$0.1052+8.8%24hmcap $204.41M · its own chain · rank #188
1
The prediction
as of Oct 4, 2026
MANA price prediction for tomorrow
53%chance MANA is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $204.41M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 47% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 46.4% of 10,929 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 1963 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−40%−30%−20%−10%0%−5%0%+5%+10%+15%+41% in 30 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 7 rose · ▼ 13 fell · ◆ 10 sideways(±1.2% over 1 day)
Bold: MANA's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 1963 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to MANA's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0990−5%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.104−0.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.109+5%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.3%
Likely range
−5% to +5%$0.0990 – $0.109
2,298 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.8% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
MANA price prediction for this week
59%chance MANA is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $204.41M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 41% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 36,473 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 1963 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−40%−30%−20%−10%0%−20%0%+20%+41% in 30 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 13 fell · ◆ 7 sideways(±3.9% over 7 days)
Bold: MANA's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 1963 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to MANA's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0903−13%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.101−2.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.119+14%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−2.3%
Likely range
−13% to +14%$0.0903 – $0.119
2,245 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.4% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
MANA price prediction for the next 30 days
65%chance MANA is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $204.41M · small-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 35% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 1963 matched past setups
next 30 days
−40%−30%−20%−10%0%−50%0%+50%+100%+41% in 30 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 8 rose · ▼ 16 fell · ◆ 6 sideways(±5.8% over 30 days)
Bold: MANA's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 1963 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to MANA's volatility.
Bad case$0.0760−27%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0961−7.4%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.127+22%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−7.4%
Likely range
−27% to +22%$0.0760 – $0.127
1,963 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 63.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this MANA prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for MANA in setups like this: short, hold 21 days, 2× — profitable 66.4% of the time, typical +13.1%, liquidated 8.6% of the time (n=1963).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±4.6% over 21 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 400 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 1,963 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own MANA trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade MANA · by share of the last day's volume
MANA$0.105253% ▼ 1Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 1Dopen calculator
MANA$0.105259% ▼ 7Dbest play▼ Short 7D 4× → +9.6%open calculator
MANA$0.105265% ▼ 30Dbest play▼ Short 30D 1× → +7.2%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in MANA's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (2,298 cases) into 47% higher.
Up 12% over 7 days
Up 12% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 45% of the time (37,341 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 45% · normal 46% higher a day later
87% below its high
87% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (131,564 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
Up 41% over 30 days
Up 41% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (39,806 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (168,672 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in MANA's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (2,245 cases) into 41% higher.
Up 12% over 7 days
Up 12% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 40% of the time (36,949 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 40% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Up 41% over 30 days
Up 41% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (38,824 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,458 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($204.4M market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 42% of the time (63,184 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in MANA's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (1,963 cases) into 35% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (82,194 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Up 41% over 30 days
Up 41% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (35,679 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Small-cap
Small-cap coin ($204.4M market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 35% of the time (61,807 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 35% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
87% below its high
87% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (124,083 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Our record on MANA
Our last 6 calls on MANA over 30 days: right on 0 of 6 · 2 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on MANA: 63.0% hit rate, 64.6% inside the range (46 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 64% down · ended +6.8%✗ wrongAug 2 said 64% down · ended +8.9%✗ wrongAug 9 said 64% down · ended +14.4%✗ wrongAug 16 said 70% down · ended +14.0%✗ wrongAug 23 said 70% down · ended +15.4%✗ wrongAug 30 said 65% down · ended +22.6%✗ wrong
white: MANA's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 2 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 35 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
4
higher 30 days after
0 of 1
typical 30-day move
−29.8%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED4 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
MANA: 4 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
On Nov 7, 2025Binance removed the perpetual for MANA; it rose 11.2% by day 1 and was 29.8% lower 30 days later, 19 points behind BTC; it had moved −4.5% in the 7 days before.
2021
all-time high MANA all-time high: $5.85
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. MANA set an all-time high on Nov 25, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
MANA-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. OKX opened perpetual futures for MANA on Mar 12, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
MANA-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, USDT, USDC). OKX listed MANA on Jan 29, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How MANA's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
MANA median day 30
MANA n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
Binance · perpetual delisting
−29.8%
1
−19.2%
10
0.0%
below
Venue · kind
MANA median day 7
MANA n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
Binance · perpetual delisting
−4.0%
1
−5.7%
—
—
above
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
MANA median day 1
MANA n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
Binance · perpetual delisting
+11.2%
1
+1.6%
—
—
above
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on MANA · questions · sources
MANA in short
Filed under crypto on its own chain, Decentraland (MANA) has been with no start date recorded; it holds rank #188 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026 and trades 98.2% below its Nov 25, 2021 high.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the price is $0.1052 (+8.8% over 24 hours), market cap $204.4M, fully diluted value $230.8M, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; MANA is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 4, 2026.
