$25.37+7.0%24hmcap $245.31M · its own chain · rank #169
1
The prediction
as of Oct 4, 2026
COMP price prediction for tomorrow
52%chance COMP is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $245.31M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 48% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 46.4% of 10,929 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 2088 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−30%−20%−10%0%−5%0%+5%+10%+29% in 30 days↑ 97% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 9 fell · ◆ 11 sideways(±1.0% over 1 day)
Bold: COMP's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 2088 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to COMP's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$24.19−4%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$25.09−0.2%half did better, half worse
Good case$26.10+4%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.2%
Likely range
−4% to +4%$24.19 – $26.10
2,459 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.8% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
COMP price prediction for this week
57%chance COMP is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $245.31M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 43% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 36,473 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 2088 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−30%−20%−10%0%−20%−10%0%+10%+20%+29% in 30 days↑ 97% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 4 rose · ▼ 16 fell · ◆ 10 sideways(±2.6% over 7 days)
Bold: COMP's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 2088 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to COMP's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$22.04−12%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$24.78−1.4%half did better, half worse
Good case$28.07+12%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−1.4%
Likely range
−12% to +12%$22.04 – $28.07
2,326 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.4% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
COMP price prediction for the next 30 days
70%chance COMP is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $245.31M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 30% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 2088 matched past setups
next 30 days
−30%−20%−10%0%−40%−20%0%+20%+40%+29% in 30 days↑ 97% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 5 rose · ▼ 18 fell · ◆ 7 sideways(±6.6% over 30 days)
Bold: COMP's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 2088 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to COMP's volatility.
Bad case$18.48−26%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$23.22−7.6%half did better, half worse
Good case$29.90+19%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−7.6%
Likely range
−26% to +19%$18.48 – $29.90
2,088 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 63.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this COMP prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for COMP in setups like this: short, hold 30 days, 2× — profitable 68.9% of the time, typical +14.8%, liquidated 7.4% of the time (n=2088).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±5.5% over 30 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 402 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 2,088 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own COMP trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade COMP · by share of the last day's volume
COMP$25.3752% ▼ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 10× → +3.0%open calculator
COMP$25.3757% ▼ 7Dbest play▼ Short 7D 4× → +7.6%open calculator
COMP$25.3770% ▼ 30Dbest play▼ Short 30D 2× → +15%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in COMP's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (2,459 cases) into 48% higher.
79% below its high
79% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (131,564 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
Up 29% over 30 days
Up 29% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (39,806 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (168,672 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (90,261 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in COMP's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (2,326 cases) into 43% higher.
Up 29% over 30 days
Up 29% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (38,824 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,458 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($245.3M market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 42% of the time (63,184 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (+3%). After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,734 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in COMP's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (2,088 cases) into 30% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (82,194 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Up 29% over 30 days
Up 29% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (35,679 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($245.3M market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 35% of the time (61,807 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 35% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
79% below its high
79% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (124,083 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Our record on COMP
Our last 6 calls on COMP over 30 days: right on 0 of 6 · 1 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on COMP: 56.8% hit rate, 72.9% inside the range (44 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 64% down · ended +9.1%✗ wrongAug 2 said 64% down · ended +15.4%✗ wrongAug 9 said 64% down · ended +26.0%✗ wrongAug 16 said 61% down · ended +17.0%✗ wrongAug 23 said 70% down · ended +12.5%✗ wrongAug 30 said 68% down · ended +37.5%✗ wrong
white: COMP's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 2 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
active —
NoneRank #169on record since 2020-07-16$147M lost to hacks
$25.37
24H+7.0%
30D0.0%
1Y0.0%
FROM ATH−97.2%
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 61 data points on this page
Changed 2026-10-04 Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority unknown, freeze authority unknown, upgrade key unknown, admin keys unknown, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.2026-10-04 event hallmark → 3,4192026-10-04 event hack → 3,585full log →
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
7
higher 30 days after
—
typical 30-day move
—
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED7 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
COMP: 7 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2021
hack Compound V2 exploited for $147M
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
defillama
Arithmetic Error COMP was hacked on Sep 29, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high COMP all-time high: $913.49
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. COMP set an all-time high on May 12, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
COMP-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, USDT, USDC). OKX listed COMP on Jan 29, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
COMP-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. OKX opened perpetual futures for COMP on Apr 21, 2020; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How COMP's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
COMP median day 30
COMP n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 4, 2026
Venue · kind
COMP median day 7
COMP n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 4, 2026
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
COMP median day 1
COMP n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 4, 2026
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority unknown, freeze authority unknown, upgrade key unknown, admin keys unknown, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.
event
hallmark
3,419
New record entry (hallmark, Jun 15, 2020): COMP distribution begins.
event
hack
3,585
New record entry (hack, Sep 29, 2021): Compound V2 exploited for $147M.
OUR NUMBERS ABOVE · PUBLIC FACTS BELOW
Where COMP is listedON RECORD4 venues
Where COMP is listed: spot and perpetuals, with dates
as of · exchange instrument APIs · announcementsread it →
Exchange coverage matrix: 4 venues on record; cell text is the listing date
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on COMP · questions · sources
COMP in short
Filed under crypto on its own chain, Compound (COMP) has been with no start date recorded; it holds rank #169 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026 and trades 97.2% below its May 12, 2021 high.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the price is $25.37 (+7.0% over 24 hours), market cap $245.3M, fully diluted value $253.7M, 219,177 holders, $1.63B TVL.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; COMP is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the record for Compound runs to 7 events, of which 2 are spot listings, 2 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 1 hacks and 0 funding rounds; 0 carry a day-30 measurement with a median of not yet measurable.
From the latest data refresh
Compound (COMP) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #169 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 97.2% below its May 12, 2021 high.
