$2.3+3.3%24hmcap $227.02M · its own chain · rank #181
1
The prediction
as of Oct 4, 2026
CVX price prediction for tomorrow
54%chance CVX is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $227.02M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 46% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 46.4% of 10,929 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 4783 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−20%−10%0%−5%0%+5%+10%+4.2% in 30 days↑ 96% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 12 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±1.0% over 1 day)
Bold: CVX's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 4783 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to CVX's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$2.18−5%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$2.29−0.4%half did better, half worse
Good case$2.39+4%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.4%
Likely range
−5% to +4%$2.18 – $2.39
4,982 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.8% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
CVX price prediction for this week
57%chance CVX is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $227.02M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 43% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 36,473 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 4783 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−20%−10%0%−20%0%+20%+40%+4.2% in 30 days↑ 96% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 5 rose · ▼ 14 fell · ◆ 11 sideways(±2.6% over 7 days)
Bold: CVX's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 4783 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to CVX's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$1.95−15%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$2.26−1.6%half did better, half worse
Good case$2.63+15%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−1.6%
Likely range
−15% to +15%$1.95 – $2.63
4,930 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.4% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
CVX price prediction for the next 30 days
59%chance CVX is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $227.02M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 41% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 4783 matched past setups
next 30 days
−20%−10%0%−100%−50%0%+50%+100%+150%+4.2% in 30 days↑ 96% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 7 rose · ▼ 14 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±6.7% over 30 days)
Bold: CVX's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 4783 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to CVX's volatility.
Bad case$1.43−38%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$2.18−5.2%half did better, half worse
Good case$3.17+38%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−5.2%
Likely range
−38% to +38%$1.43 – $3.17
4,783 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 63.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this CVX prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for CVX in setups like this: short, hold 2 days, 8× — profitable 60.8% of the time, typical +11.2%, liquidated 8.8% of the time (n=4783).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±1.4% over 2 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 396 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 4,783 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own CVX trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade CVX · by share of the last day's volume
CVX$2.354% ▼ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 10× → +3.0%open calculator
CVX$2.357% ▼ 7Dbest play▼ Short 7D 3× → +4.8%open calculator
CVX$2.359% ▼ 30Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 30Dopen calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in CVX's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (4,982 cases) into 46% higher.
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (+4%). After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 45% of the time (61,195 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 45% · normal 46% higher a day later
69% below its high
69% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (131,564 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (168,672 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (90,261 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in CVX's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (4,930 cases) into 43% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,458 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (+4%). After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (60,656 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($227M market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 42% of the time (63,184 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (+3%). After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,734 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in CVX's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (4,783 cases) into 41% higher.
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (+4%). After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 40% of the time (58,494 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 40% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (82,194 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($227M market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 35% of the time (61,807 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 35% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
69% below its high
69% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (124,083 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Our record on CVX
Our last 6 calls on CVX over 30 days: right on 2 of 6 · 3 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on CVX: 52.2% hit rate, 77.1% inside the range (46 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 70% down · ended +44.5%✗ wrongAug 2 said 69% down · ended +88.3%✗ wrongAug 9 said 70% down · ended +37.7%✗ wrongAug 16 said 68% down · ended +14.2%✗ wrongAug 23 said 70% down · ended −1.9%✓ rightAug 30 said 75% down · ended −0.5%✓ right
white: CVX's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 2 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
active —
NoneRank #181on record since 2021-08-12$14K lost to hacks
$2.3
24H+3.3%
30D0.0%
1Y0.0%
FROM ATH−96.2%
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 57 data points on this page
Changed 2026-10-04 Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority unknown, freeze authority unknown, upgrade key unknown, admin keys unknown, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.full log →
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
13
higher 30 days after
0 of 1
typical 30-day move
−6.3%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED13 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
CVX: 13 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
CVX-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. On Jun 25, 2024OKX opened perpetual futures for CVX; it rose 3.8% by day 1 and was 6.3% lower 30 days later, 15 points behind BTC; it had moved −9.2% in the 7 days before.
