$0.1932+2.5%24hmcap $8.32M · its own chain · rank #916
1
The prediction
as of Oct 4, 2026
LIGHT price prediction for tomorrow
54%chance LIGHT is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $8.32M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 46% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 46.4% of 10,929 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 106 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−30%−20%−10%0%−5%0%+5%+4.8% in 30 days↑ 96% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 13 fell · ◆ 7 sideways(±1.0% over 1 day)
Bold: LIGHT's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 106 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to LIGHT's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.189−5%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.198−0.4%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.211+6%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.4%
Likely range
−5% to +6%$0.189 – $0.211
2,535 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.8% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
LIGHT price prediction for this week
58%chance LIGHT is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $8.32M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 42% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 36,473 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 106 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−30%−20%−10%0%−20%0%+20%+40%+4.8% in 30 days↑ 96% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 8 rose · ▼ 10 fell · ◆ 12 sideways(±2.6% over 7 days)
Bold: LIGHT's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 106 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to LIGHT's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.176−12%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.196−1.6%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.228+14%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−1.6%
Likely range
−12% to +14%$0.176 – $0.228
2,508 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.4% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
LIGHT price prediction for the next 30 days
60%chance LIGHT is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $8.32M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 40% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 106 matched past setups
next 30 days
−30%−20%−10%0%−50%0%+50%+100%+150%+4.8% in 30 days↑ 96% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 12 rose · ▼ 10 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±8.8% over 30 days)
Bold: LIGHT's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 106 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to LIGHT's volatility.
Bad case$0.139−30%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.191−4.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.263+32%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−4.3%
Likely range
−30% to +32%$0.139 – $0.263
106 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 63.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this LIGHT prediction and count how it ended.
No trade window for LIGHT was profitable in most similar past cases with a positive average result and liquidations at or under 10% (n=106).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±2.6% over 7 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 306 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 106 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own LIGHT trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade LIGHT · by share of the last day's volume
LIGHT$0.193254% ▼ 1Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 1Dopen calculator
LIGHT$0.193258% ▼ 7Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 7Dopen calculator
LIGHT$0.193260% ▼ 30Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 30Dopen calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in LIGHT's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (2,535 cases) into 46% higher.
Up 9% over 7 days
Up 9% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 45% of the time (37,341 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 45% · normal 46% higher a day later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (+5%). After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 45% of the time (61,195 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 45% · normal 46% higher a day later
95% below its high
95% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (131,564 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($8.3M market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 46% of the time (88,690 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in LIGHT's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (2,508 cases) into 42% higher.
Up 9% over 7 days
Up 9% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 40% of the time (36,949 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 40% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,458 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (+5%). After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (60,656 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
95% below its high
95% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a week later 42% of the time (129,935 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in LIGHT's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (106 cases) into 40% higher.
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (+5%). After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 40% of the time (58,494 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 40% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (82,194 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
95% below its high
95% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (124,083 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Big unlock in 28 days
Big token unlock coming (56.6% of supply in 28 days). Before unlocks like this, price was higher 30 days later 37% of the time (863 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 37% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Our record on LIGHT
Our last 6 calls on LIGHT over 30 days: right on 1 of 6 · 6 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on LIGHT: 53.1% hit rate, 93.8% inside the range (32 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 67% down · ended +7.9%✗ wrongAug 2 said 67% down · ended +15.7%✗ wrongAug 9 said 67% down · ended +18.0%✗ wrongAug 16 said 65% down · ended −7.0%✓ rightAug 23 said 66% down · ended +28.7%✗ wrongAug 30 said 66% down · ended +4.0%✗ wrong
white: LIGHT's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 4, 2026: 1 live 30-day prediction on record, first result due Nov 3, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 69 data points on this page
Changed 2026-10-04 Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority revoked, freeze authority revoked, upgrade key unknown, admin keys revoked, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.full log →
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
2
higher 30 days after
0 of 2
typical 30-day move
−71.8%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED2 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
LIGHT: 2 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2025
all-time high LIGHT all-time high: $4.81
—
+290.4%
−77.0%
−86.9%
−89.2%
−89.3%
−94.3%
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Dec 21, 2025 LIGHT set an all-time high; it fell 77.0% by day 1 and was 89.2% lower 30 days later, 89 points behind BTC; it had moved +290.4% in the 7 days before.