The record's largest loss is a $147M hack on Sep 29, 2021 (token & share accounting).
Since PatternPlus began recording on Oct 3, 2026 (2 daily snapshots), rank moved from #169 to #169.
COMP is on 4 spot and 1 perpetual venues on record; the earliest dated listing was OKX (perp) on Apr 21, 2020.
No listing of COMP has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 4, 2026.
an unstated share of total supply is unlocked as of Oct 4, 2026 and no further unlock is scheduled in the on-chain vesting contracts we read.
COMP is a native coin: its supply and rules follow protocol rules, and no issuer key was found to check as of Oct 4, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Compound as of Oct 4, 2026.
Compound lists 1 audit link on DefiLlama; 1 hack totalling $147M is recorded.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Compound as of Oct 4, 2026.
DefiLlama reports $1.63B TVL and $331,897 revenue over 30 days as of Oct 4, 2026;
revenue to market cap of 0.016 sits at the 58th percentile of 1495 all tokens on record tokens.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026, 0 of the 0 powers that could be checked are held by the issuer; 13 could not be checked and 0 do not apply.
Whether the issuer can mint new tokens, freeze accounts, upgrade the contract, change balances, act through a hidden owner, blacklist addresses, restrict transfers to a whitelist, pause transfers, take a tax on purchases, take a tax on sales, block resale, hide the contract source and act through admin keys was not checked: no ethplorer+dexscreener response for those fields on Ethereum as of Oct 4, 2026.
security rows per chain and tokens.powers; vocabulary fixed: held, revoked, unknown; checked Oct 4, 2026.
The change log holds 3 entries between Oct 4, 2026 and Oct 4, 2026; the newest reads: Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority unknown, freeze authority unknown, upgrade key unknown, admin keys unknown, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.
Changed since Oct 4, 2026: powers set to mint_authority=unknown freeze_authority=unknown upgradeable=unknown admin_keys=unknown honeypot=unknown pausable=unknown blacklist=unknown tax=unknown (Oct 4) · event hallmark → 3,419 (Oct 4) · event hack → 3,585 (Oct 4).
The fields that changed most often were event (2) and powers (1).
Changes logged for this record: 3 in the last 30 days as of Oct 4, 2026.
COMP is on 4 spot and 1 perpetual venues on record; the earliest was OKX (perp) on Apr 21, 2020 and the latest OKX (spot) on Jan 29, 2021; the first perpetual opened on OKX on Apr 21, 2020, 283 days before the first spot pair.
0 delistings are on record for COMP as of Oct 4, 2026.
1083 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no COMP listing on record as of Oct 4, 2026 (Bitget, Azbit, Pionex, WEEX, Lbank and Gate, among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 4, 2026.
The all-time high on record for Compound is $913.49 on May 12, 2021, 1,971 days ago as of Oct 4, 2026; the price is 97.2% below it; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.07).
Price change as of Oct 4, 2026: −0.8% over 1 hour, +7.0% over 24 hours, +6.1% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 96.7% of fully diluted value ($245.3M of $253.7M), so 3.3% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $12.1M is 4.9% of market cap as of Oct 4, 2026.
Circulating supply is 9.7M of 10M total (96.7%) and a maximum of 10M.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1495 tokens, so COMP sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 4, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
1 address identify Compound on ethereum; as the native coin of its own chain it has no token contract.
No other token on record uses the symbol COMP as of Oct 4, 2026.
Compound shares its ticker with COMP (Compound Coin) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 4, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Jul 16, 2020, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 4, 2026: CoinPaprika id comp-compoundd, DefiLlama slug compound-finance, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Compound as of Oct 4, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 4, 2026.
Compound reported $2.5M in fees and $331,897 in revenue over 30 days to DefiLlama on $1.63B TVL as of Oct 4, 2026; its revenue-to-market-cap ratio of 0.016 is at the 58th percentile of 1495 all tokens on record tokens.
Annualised revenue of $4M gives a price-to-sales multiple of 61.6x at the $245.3M market cap of Oct 4, 2026.
TVL moved +3509977.2% between Sep 27, 2018 and Oct 4, 2026 (499 daily points).
Ethereum carries 92.8% of TVL across 10 chains (Ethereum $1.51B, Arbitrum $72.1M, Base $27.4M, Optimism $10M and Polygon $4.8M).
DefiLlama records no parent protocol for Compound (not a fork).
No oracle is listed for Compound on DefiLlama.
DefiLlama lists Compound under 'Lending' since Sep 14, 2022 (slug compound-finance).
DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Among 1495 all tokens on record tokens, Compound is at the 89th percentile by market cap, 38th by distance from ATH and unranked by share unlocked as of Oct 4, 2026.
The peer median market cap is $13.9M, the median distance from ATH −94.9% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
By holders COMP sits at P88 (219,177 against a median of 27,132); by exchanges at PNone.
The nearest peers by rank are THORChain (#168), Ethereum Name Service (#170), dogwifhat (#167), Alchemix USD (#171) and Floki Inu (#166).
Market cap: $245.3M (P89 of 1495; peer median $13.9M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 4.95% (P64 of 1495; peer median 2.47%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1495; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −97.2% (P38 of 1495; peer median −94.9%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.016 (P58 of 279; peer median 0.006).
Holders: 219,177 (P88 of 178; peer median 27,132).
TVL: $1.63B (P93 of 419; peer median $5.5M).
peer set: all tokens on record (1495 tokens); as of Oct 4, 2026.
3 of 5 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 14 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6)
2026-10-04 19:24 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
0 of 5 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
—
2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 4, 2026 19:21 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x08280), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
hedgey last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY;
Optimism logs: HTTP 4), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 6,696 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.