$0.01−0.7%24hmcap $18.85M · its own chain · rank #663
1
The prediction
as of Oct 4, 2026
NCT price prediction for tomorrow
55%chance NCT is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $18.85M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 45% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 46.4% of 10,929 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 5066 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−10%−5%0%+5%+10%+15%−10%−5%0%+5%−11% in 30 days↑ 94% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 8 rose · ▼ 14 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±1.0% over 1 day)
Bold: NCT's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 5066 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to NCT's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.00965−4%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0100−0.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0104+4%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.3%
Likely range
−4% to +4%$0.00965 – $0.0104
5,562 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.8% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
NCT price prediction for this week
59%chance NCT is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $18.85M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 41% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 36,473 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 5066 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−10%−5%0%+5%+10%+15%−40%−20%0%+20%−11% in 30 days↑ 94% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 7 rose · ▼ 16 fell · ◆ 7 sideways(±2.6% over 7 days)
Bold: NCT's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 5066 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to NCT's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.00878−13%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.00989−1.6%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0113+13%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−1.6%
Likely range
−13% to +13%$0.00878 – $0.0113
5,458 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.4% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
NCT price prediction for the next 30 days
52%chance NCT is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $18.85M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 48% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 5066 matched past setups
next 30 days
−10%−5%0%+5%+10%+15%−50%0%+50%+100%+150%−11% in 30 days↑ 94% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 12 rose · ▼ 11 fell · ◆ 7 sideways(±10% over 30 days)
Bold: NCT's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 5066 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to NCT's volatility.
Bad case$0.00701−30%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.00994−1.1%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.0136+35%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−1.1%
Likely range
−30% to +35%$0.00701 – $0.0136
5,066 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 63.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this NCT prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for NCT in setups like this: short, hold 1 day, 12× — profitable 52.6% of the time, typical +2.4%, liquidated 7.7% of the time (n=5066).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±1.0% over 1 day)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 403 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 5,066 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own NCT trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade NCT · by share of the last day's volume
NCT$0.0155% ▼ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 12× → +2.4%open calculator
NCT$0.0159% ▼ 7Dbest play▼ Short 7D 1× → +1.7%open calculator
NCT$0.0152% ▼ 30Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 30Dopen calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in NCT's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (5,562 cases) into 45% higher.
Down 11% over 30 days
Down 11% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (78,733 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
90% below its high
90% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (131,564 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($18.9M market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 46% of the time (88,690 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (168,672 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in NCT's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (5,458 cases) into 41% higher.
Down 11% over 30 days
Down 11% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 41% of the time (78,350 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 41% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,458 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (−6%). After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,734 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
90% below its high
90% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a week later 42% of the time (129,935 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in NCT's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (5,066 cases) into 48% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (82,194 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
90% below its high
90% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (124,083 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Down 11% over 30 days
Down 11% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 35% of the time (76,971 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 35% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (−6%). After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (85,642 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Our record on NCT
Our last 6 calls on NCT over 30 days: right on 1 of 6 · 2 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on NCT: 80.4% hit rate, 75.0% inside the range (46 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 59% down · ended +2.2%✗ wrongAug 2 said 60% down · ended +161.1%✗ wrongAug 9 said 60% down · ended +134.8%✗ wrongAug 16 said 67% down · ended +120.0%✗ wrongAug 23 said 63% down · ended +118.8%✗ wrongAug 30 said 67% down · ended −28.4%✓ right
white: NCT's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 4, 2026: 1 live 30-day prediction on record, first result due Nov 3, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 30 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
1
higher 30 days after
—
typical 30-day move
—
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED1 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
NCT: 1 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2022
all-time high NCT all-time high: $0.1702
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. NCT set an all-time high on Jan 14, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How NCT's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
NCT median day 30
NCT n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 4, 2026
Venue · kind
NCT median day 7
NCT n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 4, 2026
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
NCT median day 1
NCT n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 4, 2026
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Venue
Kind
n
Median next day
Median 7 days
Median 30 days
Up after 30 days
Mean 30 days
all venues
all-time high
429
−4.1%
−17.7%
−40.3%
6.1%
−38.9%
computed 2026-10-04 from every measured event on record
Source: event_stats, all measured events on record · fetched
Issuer powersON RECORD
What the issuer can do to NCT holders (checked Oct 4, 2026)
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on NCT · questions · sources
NCT in short
PolySwarm (NCT), a crypto token on its own chain with no start date recorded, stands at rank #663 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 94.1% below its Jan 14, 2022 high.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the price is $0.01000 (−0.7% over 24 hours), market cap $18.9M, fully diluted value $18.9M, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; NCT is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 4, 2026.
