No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 48% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 46.4% of 10,929 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 567 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−40%−30%−20%−10%0%−15%−10%−5%0%+5%+10%+50% in 30 days↑ 92% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 9 rose · ▼ 14 fell · ◆ 7 sideways(±2.1% over 1 day)
Bold: AVAX's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 567 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to AVAX's volatility. 3 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$10.47−5%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$11.04−0.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$11.81+7%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.3%
Likely range
−5% to +7%$10.47 – $11.81
688 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.8% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
AVAX price prediction for this week
53%chance AVAX is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $4.69B · mid-cap
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 47% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 36,473 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 567 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−40%−30%−20%−10%0%−40%−20%0%+20%+40%+50% in 30 days↑ 92% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 11 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±6.1% over 7 days)
Bold: AVAX's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 567 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to AVAX's volatility. 3 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$8.91−20%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$10.93−1.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$13.68+24%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−1.3%
Likely range
−20% to +24%$8.91 – $13.68
647 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.4% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
AVAX price prediction for the next 30 days
64%chance AVAX is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $4.69B · mid-cap
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 36% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 567 matched past setups
next 30 days
−40%−30%−20%−10%0%−50%0%+50%+100%+50% in 30 days↑ 92% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 8 rose · ▼ 15 fell · ◆ 7 sideways(±12% over 30 days)
Bold: AVAX's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 567 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to AVAX's volatility.
Bad case$6.97−37%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$10.06−9.2%half did better, half worse
Good case$15.43+39%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−9.2%
Likely range
−37% to +39%$6.97 – $15.43
567 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 63.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this AVAX prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for AVAX in setups like this: short, hold 14 days, 2× — profitable 61.7% of the time, typical +9.5%, liquidated 9.8% of the time (n=567).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±3.7% over 14 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 387 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 567 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own AVAX trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade AVAX · by share of the last day's volume
AVAX$11.1252% ▼ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 10× → +5.0%open calculator
AVAX$11.1253% ▼ 7Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 7Dopen calculator
AVAX$11.1264% ▼ 30Dbest play▼ Short 30D 1× → +8.9%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in AVAX's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (688 cases) into 48% higher.
82% below its high
82% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (131,564 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
Up 50% over 30 days
Up 50% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (39,806 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (168,672 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Mid-cap
Mid-cap coin ($4.7B market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 46% of the time (20,701 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in AVAX's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (647 cases) into 47% higher.
Up 50% over 30 days
Up 50% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (38,824 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,458 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (+2%). After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,734 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
82% below its high
82% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a week later 42% of the time (129,935 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in AVAX's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (567 cases) into 36% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (82,194 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Up 50% over 30 days
Up 50% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (35,679 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
82% below its high
82% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (124,083 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (+2%). After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (85,642 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Our record on AVAX
Our last 6 calls on AVAX over 30 days: right on 0 of 6 · 2 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on AVAX: 57.8% hit rate, 72.9% inside the range (45 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 65% down · ended +8.6%✗ wrongAug 2 said 65% down · ended +10.1%✗ wrongAug 9 said 65% down · ended +24.7%✗ wrongAug 16 said 65% down · ended +14.8%✗ wrongAug 23 said 67% down · ended +48.7%✗ wrongAug 30 said 69% down · ended +60.8%✗ wrong
white: AVAX's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 2 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
activeAvalancheL1Rank #32on record since 2020-08-07
$11.12
24H+5.0%
30D0.0%
1Y0.0%
FROM ATH−92.4%
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
Cryptocurrency · Platform · Layer 1 (L1) · Proof Of Stake · High Transaction Speed (TPS) · Made in USA
updated today Updated · 216 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
5
higher 30 days after
—
typical 30-day move
—
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED5 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
AVAX: 5 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2021
all-time high AVAX all-time high: $145.67
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. AVAX set an all-time high on Nov 21, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
AVAX-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, TRY, USDT, USDC). OKX listed AVAX on Jan 29, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
AVAX-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. OKX opened perpetual futures for AVAX on Sep 23, 2020; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on AVAX · questions · sources
AVAX in short
Filed under L1 on Avalanche, Avalanche (AVAX) has been on the record since Jul 22, 2020; it holds rank #32 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026 and trades 92.4% below its Nov 21, 2021 high.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the price is $11.12 (+5.0% over 24 hours), market cap $4.69B, fully diluted value $5.09B, holder count not reported, $143.4M TVL.
Tags on CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: Cryptocurrency, Platform, Layer 1 (L1), Proof Of Stake, High Transaction Speed (TPS), Made in USA.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; AVAX is the native coin of Avalanche, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the record for Avalanche runs to 5 events, of which 3 are spot listings, 1 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks and 0 funding rounds; 0 carry a day-30 measurement with a median of not yet measurable.
From the latest data refresh
Avalanche (AVAX), L1 on Avalanche, holds rank #32 by market cap on Oct 4, 2026 and trades 92.4% under its Nov 21, 2021 high.
5 events are on record as of Oct 4, 2026.
Since PatternPlus began recording on Oct 3, 2026 (2 daily snapshots), rank moved from #32 to #32.
