$4.15K−0.1%24hmcap $1.8B · its own chain · rank #57
1
The prediction
as of Oct 4, 2026
PAXG price prediction for tomorrow
54%chance PAXG is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $1.8B · mid-cap
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 46% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 46.4% of 10,929 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 951 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−2%0%+2%+4%+6%−3%−2%−1%0%+1%+2%−6.5% in 30 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 3 rose · ▼ 6 fell · ◆ 21 sideways(±1.0% over 1 day)
Bold: PAXG's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 951 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to PAXG's volatility. 29 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$4,097−1%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$4,142−0.1%half did better, half worse
Good case$4,187+1%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.1%
Likely range
−1% to +1%$4,097 – $4,187
989 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.8% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
PAXG price prediction for this week
62%chance PAXG is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $1.8B · mid-cap
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 38% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 36,473 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 951 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−2%0%+2%+4%+6%−10%−5%0%+5%+10%−6.5% in 30 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 3 rose · ▼ 6 fell · ◆ 21 sideways(±2.6% over 7 days)
Bold: PAXG's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 951 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to PAXG's volatility. 13 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$3,956−5%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$4,117−0.7%half did better, half worse
Good case$4,259+3%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.7%
Likely range
−5% to +3%$3,956 – $4,259
977 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.4% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
PAXG price prediction for the next 30 days
67%chance PAXG is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $1.8B · mid-cap
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 33% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 951 matched past setups
next 30 days
−2%0%+2%+4%+6%−20%−10%0%+10%−6.5% in 30 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 4 rose · ▼ 10 fell · ◆ 16 sideways(±5.5% over 30 days)
Bold: PAXG's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 951 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to PAXG's volatility.
Bad case$3,722−10%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$4,034−2.7%half did better, half worse
Good case$4,403+6%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−2.7%
Likely range
−10% to +6%$3,722 – $4,403
951 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 63.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this PAXG prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for PAXG in setups like this: short, hold 30 days, 8× — profitable 66.0% of the time, typical +20.0%, liquidated 9.9% of the time (n=951).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±5.5% over 30 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 450 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 951 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own PAXG trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade PAXG · by share of the last day's volume
PAXG$4.15K54% ▼ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 20× → +2.0%open calculator
PAXG$4.15K62% ▼ 7Dbest play▼ Short 7D 15× → +9.0%open calculator
PAXG$4.15K67% ▼ 30Dbest play▼ Short 30D 8× → +20%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in PAXG's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (989 cases) into 46% higher.
25% below its high
25% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 45% of the time (40,042 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 45% · normal 46% higher a day later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (−6%). After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 45% of the time (61,195 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 45% · normal 46% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (168,672 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Mid-cap
Mid-cap coin ($1.8B market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 46% of the time (20,701 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in PAXG's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (977 cases) into 38% higher.
25% below its high
25% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a week later 41% of the time (39,820 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 41% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,458 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (−6%). After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (60,656 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (−3%). After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,734 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in PAXG's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (951 cases) into 33% higher.
25% below its high
25% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 31% of the time (39,167 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 31% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (−6%). After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 40% of the time (58,494 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 40% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (82,194 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (−3%). After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (85,642 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Our record on PAXG
Our last 6 calls on PAXG over 30 days: right on 3 of 6 · 4 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on PAXG: 45.7% hit rate, 72.9% inside the range (46 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 69% down · ended +13.7%✗ wrongAug 2 said 69% down · ended +6.5%✗ wrongAug 9 said 69% down · ended +0.6%✗ wrongAug 16 said 65% down · ended −1.9%✓ rightAug 23 said 69% down · ended −5.5%✓ rightAug 30 said 68% down · ended −5.9%✓ right
white: PAXG's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 2 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 44 data points on this page
Changed 2026-10-04 Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority unknown, freeze authority unknown, upgrade key unknown, admin keys held, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.full log →
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
3
higher 30 days after
0 of 1
typical 30-day move
−2.4%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED3 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
PAXG: 3 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
PAXG-USDT spot trading (quotes: TRY, USDT). Announced 2025-10-16: OKX will launch ENA/USD and PAXG/USD for spot trading On Oct 15, 2025OKX listed PAXG; it rose 6.2% by day 1 and was 2.4% lower 30 days later, 14 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +4.4% in the 7 days before.
