$2.53+1.5%24hmcap $835.12M · its own chain · rank #92
1
The prediction
as of Oct 4, 2026
CAKE price prediction for tomorrow
52%chance CAKE is higher
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $835.12M · mid-cap
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 52% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 46.4% of 10,929 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 291 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−20%−10%0%+10%−10%−5%0%+5%−12% in 7 days↑ 94% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 13 fell · ◆ 7 sideways(±1.5% over 1 day)
Bold: CAKE's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 291 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to CAKE's volatility. 28 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$2.40−4%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$2.50+0.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$2.61+5%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
+0.3%
Likely range
−4% to +5%$2.40 – $2.61
308 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.8% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
CAKE price prediction for this week
61%chance CAKE is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $835.12M · mid-cap
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 39% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 36,473 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 291 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−20%−10%0%+10%−40%−20%0%+20%−12% in 7 days↑ 94% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 6 rose · ▼ 13 fell · ◆ 11 sideways(±4.6% over 7 days)
Bold: CAKE's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 291 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to CAKE's volatility. 28 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$2.11−15%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$2.46−1.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$2.72+9%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−1.3%
Likely range
−15% to +9%$2.11 – $2.72
303 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.4% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
CAKE price prediction for the next 30 days
69%chance CAKE is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $835.12M · mid-cap
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 31% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 291 matched past setups
next 30 days
−20%−10%0%+10%−40%−20%0%+20%−12% in 7 days↑ 94% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 2 rose · ▼ 20 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±6.8% over 30 days)
Bold: CAKE's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 291 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to CAKE's volatility.
Bad case$1.81−27%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$2.30−8.0%half did better, half worse
Good case$3.01+20%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−8.0%
Likely range
−27% to +20%$1.81 – $3.01
291 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 63.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this CAKE prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for CAKE in setups like this: short, hold 30 days, 2× — profitable 68.0% of the time, typical +15.1%, liquidated 8.7% of the time (n=291).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±5.5% over 30 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 408 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 291 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own CAKE trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade CAKE · by share of the last day's volume
CAKE$2.5352% ▲ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 5× → +1.0%open calculator
CAKE$2.5361% ▼ 7Dbest play▼ Short 7D 4× → +5.0%open calculator
CAKE$2.5369% ▼ 30Dbest play▼ Short 30D 2× → +15%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in CAKE's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (308 cases) into 52% higher.
Down 12% over 7 days
Down 12% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (52,549 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
52% below its high
52% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 45% of the time (40,042 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 45% · normal 46% higher a day later
Up 26% over 30 days
Up 26% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (39,806 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (168,672 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in CAKE's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (303 cases) into 39% higher.
Down 12% over 7 days
Down 12% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 44% of the time (52,149 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
52% below its high
52% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a week later 41% of the time (39,820 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 41% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Up 26% over 30 days
Up 26% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (38,824 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,458 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in CAKE's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (291 cases) into 31% higher.
52% below its high
52% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 31% of the time (39,167 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 31% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Down 12% over 7 days
Down 12% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (50,697 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (82,194 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Up 26% over 30 days
Up 26% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (35,679 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Our record on CAKE
Our last 6 calls on CAKE over 30 days: right on 0 of 6 · 0 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on CAKE: 50.0% hit rate, 77.1% inside the range (48 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 64% down · ended +21.1%✗ wrongAug 2 said 64% down · ended +25.6%✗ wrongAug 9 said 64% down · ended +57.0%✗ wrongAug 16 said 61% down · ended +52.2%✗ wrongAug 23 said 67% down · ended +46.5%✗ wrongAug 30 said 66% down · ended +40.9%✗ wrong
white: CAKE's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 2 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
active —
NoneRank #92on record since 2021-02-05$1.8M lost to hacks
$2.53
24H+1.5%
30D0.0%
1Y0.0%
FROM ATH−94.3%
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 60 data points on this page
Changed 2026-10-04 Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority unknown, freeze authority unknown, upgrade key unknown, admin keys unknown, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.2026-10-04 TVL 1.91B → 2.34B2026-10-04 TVL 1.91B → 2.33Bfull log →
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
4
higher 30 days after
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typical 30-day move
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next up
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Every eventMEASURED4 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
CAKE: 4 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2021
all-time high CAKE all-time high: $44.14
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derived
Highest daily close in our price history. CAKE set an all-time high on Apr 30, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
hack PancakeSwap exploited for $1.80M
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defillama
Improper Access Control CAKE was hacked on Apr 12, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority unknown, freeze authority unknown, upgrade key unknown, admin keys unknown, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.
TVL
1.91B
2.34B
TVL $1.91B to $2.34B (+22.9%) since Oct 3, 2026.
TVL
1.91B
2.33B
TVL $1.91B to $2.33B (+22.3%) since Oct 3, 2026.
OUR NUMBERS ABOVE · PUBLIC FACTS BELOW
Where CAKE is listedON RECORD2 venues
Where CAKE is listed: spot and perpetuals, with dates
as of · exchange instrument APIs · announcementsread it →
Exchange coverage matrix: 2 venues on record; cell text is the listing date
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on CAKE · questions · sources
CAKE in short
PancakeSwap (CAKE) is a crypto token on its own chain, with no start date recorded; rank #92 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 94.3% below its Apr 30, 2021 high.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the price is $2.53 (+1.5% over 24 hours), market cap $835.1M, fully diluted value $864.4M, holder count not reported, $2.34B TVL.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; CAKE is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 4, 2026.