AVAX is on 79 spot and 7 perpetual venues on record; the earliest dated listing was OKX (perp) on Sep 23, 2020.
No listing of AVAX has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 4, 2026.
No unlock schedule is on record for AVAX as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for AVAX as of Oct 4, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Avalanche as of Oct 4, 2026.
Avalanche lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 4, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Avalanche as of Oct 4, 2026.
DefiLlama reports $143.4M TVL and not reported revenue over 30 days as of Oct 4, 2026.
The largest audience count is 34,760 telegram members, read on Oct 4, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for AVAX on Avalanche as of Oct 4, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade AVAX; the check is retried at every rebuild.
As of Oct 4, 2026AVAX trades on 79 spot venues and 7 perpetual venues with dated listings, from OKX on Sep 23, 2020 to OKX on Jan 29, 2021; the first perpetual opened on OKX on Sep 23, 2020, 128 days before the first spot pair.
0 delistings are on record for AVAX as of Oct 4, 2026.
1002 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no AVAX listing on record as of Oct 4, 2026 (Ourbit, Maker DAO PSM, Indoex, Pancakeswap V3 (BSC), Bullish and P2B, among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Avalanche trades 92.4% below its all-time high of $145.67, set on Nov 21, 2021, 1,778 days before Oct 4, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.43).
Price change as of Oct 4, 2026: −0.1% over 1 hour, +5.0% over 24 hours, +3.5% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 92.2% of fully diluted value ($4.69B of $5.09B), so 7.8% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $344.9M is 7.3% of market cap as of Oct 4, 2026.
Circulating supply is 422.3M of 457.9M total (92.2%) and a maximum of 720M.
The L1 median 30-day change is 0.0% across 10 tokens, so AVAX sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 4, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
1 address identify Avalanche on avalanche; as the native coin of Avalanche it has no token contract.
Description as published on CoinPaprika: Avalanche (AVAX) is a decentralized platform designed for launching applications and custom blockchain networks, integrating high throughput with sub-second finality. It aims to provide a scalable and efficient solution for DeFi, enterprise applications, and more. Source: CoinPaprika.com
No other token on record uses the symbol AVAX as of Oct 4, 2026.
No former name, former symbol or alias is recorded for Avalanche as of Oct 4, 2026.
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: started Jul 22, 2020, first market data Aug 7, 2020, proof type Proof of Stake, organisation Semi-centralized, whitepaper https://static.coinpaprika.com/storage/cdn/whitepapers/10616029.pdf.
Cross-references as of Oct 4, 2026: CoinPaprika id avax-avalanche, DefiLlama slug avalanche-core-bridge, GitHub ava-labs.
Audience counts when last read on Oct 4, 2026: 34,760 telegram members.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 4, 2026.
Among 10 L1 tokens, Avalanche is at the 10th percentile by market cap, lowest (P0) by distance from ATH and unranked by share unlocked as of Oct 4, 2026.
The peer median market cap is $9.97B, the median distance from ATH −78.1% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Sui (#30), Litecoin (#29), Hedera Hashgraph (#35), Cardano (#19) and Monero (#14).
Market cap: $4.69B (P10 of 10; peer median $9.97B).
Volume / market cap (24h): 7.35% (P80 of 10; peer median 2.10%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P45 of 10; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −92.4% (P0 of 10; peer median −78.1%).
Exchanges: 85 (P50 of 10; peer median 84).
TVL: $143.4M (too few peers (1) for a percentile).
As of Oct 4, 2026: 52% chance AVAX is lower tomorrow — a coin flip, typical move −0.3%, likely range −5.5% to +6.6%, from 688 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the Avalanche price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 4, 2026: 53% chance AVAX is lower over the next 7 days — a coin flip, typical move −1.3%, likely range −19.6% to +23.5%, from 647 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the AVAX price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 4, 2026: 64% chance AVAX is lower over the next 30 days, typical move −9.2%, likely range −37.1% to +39.3%, from 567 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these AVAX predictions?
Across 45 backtested 30-day calls on AVAX, the call was right 57.8% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 72.9% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 0 of 6 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind Avalanche?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Avalanche as of Oct 4, 2026; the organisation is described as Semi-centralized.
When is the next AVAX unlock?
No future unlock is on record for AVAX as of Oct 4, 2026.
Is AVAX listed on Binance?
Yes; Binance listed AVAX.
How far is AVAX from its all-time high?
92.4% below the $145.67 high of Nov 21, 2021, 1,778 days ago, at $11.12 on Oct 4, 2026.
Has Avalanche been hacked?
No hack is on record for Avalanche as of Oct 4, 2026; 0 audit links are listed.
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 85 exchanges (Azbit, BTC Markets, BTCTurk, BTSE, BYDFi (Spot) and Batonex) as of Oct 4, 2026.
3 of 5 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 14 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6)
2026-10-04 19:24 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
0 of 5 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
—
2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 4, 2026 19:21 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x08280), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
hedgey last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY;
Optimism logs: HTTP 4), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 3,680 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