Binance listed PAXG on Aug 25, 2020; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
2019
all-time high PAXG all-time high: $192.28k
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. PAXG set an all-time high on Oct 4, 2019; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How PAXG's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
PAXG median day 30
PAXG n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
OKX · spot listing
−2.4%
1
−22.3%
107
28.0%
above
Venue · kind
PAXG median day 7
PAXG n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
OKX · spot listing
−2.0%
1
−10.1%
—
—
above
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
PAXG median day 1
PAXG n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
OKX · spot listing
+6.2%
1
−2.3%
—
—
above
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority unknown, freeze authority unknown, upgrade key unknown, admin keys held, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.
OUR NUMBERS ABOVE · PUBLIC FACTS BELOW
Where PAXG is listedON RECORD4 venues
Where PAXG is listed: spot and perpetuals, with dates
as of · exchange instrument APIs · announcementsread it →
Exchange coverage matrix: 4 venues on record; cell text is the listing date
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on PAXG · questions · sources
PAXG in short
Filed under crypto on its own chain, PAX Gold (PAXG) has been with no start date recorded; it holds rank #57 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026 and trades 97.8% below its Oct 4, 2019 high.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the price is $4,148 (−0.1% over 24 hours), market cap $1.8B, fully diluted value $1.8B, 88,201 holders, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; PAXG is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 4, 2026.
This site has 3 past events for PAX Gold: 2 exchange listings, 0 futures listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks and 0 funding rounds; the median 30-day move after the 1 measured events was −2.4%.
From the latest data refresh
PAX Gold (PAXG) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #57 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 97.8% below its Oct 4, 2019 high.
Its 1 measured listing shows a median day-30 move of −2.4%, 1 of it above the venue median.
2 daily snapshots run from Oct 3, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026; over that span the rank went from #57 to #57.
PAXG is on 4 spot and 0 perpetual venues on record; the earliest dated listing was OKX (spot) on Oct 15, 2025.
1 of its listings have a measured day-30 outcome (median −2.4%); 1 finished above the venue's own listing median and 0 below.
No unlock schedule is on record for PAXG as of Oct 4, 2026.
The issuer holds 1 of 1 checked powers (admin keys); 12 were not checked.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for PAX Gold as of Oct 4, 2026.
PAX Gold lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 4, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for PAX Gold as of Oct 4, 2026.
DefiLlama reports not reported TVL and $9.2M revenue over 30 days as of Oct 4, 2026;
revenue to market cap of 0.061 sits at the 74th percentile of 1495 all tokens on record tokens.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Across 107 spot listings on OKX, the median move is −2.3% on day 1 and −22.3% by day 30; 28.0% were still up after 30 days; PAXG's one sits above that median at −2.4%.
PAXG sits above the venue median in 1 of 1 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 4, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 4, 2026.
The issuer holds 1 of 1 checked powers as of Oct 4, 2026; 12 not checked, 0 not applicable.
Admin keys are held (ethplorer+dexscreener, checked Oct 4, 2026): admin keys exist that can change protocol parameters without a holder vote.
Whether the issuer can mint new tokens, freeze accounts, upgrade the contract, change balances, act through a hidden owner, blacklist addresses, restrict transfers to a whitelist, pause transfers, take a tax on purchases, take a tax on sales, block resale and hide the contract source was not checked: no ethplorer+dexscreener response for those fields on Ethereum as of Oct 4, 2026.