LIGHT-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. On Dec 16, 2025OKX opened perpetual futures for LIGHT; it rose 10.2% by day 1 and was 54.3% lower 30 days later, 65 points behind BTC; it had moved +26.0% in the 7 days before.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How LIGHT's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
LIGHT median day 30
LIGHT n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
all venues · all-time high
−89.2%
1
−40.3%
429
6.1%
below
OKX · perpetual listing
−54.3%
1
−22.7%
138
30.4%
below
Venue · kind
LIGHT median day 7
LIGHT n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
all venues · all-time high
−86.9%
1
−17.7%
—
—
below
OKX · perpetual listing
−32.4%
1
−14.1%
—
—
below
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
LIGHT median day 1
LIGHT n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
all venues · all-time high
−77.0%
1
−4.1%
—
—
below
OKX · perpetual listing
+10.2%
1
−2.6%
—
—
above
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority revoked, freeze authority revoked, upgrade key unknown, admin keys revoked, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.
OUR NUMBERS ABOVE · PUBLIC FACTS BELOW
Where LIGHT is listedON RECORD1 venues
Where LIGHT is listed: spot and perpetuals, with dates
as of · exchange instrument APIs · announcementsread it →
Exchange coverage matrix: 1 venues on record; cell text is the listing date
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on LIGHT · questions · sources
LIGHT in short
Filed under crypto on its own chain, Bitlight (LIGHT) has been with no start date recorded; it holds rank #916 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026 and trades 96.0% below its Dec 21, 2025 high.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the price is $0.1932 (+2.5% over 24 hours), market cap $8.3M, fully diluted value $81.1M, 9,220 holders, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; LIGHT is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 4, 2026.
2 events sit on Bitlight's record as of Oct 4, 2026 (0 spot listings, 1 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks, 0 rounds); across the 2 with a measured day-30 outcome the median move was −71.8%.
From the latest data refresh
Bitlight (LIGHT), crypto on its own chain, holds rank #916 by market cap on Oct 4, 2026 and trades 96.0% under its Dec 21, 2025 high.
The next unlock, 56.6% of circulating supply, is scheduled for Nov 1, 2026.
2 daily snapshots run from Oct 3, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026; over that span the rank went from #916 to #916.
LIGHT is on 0 spot and 1 perpetual venues on record; the earliest dated listing was OKX (perp) on Dec 16, 2025.
1 of its listings have a measured day-30 outcome (median −54.3%); 0 finished above the venue's own listing median and 1 below.
an unstated share of total supply is unlocked as of Oct 4, 2026;
the next scheduled unlock is Nov 1, 2026, 56.6% of circulating ($4.7M at today's price) under 'Streamflow vesting, linear'.
The issuer holds none of the 3 checked powers as of Oct 4, 2026; 10 were not checked.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Bitlight as of Oct 4, 2026.
Bitlight lists 1 audit link on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 4, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Bitlight as of Oct 4, 2026.
DefiLlama reports not reported TVL and $0 revenue over 30 days as of Oct 4, 2026;
revenue to market cap of 0.000 sits at the 9th percentile of 1495 all tokens on record tokens.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Across 429 all-time highs across every token on record, the median move is −4.1% on day 1 and −40.3% by day 30; 6.1% were still up after 30 days; LIGHT's one sits below that median at −89.2%.
Across 138 perpetual listings on OKX, the median move is −2.6% on day 1 and −22.7% by day 30;
30.4% were still up after 30 days;
LIGHT's one sits below that median at −54.3%.
LIGHT sits above the venue median in 0 of 2 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 4, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026, 0 of the 3 powers that could be checked are held by the issuer; 10 could not be checked and 0 do not apply.
3 of the checked powers are revoked or absent on Solana (mint more tokens, freeze accounts and admin keys);
the panel row for each states what that means for a holder.
Whether the issuer can upgrade the contract, change balances, act through a hidden owner, blacklist addresses, restrict transfers to a whitelist, pause transfers, take a tax on purchases, take a tax on sales, block resale and hide the contract source was not checked: no jupiter+dexscreener response for those fields on Solana as of Oct 4, 2026.
security rows per chain and tokens.powers; vocabulary fixed: held, revoked, unknown; checked Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026, an unstated share of LIGHT's total supply is unlocked; on Nov 1, 2026 a further 24.4M LIGHT (56.6% of circulating, $4.7M at today's price) is scheduled under 'Streamflow vesting, linear'.
3 unlocks fall in the 90 days to Jan 2, 2027, releasing 170.6% of circulating supply ($14.2M at today's price).
No past unlock has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 4, 2026.