This site has 4 past events for PancakeSwap: 1 exchange listings, 1 futures listings, 0 unlocks, 1 hacks and 0 funding rounds; the median 30-day move after the 0 measured events was not yet measurable.
From the latest data refresh
PancakeSwap (CAKE) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #92 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 94.3% below its Apr 30, 2021 high.
The record's largest loss is a $1.8M hack on Apr 12, 2021 (access control).
2 daily snapshots run from Oct 3, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026; over that span the rank went from #92 to #92.
No exchange listing with a date is on record for CAKE as of Oct 4, 2026.
No listing of CAKE has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 4, 2026.
an unstated share of total supply is unlocked as of Oct 4, 2026 and no further unlock is scheduled in the on-chain vesting contracts we read.
CAKE is a native coin: its supply and rules follow protocol rules, and no issuer key was found to check as of Oct 4, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for PancakeSwap as of Oct 4, 2026.
PancakeSwap lists 1 audit link on DefiLlama; 1 hack totalling $1.8M is recorded.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for PancakeSwap as of Oct 4, 2026.
DefiLlama reports $2.34B TVL and $7.4M revenue over 30 days as of Oct 4, 2026;
revenue to market cap of 0.106 sits at the 79th percentile of 1495 all tokens on record tokens.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 4, 2026.
The issuer holds 0 of 0 checked powers as of Oct 4, 2026; 13 not checked, 0 not applicable.
Whether the issuer can mint new tokens, freeze accounts, upgrade the contract, change balances, act through a hidden owner, blacklist addresses, restrict transfers to a whitelist, pause transfers, take a tax on purchases, take a tax on sales, block resale, hide the contract source and act through admin keys was not checked: no dexscreener response for those fields on BNB Chain as of Oct 4, 2026.
security rows per chain and tokens.powers; vocabulary fixed: held, revoked, unknown; checked Oct 4, 2026.
PancakeSwap trades 94.3% below its all-time high of $44.14, set on Apr 30, 2021, 1,983 days before Oct 4, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.26).
Price change as of Oct 4, 2026: −0.1% over 1 hour, +1.5% over 24 hours, −8.2% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 96.6% of fully diluted value ($835.1M of $864.4M), so 3.4% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $21.6M is 2.6% of market cap as of Oct 4, 2026.
Circulating supply is 330.7M of 342.3M total (96.6%); no maximum supply is stated.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1495 tokens, so CAKE sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 4, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
PancakeSwap has 1 contract or mint address on record across 1 chain (bnb); it is the native coin of its own chain.
No other token on record uses the symbol CAKE as of Oct 4, 2026.
PancakeSwap shares its ticker with CAKE (Babycake 2.0), CAKE (Cake Inu), CAKE (Cake) and CAKE (MONCAKE) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 4, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Feb 5, 2021, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 4, 2026: CoinPaprika id cake-pancakeswap, DefiLlama slug pancakeswap, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for PancakeSwap as of Oct 4, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 4, 2026.
Over the 30 days to Oct 4, 2026 DefiLlama records $22.7M of fees and $7.4M of revenue for PancakeSwap, against $2.34B of TVL; revenue to market cap is 0.106, the 79th percentile among 1495 all tokens on record tokens.
Annualised revenue of $88.8M gives a price-to-sales multiple of 9.4x at the $835.1M market cap of Oct 4, 2026.
TVL moved +782861507.9% between Apr 22, 2021 and Oct 4, 2026 (364 daily points).
Binance carries 96.8% of TVL across 12 chains (Binance$2.27B, Ethereum $29M, Base $24.3M, Arbitrum $8.6M and Solana $6.7M).
DefiLlama records no parent protocol for PancakeSwap (not a fork).
No oracle is listed for PancakeSwap on DefiLlama.
DefiLlama lists PancakeSwap under 'Dexs' since Feb 13, 2023 (slug pancakeswap).
DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Among 1495 all tokens on record tokens, PancakeSwap is at the 94th percentile by market cap, 52nd by distance from ATH and unranked by share unlocked as of Oct 4, 2026.
The peer median market cap is $13.9M, the median distance from ATH −94.9% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Liquid Staked Ethereum (#91), Midnight (#93), Filecoin (#90), Aerodrome Finance (#94) and Lighter (#89).
Market cap: $835.1M (P94 of 1495; peer median $13.9M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 2.59% (P51 of 1495; peer median 2.47%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1495; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −94.3% (P52 of 1495; peer median −94.9%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.106 (P79 of 279; peer median 0.006).
TVL: $2.34B (P94 of 419; peer median $5.5M).
peer set: all tokens on record (1495 tokens); as of Oct 4, 2026.
3 of 5 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 14 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6)
2026-10-04 19:24 UTC
none
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teamfinance
0 of 5 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
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2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 4, 2026 19:21 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x08280), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
hedgey last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY;
Optimism logs: HTTP 4), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 6,560 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.