The owner address on Ethereum is 0x6d8b8f7ebd9860e80694665f05033df06ddc3acc (ethplorer+dexscreener, checked Oct 4, 2026).
security rows per chain and tokens.powers; vocabulary fixed: held, revoked, unknown; checked Oct 4, 2026.
3 events since Oct 4, 2019; 1 of the 1 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best OKX lists PAXG on Oct 15, 2025 (−2.4%), worst OKX lists PAXG on Oct 15, 2025 (−2.4%).
1001 daily closes from Jan 8, 2024 to Oct 4, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 2 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $192,279 on Oct 4, 2019, 2,557 days before Oct 4, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 4, 2026.
The change log holds 1 entry between Oct 4, 2026 and Oct 4, 2026; the newest reads: Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority unknown, freeze authority unknown, upgrade key unknown, admin keys held, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.
Changed since Oct 4, 2026: powers set to mint_authority=unknown freeze_authority=unknown upgradeable=unknown admin_keys=held honeypot=unknown pausable=unknown blacklist=unknown tax=unknown (Oct 4).
The fields that changed most often were powers (1).
Changes logged for this record: 1 in the last 30 days as of Oct 4, 2026.
The all-time high on record for PAX Gold is $192,279 on Oct 4, 2019, 2,557 days ago as of Oct 4, 2026; the price is 97.8% below it; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 0.20).
Price change as of Oct 4, 2026: 0.0% over 1 hour, −0.1% over 24 hours, −3.1% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
With $1.8B market cap against $1.8B fully diluted, 0.0% of PAXG's valuation is in non-circulating supply as of Oct 4, 2026.
24-hour volume of $28.4M is 1.6% of market cap as of Oct 4, 2026.
Circulating supply is 435,066 of 435,066 total (100.0%); no maximum supply is stated.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1495 tokens, so PAXG sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 4, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
PAX Gold has 1 contract or mint address on record across 1 chain (ethereum); it is the native coin of its own chain.
No other token on record uses the symbol PAXG as of Oct 4, 2026.
PAX Gold shares its ticker with PAXG (PAX Aurum Gold) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 4, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Sep 26, 2019, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 4, 2026: CoinPaprika id paxg-pax-gold, DefiLlama slug paxos, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for PAX Gold as of Oct 4, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 4, 2026.
PAX Gold reported $19.6M in fees and $9.2M in revenue over 30 days to DefiLlama on not reported TVL as of Oct 4, 2026; its revenue-to-market-cap ratio of 0.061 is at the 74th percentile of 1495 all tokens on record tokens.
Annualised revenue of $110.3M gives a price-to-sales multiple of 16.4x at the $1.8B market cap of Oct 4, 2026.
DefiLlama records no parent protocol for PAX Gold (not a fork).
No oracle is listed for PAX Gold on DefiLlama.
DefiLlama lists PAX Gold under 'RWA' since Jul 9, 2024 (slug paxos).
DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Set against 1495 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 4, 2026, PAX Gold ranks at the 96th percentile for market cap, the 32nd for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $13.9M, the median distance from ATH −94.9% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
By holders PAXG sits at P74 (88,201 against a median of 27,132); by exchanges at PNone.
The nearest peers by rank are Pepe (#56), Official World Liberty Financial (#58), Internet Computer (#55), Falcon USD (#59) and Sky (#54).
Market cap: $1.8B (P96 of 1495; peer median $13.9M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 1.58% (P41 of 1495; peer median 2.47%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1495; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −97.8% (P32 of 1495; peer median −94.9%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.061 (P74 of 279; peer median 0.006).
Holders: 88,201 (P74 of 178; peer median 27,132).
peer set: all tokens on record (1495 tokens); as of Oct 4, 2026.
3 of 5 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 14 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6)
2026-10-04 19:24 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
0 of 5 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
—
2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 4, 2026 19:21 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x08280), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
hedgey last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY;
Optimism logs: HTTP 4), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 6,179 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