2023
hallmark cvxPRISMA Launched
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defillama
CVX saw a hallmark on Oct 27, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
hallmark cvxFXN Launched
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defillama
CVX saw a hallmark on Sep 26, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
hallmark Curve reentrancy hack
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defillama
CVX saw a hallmark on Jul 30, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
2022
hallmark FTX collapse
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defillama
CVX saw a hallmark on Nov 6, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
hack Convex Finance exploited for $14k
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defillama
DNS Hijack CVX was hacked on Jun 24, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
hallmark stETH depeg
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defillama
CVX saw a hallmark on Jun 10, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
hallmark UST depeg
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defillama
CVX saw a hallmark on May 7, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
hallmark MIM depeg
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defillama
CVX saw a hallmark on Jan 16, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high CVX all-time high: $60.51
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derived
Highest daily close in our price history. CVX set an all-time high on Jan 1, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
CVX-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, USDT, USDC). OKX listed CVX on Nov 26, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How CVX's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
CVX median day 30
CVX n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
OKX · perpetual listing
−6.3%
1
−22.7%
138
30.4%
above
Venue · kind
CVX median day 7
CVX n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
OKX · perpetual listing
−2.8%
1
−14.1%
—
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above
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
CVX median day 1
CVX n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
OKX · perpetual listing
+3.8%
1
−2.6%
—
—
above
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority unknown, freeze authority unknown, upgrade key unknown, admin keys unknown, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.
OUR NUMBERS ABOVE · PUBLIC FACTS BELOW
Where CVX is listedON RECORD3 venues
Where CVX is listed: spot and perpetuals, with dates
as of · exchange instrument APIs · announcementsread it →
Exchange coverage matrix: 3 venues on record; cell text is the listing date
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on CVX · questions · sources
CVX in short
Convex Finance (CVX), a crypto token on its own chain with no start date recorded, stands at rank #181 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 96.2% below its Jan 1, 2022 high.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the price is $2.3 (+3.3% over 24 hours), market cap $227M, fully diluted value $229.5M, holder count not reported, $615.4M TVL.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; CVX is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 4, 2026.
This site has 13 past events for Convex Finance: 2 exchange listings, 1 futures listings, 0 unlocks, 1 hacks and 0 funding rounds; the median 30-day move after the 1 measured events was −6.3%.
From the latest data refresh
Convex Finance (CVX), crypto on its own chain, holds rank #181 by market cap on Oct 4, 2026 and trades 96.2% under its Jan 1, 2022 high.
The record's largest loss is a $14,000 hack on Jun 24, 2022 (frontend & infrastructure).
Since PatternPlus began recording on Oct 3, 2026 (2 daily snapshots), rank moved from #181 to #181.
3 spot pairs and 1 perpetual instruments are live for CVX as of Oct 4, 2026, starting with OKX on Nov 26, 2021.
1 of its listings have a measured day-30 outcome (median −6.3%); 1 finished above the venue's own listing median and 0 below.
No unlock schedule is on record for CVX as of Oct 4, 2026.
CVX is a native coin: its supply and rules follow protocol rules, and no issuer key was found to check as of Oct 4, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Convex Finance as of Oct 4, 2026.
Convex Finance lists 1 audit link on DefiLlama; 1 hack totalling $14,000 is recorded.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Convex Finance as of Oct 4, 2026.
DefiLlama reports $615.4M TVL and $929,331 revenue over 30 days as of Oct 4, 2026;
revenue to market cap of 0.049 sits at the 71st percentile of 1495 all tokens on record tokens.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Across 138 perpetual listings on OKX, the median move is −2.6% on day 1 and −22.7% by day 30; 30.4% were still up after 30 days; CVX's one sits above that median at −6.3%.
CVX sits above the venue median in 1 of 1 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 4, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 4, 2026.
The issuer holds 0 of 0 checked powers as of Oct 4, 2026; 13 not checked, 0 not applicable.
Whether the issuer can mint new tokens, freeze accounts, upgrade the contract, change balances, act through a hidden owner, blacklist addresses, restrict transfers to a whitelist, pause transfers, take a tax on purchases, take a tax on sales, block resale, hide the contract source and act through admin keys was not checked: no dexscreener response for those fields on Ethereum as of Oct 4, 2026.
security rows per chain and tokens.powers; vocabulary fixed: held, revoked, unknown; checked Oct 4, 2026.
