$2.04+2.9%24hmcap $25.43M · its own chain · rank #570
1
The prediction
as of Oct 4, 2026
MOVR price prediction for tomorrow
53%chance MOVR is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $25.43M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 47% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 46.4% of 10,929 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 2722 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−50%0%+50%−25%0%+25%+50%+75%+112% in 30 days↑ 100% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 14 rose · ▼ 10 fell · ◆ 6 sideways(±5.4% over 1 day)
Bold: MOVR's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 2722 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to MOVR's volatility. 29 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$1.44−17%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$1.72−0.8%half did better, half worse
Good case$2.14+23%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.8%
Likely range
−17% to +23%$1.44 – $2.14
3,584 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.8% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
MOVR price prediction for this week
59%chance MOVR is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $25.43M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 41% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 36,473 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 2722 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−50%0%+50%0%+100%+200%+112% in 30 days↑ 100% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 8 rose · ▼ 13 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±11% over 7 days)
Bold: MOVR's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 2722 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to MOVR's volatility. 29 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$1.06−39%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$1.62−6.4%half did better, half worse
Good case$3.06+76%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−6.4%
Likely range
−39% to +76%$1.06 – $3.06
3,448 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.4% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
MOVR price prediction for the next 30 days
58%chance MOVR is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $25.43M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 42% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 2722 matched past setups
next 30 days
−50%0%+50%0%+200%+400%+112% in 30 days↑ 100% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 12 rose · ▼ 10 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±32% over 30 days)
Bold: MOVR's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 2722 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to MOVR's volatility.
Bad case$0.465−73%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$1.48−14.6%half did better, half worse
Good case$5.32+206%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−14.6%
Likely range
−73% to +206%$0.465 – $5.32
2,722 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 63.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this MOVR prediction and count how it ended.
No trade window for MOVR was profitable in most similar past cases with a positive average result and liquidations at or under 10% (n=2722).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±2.6% over 7 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 347 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 2,722 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own MOVR trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade MOVR · by share of the last day's volume
MOVR$2.0453% ▼ 1Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 1Dopen calculator
MOVR$2.0459% ▼ 7Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 7Dopen calculator
MOVR$2.0458% ▼ 30Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 30Dopen calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in MOVR's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (3,584 cases) into 47% higher.
Up 63% over 7 days
Up 63% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 45% of the time (37,341 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 45% · normal 46% higher a day later
94% below its high
94% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (131,564 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
Up 112% over 30 days
Up 112% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (39,806 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($25.4M market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 46% of the time (88,690 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in MOVR's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (3,448 cases) into 41% higher.
Up 63% over 7 days
Up 63% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 40% of the time (36,949 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 40% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Up 112% over 30 days
Up 112% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (38,824 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,458 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
94% below its high
94% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a week later 42% of the time (129,935 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in MOVR's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (2,722 cases) into 42% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (82,194 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Up 112% over 30 days
Up 112% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (35,679 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
94% below its high
94% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (124,083 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($25.4M market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (82,652 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Our record on MOVR
Our last 6 calls on MOVR over 30 days: right on 3 of 6 · 4 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on MOVR: 71.1% hit rate, 72.9% inside the range (45 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 66% down · ended −44.6%✓ rightAug 2 said 70% down · ended −32.4%✓ rightAug 9 said 60% down · ended −26.2%✓ rightAug 16 said 67% down · ended +2.2%✗ wrongAug 23 said 60% down · ended +30.3%✗ wrongAug 30 said 59% down · ended +58.4%✗ wrong
white: MOVR's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 2 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 29 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
3
higher 30 days after
0 of 1
typical 30-day move
−11.6%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED3 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
MOVR: 3 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
On Sep 1, 2025OKX delisted MOVR; it fell 6.1% by day 1 and was 11.6% lower 30 days later, 21 points behind BTC; it had moved −3.7% in the 7 days before.
2021
all-time high MOVR all-time high: $493.71
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. MOVR set an all-time high on Nov 8, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on MOVR · questions · sources
MOVR in short
Filed under crypto on its own chain, Moonriver (MOVR) has been with no start date recorded; it holds rank #570 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026 and trades 99.6% below its Nov 8, 2021 high.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the price is $2.04 (+2.9% over 24 hours), market cap $25.4M, fully diluted value $25.6M, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; MOVR is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 4, 2026.