4 events sit on Decentraland's record as of Oct 4, 2026 (1 spot listings, 1 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks, 0 rounds); across the 1 with a measured day-30 outcome the median move was −29.8%.
From the latest data refresh
Decentraland (MANA) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #188 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 98.2% below its Nov 25, 2021 high.
Across 1 measured events the median day-30 move was −29.8%.
Since PatternPlus began recording on Oct 3, 2026 (2 daily snapshots), rank moved from #188 to #188.
MANA is on 4 spot and 1 perpetual venues on record; the earliest dated listing was OKX (spot) on Jan 29, 2021.
No listing of MANA has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 4, 2026.
No unlock schedule is on record for MANA as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for MANA as of Oct 4, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Decentraland as of Oct 4, 2026.
Decentraland lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 4, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Decentraland as of Oct 4, 2026.
No TVL, fees or revenue are reported to DefiLlama for Decentraland as of Oct 4, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Across 10 perpetual delistings on Binance, the median move is +1.6% on day 1 and −19.2% by day 30; 0.0% were still up after 30 days; MANA's one sits below that median at −29.8%.
MANA sits above the venue median in 0 of 1 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 4, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for MANA on its own chain as of Oct 4, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade MANA; the check is retried at every rebuild.
4 events since Jan 29, 2021; 1 of the 1 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best Binance Futures Will Delist COIN-M MANAUSD and EGLDUSD Perpetual Contracts (2025-11-13) on Nov 7, 2025 (−29.8%), worst Binance Futures Will Delist COIN-M MANAUSD and EGLDUSD Perpetual Contracts (2025-11-13) on Nov 7, 2025 (−29.8%).
1001 daily closes from Jan 8, 2024 to Oct 4, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 2 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $5.85 on Nov 25, 2021, 1,774 days before Oct 4, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 4, 2026.
MANA is on 4 spot and 1 perpetual venues on record; the earliest was OKX (spot) on Jan 29, 2021 and the latest OKX (perp) on Mar 12, 2021; the first perpetual opened on OKX on Mar 12, 2021, 42 days after the first spot pair.
0 delistings are on record for MANA as of Oct 4, 2026.
1083 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no MANA listing on record as of Oct 4, 2026 (Bitget, Azbit, Pionex, WEEX, Lbank and Gate, among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Decentraland trades 98.2% below its all-time high of $5.85, set on Nov 25, 2021, 1,774 days before Oct 4, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.31).
Price change as of Oct 4, 2026: −0.4% over 1 hour, +8.8% over 24 hours, +15.0% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
With $204.4M market cap against $230.8M fully diluted, 11.4% of MANA's valuation is in non-circulating supply as of Oct 4, 2026.
24-hour volume of $67M is 32.8% of market cap as of Oct 4, 2026.
Circulating supply is 1.94B of 2.19B total (88.6%) and a maximum of 2.19B.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1495 tokens, so MANA sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 4, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for Decentraland as of Oct 4, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol MANA as of Oct 4, 2026.
Decentraland shares its ticker with MANA (Genesis Mana) and MANA (Meme Anarchic Numismatic Asset) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 4, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Sep 17, 2017, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 4, 2026: CoinPaprika id mana-decentraland, no DefiLlama slug, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Decentraland as of Oct 4, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 4, 2026.
Set against 1495 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 4, 2026, Decentraland ranks at the 87th percentile for market cap, the 28th for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $13.9M, the median distance from ATH −94.9% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are OriginTrail (#187), Akash Network (#189), The Vault Staked SOL (#186), Mina Protocol (#190) and Polygon (#185).
Market cap: $204.4M (P87 of 1495; peer median $13.9M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 32.76% (P93 of 1495; peer median 2.47%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1495; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −98.2% (P28 of 1495; peer median −94.9%).
peer set: all tokens on record (1495 tokens); as of Oct 4, 2026.
3 of 5 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 14 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6)
2026-10-04 19:24 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
0 of 5 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
—
2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 4, 2026 19:21 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x08280), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
hedgey last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY;
Optimism logs: HTTP 4), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 6,179 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.