1 events sit on PolySwarm's record as of Oct 4, 2026 (0 spot listings, 0 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks, 0 rounds); across the 0 with a measured day-30 outcome the median move was not yet measurable.
From the latest data refresh
PolySwarm (NCT) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #663 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 94.1% below its Jan 14, 2022 high.
1 event are on record as of Oct 4, 2026.
2 daily snapshots run from Oct 3, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026; over that span the rank went from #663 to #663.
No exchange listing with a date is on record for NCT as of Oct 4, 2026.
No listing of NCT has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 4, 2026.
No unlock schedule is on record for NCT as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for NCT as of Oct 4, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for PolySwarm as of Oct 4, 2026.
PolySwarm lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 4, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for PolySwarm as of Oct 4, 2026.
No TVL, fees or revenue are reported to DefiLlama for PolySwarm as of Oct 4, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for NCT on its own chain as of Oct 4, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade NCT; the check is retried at every rebuild.
PolySwarm trades 94.1% below its all-time high of $0.1702, set on Jan 14, 2022, 1,724 days before Oct 4, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 0.83).
Price change as of Oct 4, 2026: −0.3% over 1 hour, −0.7% over 24 hours, −6.9% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 100.0% of fully diluted value ($18.9M of $18.9M), so 0.0% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $256,904 is 1.4% of market cap as of Oct 4, 2026.
Circulating supply is 1.89B of 1.89B total (100.0%); no maximum supply is stated.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1495 tokens, so NCT sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 4, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for PolySwarm as of Oct 4, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol NCT as of Oct 4, 2026.
PolySwarm shares its ticker with NCT (Name Change Token), NCT (NewCatCoin) and NCT (Nicolas Cage Token) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 4, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Apr 11, 2018, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 4, 2026: CoinPaprika id nct-polyswarm, no DefiLlama slug, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for PolySwarm as of Oct 4, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 4, 2026.
Among 1495 all tokens on record tokens, PolySwarm is at the 56th percentile by market cap, 53rd by distance from ATH and unranked by share unlocked as of Oct 4, 2026.
The peer median market cap is $13.9M, the median distance from ATH −94.9% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Sahara AI (#662), Anvil (#664), Sapien (#664), Quantix Finance (#661) and Adshares (#665).
Market cap: $18.9M (P56 of 1495; peer median $13.9M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 1.36% (P38 of 1495; peer median 2.47%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1495; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −94.1% (P53 of 1495; peer median −94.9%).
peer set: all tokens on record (1495 tokens); as of Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026: 55% chance NCT is lower tomorrow, typical move −0.3%, likely range −4.0% to +3.7%, from 5,562 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the PolySwarm price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 4, 2026: 59% chance NCT is lower over the next 7 days, typical move −1.6%, likely range −12.7% to +12.6%, from 5,458 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the NCT price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 4, 2026: 52% chance NCT is lower over the next 30 days — a coin flip, typical move −1.1%, likely range −30.3% to +35.3%, from 5,066 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these NCT predictions?
Across 46 backtested 30-day calls on NCT, the call was right 80.4% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 75.0% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 1 of 6 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind PolySwarm?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for PolySwarm as of Oct 4, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next NCT unlock?
No future unlock is on record for NCT as of Oct 4, 2026.
Is NCT listed on Binance?
No; as of Oct 4, 2026 this site holds no Binance listing for NCT; it is listed on 2 other exchanges.
How far is NCT from its all-time high?
94.1% below the $0.1702 high of Jan 14, 2022, 1,724 days ago, at $0.01000 on Oct 4, 2026.
Has PolySwarm been hacked?
No hack is on record for PolySwarm as of Oct 4, 2026; 0 audit links are listed.
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 2 exchanges (Coinbase and Upbit) as of Oct 4, 2026.
3 of 5 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 14 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6)
2026-10-04 19:24 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
0 of 5 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
—
2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 4, 2026 19:21 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x08280), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
hedgey last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY;
Optimism logs: HTTP 4), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 6,167 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
