M total (100.0%) and a maximum of 200M.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1495 tokens, so ARRR sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 4, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for Pirate as of Oct 4, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol ARRR as of Oct 4, 2026.
No former name, former symbol or alias is recorded for Pirate as of Oct 4, 2026.
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Nov 20, 2018, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 4, 2026: CoinPaprika id arrr-pirate, no DefiLlama slug, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Pirate as of Oct 4, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 4, 2026.
Set against 1495 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 4, 2026, Pirate ranks at the 76th percentile for market cap, the 28th for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $13.9M, the median distance from ATH −94.9% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are DeepBook Protocol (#363), Phala Network (#365), AB (prev.
Newton) (#362), Wrapped AVAX (#366) and Celo (#361).
Market cap: $59.9M (P76 of 1495; peer median $13.9M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 0.84% (P31 of 1495; peer median 2.47%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1495; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −98.2% (P28 of 1495; peer median −94.9%).
peer set: all tokens on record (1495 tokens); as of Oct 4, 2026.
3 of 5 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 14 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6)
2026-10-04 19:24 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
0 of 5 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
—
2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 4, 2026 19:21 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x08280), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
hedgey last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY;
Optimism logs: HTTP 4), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 5,160 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