3 events sit on Moonriver's record as of Oct 4, 2026 (1 spot listings, 0 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks, 0 rounds); across the 1 with a measured day-30 outcome the median move was −11.6%.
From the latest data refresh
Moonriver (MOVR) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #570 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 99.6% below its Nov 8, 2021 high.
Across 1 measured events the median day-30 move was −11.6%.
2 daily snapshots run from Oct 3, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026; over that span the rank went from #570 to #570.
No exchange listing with a date is on record for MOVR as of Oct 4, 2026.
No listing of MOVR has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 4, 2026.
No unlock schedule is on record for MOVR as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for MOVR as of Oct 4, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Moonriver as of Oct 4, 2026.
Moonriver lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 4, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Moonriver as of Oct 4, 2026.
No TVL, fees or revenue are reported to DefiLlama for Moonriver as of Oct 4, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Across 13 spot delistings on OKX, the median move is −6.8% on day 1 and −22.0% by day 30; 7.7% were still up after 30 days; MOVR's one sits above that median at −11.6%.
MOVR sits above the venue median in 1 of 1 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 4, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for MOVR on its own chain as of Oct 4, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade MOVR; the check is retried at every rebuild.
3 events since Nov 8, 2021; 1 of the 1 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best OKX to delist WBTC, JST, BTT, ERN, GLMR and MOVR spot trading pairs on Sep 1, 2025 (−11.6%), worst OKX to delist WBTC, JST, BTT, ERN, GLMR and MOVR spot trading pairs on Sep 1, 2025 (−11.6%).
1001 daily closes from Jan 8, 2024 to Oct 4, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 2 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $493.71 on Nov 8, 2021, 1,791 days before Oct 4, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Moonriver trades 99.6% below its all-time high of $493.71, set on Nov 8, 2021, 1,791 days before Oct 4, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.41).
Price change as of Oct 4, 2026: −1.8% over 1 hour, +2.9% over 24 hours, +102.5% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 99.2% of fully diluted value ($25.4M of $25.6M), so 0.8% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $50.9M is 200.1% of market cap as of Oct 4, 2026.
Circulating supply is 12.5M of 12.6M total (99.2%); no maximum supply is stated.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1495 tokens, so MOVR sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 4, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for Moonriver as of Oct 4, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol MOVR as of Oct 4, 2026.
Moonriver shares its ticker with MOVR (MOVR.ai) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 4, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Oct 22, 2021, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 4, 2026: CoinPaprika id movr-moonriver, no DefiLlama slug, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Moonriver as of Oct 4, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 4, 2026.
Set against 1495 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 4, 2026, Moonriver ranks at the 62nd percentile for market cap, the 9th for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $13.9M, the median distance from ATH −94.9% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Aevo (#569), MiL.k Alliance (#571), Constellation (#568), IQ (#572) and Ergo (#567).
Market cap: $25.4M (P62 of 1495; peer median $13.9M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 200.13% (P99 of 1495; peer median 2.47%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1495; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −99.6% (P9 of 1495; peer median −94.9%).
peer set: all tokens on record (1495 tokens); as of Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026: 53% chance MOVR is lower tomorrow — a coin flip, typical move −0.8%, likely range −17.2% to +23.1%, from 3,584 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the Moonriver price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 4, 2026: 59% chance MOVR is lower over the next 7 days, typical move −6.4%, likely range −38.9% to +76.3%, from 3,448 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the MOVR price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 4, 2026: 58% chance MOVR is lower over the next 30 days, typical move −14.6%, likely range −73.2% to +206.3%, from 2,722 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these MOVR predictions?
Across 45 backtested 30-day calls on MOVR, the call was right 71.1% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 72.9% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 3 of 6 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind Moonriver?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Moonriver as of Oct 4, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next MOVR unlock?
No future unlock is on record for MOVR as of Oct 4, 2026.
Is MOVR listed on Binance?
Yes; Binance listed MOVR.
How far is MOVR from its all-time high?
99.6% below the $493.71 high of Nov 8, 2021, 1,791 days ago, at $2.04 on Oct 4, 2026.
Has Moonriver been hacked?
No hack is on record for Moonriver as of Oct 4, 2026; 0 audit links are listed.
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 1 exchange (Binance) as of Oct 4, 2026.
3 of 5 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 14 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6)
2026-10-04 19:24 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
0 of 5 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
—
2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 4, 2026 19:21 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x08280), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
hedgey last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY;
Optimism logs: HTTP 4), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 6,168 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