The unlock schedule from the on-chain vesting contracts we read holds 25 rows from Aug 1, 2025 to Aug 1, 2027: 25 linear; 15 rows are in the past.
No allocation breakdown is on record for LIGHT as of Oct 4, 2026.
On-chain vesting contracts (Sablier, Hedgey, UNCX, Team Finance, Streamflow and Jupiter Lock), effects from our price series; as of Oct 4, 2026.
2 events since Dec 16, 2025; 2 of the 2 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best OKX lists LIGHT perpetual on Dec 16, 2025 (−54.3%), worst LIGHT all-time high: $4.81 on Dec 21, 2025 (−89.2%).
373 daily closes from Sep 27, 2025 to Oct 4, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 2 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $4.81 on Dec 21, 2025, 287 days before Oct 4, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 4, 2026.
1 change is logged for this page since Oct 4, 2026; the latest, on Oct 4, 2026, is: Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority revoked, freeze authority revoked, upgrade key unknown, admin keys revoked, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.
Changed since Oct 4, 2026: powers set to mint_authority=revoked freeze_authority=revoked upgradeable=unknown admin_keys=revoked honeypot=unknown pausable=unknown blacklist=unknown tax=unknown (Oct 4).
The fields that changed most often were powers (1).
Changes logged for this record: 1 in the last 30 days as of Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026 LIGHT trades on 0 spot venues and 1 perpetual venues with dated listings, from OKX on Dec 16, 2025 to OKX on Dec 16, 2025; the first perpetual opened on OKX on Dec 16, 2025.
0 delistings are on record for LIGHT as of Oct 4, 2026.
1086 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no LIGHT listing on record as of Oct 4, 2026 (Bitget, Binance, Azbit, Coinbase, Pionex and WEEX, among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 4, 2026.
The all-time high on record for Bitlight is $4.81 on Dec 21, 2025, 287 days ago as of Oct 4, 2026; the price is 96.0% below it; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 0.64).
Price change as of Oct 4, 2026: −0.5% over 1 hour, +2.5% over 24 hours, +14.1% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
With $8.3M market cap against $81.1M fully diluted, 89.7% of LIGHT's valuation is in non-circulating supply as of Oct 4, 2026.
24-hour volume of $1.3M is 16.1% of market cap as of Oct 4, 2026.
Circulating supply is 43.1M of 420M total (10.3%) and a maximum of 420M.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1495 tokens, so LIGHT sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 4, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
Bitlight has 1 contract or mint address on record across 1 chain (solana); it is the native coin of its own chain.
No other token on record uses the symbol LIGHT as of Oct 4, 2026.
Bitlight shares its ticker with LIGHT (Arcturian AI by Virtuals), LIGHT (LUMINOUS AI), LIGHT (Light DeFi), LIGHT (Lightbringer) and LIGHT (Lightning Protocol) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 4, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Sep 27, 2025, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 4, 2026: CoinPaprika id light-bitlight, DefiLlama slug heaven, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Bitlight as of Oct 4, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 4, 2026.
Over the 30 days to Oct 4, 2026 DefiLlama records $0 of fees and $0 of revenue for Bitlight, against not reported of TVL; revenue to market cap is 0.000, the 9th percentile among 1495 all tokens on record tokens.
DefiLlama records no parent protocol for Bitlight (not a fork).
No oracle is listed for Bitlight on DefiLlama.
DefiLlama lists Bitlight under 'Dexs' (slug heaven).
DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Set against 1495 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 4, 2026, Bitlight ranks at the 39th percentile for market cap, the 45th for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $13.9M, the median distance from ATH −94.9% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
By holders LIGHT sits at P27 (9,220 against a median of 27,132); by exchanges at PNone.
The nearest peers by rank are Aura (#915), Unibright (#917), swarms (#914), BabySwap (#918) and WeBuy (#918).
Market cap: $8.3M (P39 of 1495; peer median $13.9M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 16.11% (P85 of 1495; peer median 2.47%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1495; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −96.0% (P45 of 1495; peer median −94.9%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.000 (P9 of 279; peer median 0.006).
Holders: 9,220 (P27 of 178; peer median 27,132).
peer set: all tokens on record (1495 tokens); as of Oct 4, 2026.
3 of 5 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 14 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6)
2026-10-04 19:24 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
0 of 5 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
—
2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 4, 2026 19:21 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x08280), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
hedgey last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY;
Optimism logs: HTTP 4), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 4,969 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