13 events since Nov 26, 2021; 1 of the 1 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best OKX lists CVX perpetual on Jun 25, 2024 (−6.3%), worst OKX lists CVX perpetual on Jun 25, 2024 (−6.3%).
1001 daily closes from Jan 8, 2024 to Oct 4, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 2 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $60.51 on Jan 1, 2022, 1,737 days before Oct 4, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 4, 2026.
1 change is logged for this page since Oct 4, 2026; the latest, on Oct 4, 2026, is: Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority unknown, freeze authority unknown, upgrade key unknown, admin keys unknown, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.
Changed since Oct 4, 2026: powers set to mint_authority=unknown freeze_authority=unknown upgradeable=unknown admin_keys=unknown honeypot=unknown pausable=unknown blacklist=unknown tax=unknown (Oct 4).
The fields that changed most often were powers (1).
Changes logged for this record: 1 in the last 30 days as of Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026CVX trades on 3 spot venues and 1 perpetual venues with dated listings, from OKX on Nov 26, 2021 to OKX on Jun 25, 2024; the first perpetual opened on OKX on Jun 25, 2024, 942 days after the first spot pair.
0 delistings are on record for CVX as of Oct 4, 2026.
1084 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no CVX listing on record as of Oct 4, 2026 (Bitget, Azbit, Pionex, WEEX, Lbank and Gate, among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 4, 2026.
The all-time high on record for Convex Finance is $60.51 on Jan 1, 2022, 1,737 days ago as of Oct 4, 2026; the price is 96.2% below it; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.51).
Price change as of Oct 4, 2026: −0.3% over 1 hour, +3.3% over 24 hours, +12.1% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 98.9% of fully diluted value ($227M of $229.5M), so 1.1% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $6.1M is 2.7% of market cap as of Oct 4, 2026.
Circulating supply is 98.8M of 99.9M total (98.9%); no maximum supply is stated.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1495 tokens, so CVX sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 4, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
Convex Finance has 1 contract or mint address on record across 1 chain (ethereum); it is the native coin of its own chain.
No other token on record uses the symbol CVX as of Oct 4, 2026.
No former name, former symbol or alias is recorded for Convex Finance as of Oct 4, 2026.
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Aug 12, 2021, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 4, 2026: CoinPaprika id cvx-convex-finance, DefiLlama slug convex-finance, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Convex Finance as of Oct 4, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 4, 2026.
Over the 30 days to Oct 4, 2026 DefiLlama records $2.4M of fees and $929,331 of revenue for Convex Finance, against $615.4M of TVL; revenue to market cap is 0.049, the 71st percentile among 1495 all tokens on record tokens.
Annualised revenue of $11.2M gives a price-to-sales multiple of 20.4x at the $227M market cap of Oct 4, 2026.
TVL moved +1694.0% between May 17, 2021 and Oct 4, 2026 (360 daily points).
Ethereum carries 98.6% of TVL across 4 chains (Ethereum $606.6M, Fraxtal $6.6M, Arbitrum $2M and Polygon $253,363).
DefiLlama records no parent protocol for Convex Finance (not a fork).
No oracle is listed for Convex Finance on DefiLlama.
DefiLlama lists Convex Finance under 'Yield' (slug convex-finance).
DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Set against 1495 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 4, 2026, Convex Finance ranks at the 88th percentile for market cap, the 44th for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $13.9M, the median distance from ATH −94.9% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are THETA (#180), LayerZero (#180), Legacy Frax Dollar (#182), Shuffle (#183) and Ribbita by Virtuals (#178).
Market cap: $227M (P88 of 1495; peer median $13.9M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 2.71% (P52 of 1495; peer median 2.47%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1495; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −96.2% (P44 of 1495; peer median −94.9%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.049 (P71 of 279; peer median 0.006).
TVL: $615.4M (P87 of 419; peer median $5.5M).
peer set: all tokens on record (1495 tokens); as of Oct 4, 2026.
3 of 5 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 14 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6)
2026-10-04 19:24 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
0 of 5 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
—
2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 4, 2026 19:21 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x08280), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
hedgey last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY;
Optimism logs: HTTP 4), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 6,556 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.