$296+3.3%24hmcap $2.84B · its own chain · rank #46
1
The prediction
as of Oct 4, 2026
TAO price prediction for tomorrow
57%chance TAO is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $2.84B · mid-cap
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 43% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 46.4% of 10,929 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 522 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−30%−20%−10%0%−15%−10%−5%0%+5%+10%+35% in 30 days↑ 62% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 5 rose · ▼ 14 fell · ◆ 11 sideways(±1.8% over 1 day)
Bold: TAO's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 522 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to TAO's volatility. 4 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$285.57−6%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$300.63−0.8%half did better, half worse
Good case$321.18+6%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.8%
Likely range
−6% to +6%$285.57 – $321.18
561 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.8% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
TAO price prediction for this week
58%chance TAO is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $2.84B · mid-cap
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 42% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 36,473 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 522 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−30%−20%−10%0%−40%−20%0%+20%+40%+35% in 30 days↑ 62% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 7 rose · ▼ 17 fell · ◆ 6 sideways(±5.3% over 7 days)
Bold: TAO's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 522 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to TAO's volatility. 4 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$241.68−20%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$295.94−2.4%half did better, half worse
Good case$362.27+20%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−2.4%
Likely range
−20% to +20%$241.68 – $362.27
549 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.4% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
TAO price prediction for the next 30 days
68%chance TAO is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $2.84B · mid-cap
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 32% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 522 matched past setups
next 30 days
−30%−20%−10%0%−75%−50%−25%0%+25%+50%+35% in 30 days↑ 62% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 5 rose · ▼ 17 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±9.4% over 30 days)
Bold: TAO's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 522 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to TAO's volatility.
Bad case$192.95−36%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$271.33−10.5%half did better, half worse
Good case$396.05+31%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−10.5%
Likely range
−36% to +31%$192.95 – $396.05
522 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 63.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this TAO prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for TAO in setups like this: short, hold 14 days, 2× — profitable 62.9% of the time, typical +10.4%, liquidated 9.8% of the time (n=522).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±3.7% over 14 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 387 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 522 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own TAO trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade TAO · by share of the last day's volume
TAO$29657% ▼ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 10× → +6.0%open calculator
TAO$29658% ▼ 7Dbest play▼ Short 7D 2× → +4.2%open calculator
TAO$29668% ▼ 30Dbest play▼ Short 30D 1× → +10%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in TAO's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (561 cases) into 43% higher.
57% below its high
57% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 45% of the time (40,042 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 45% · normal 46% higher a day later
Up 35% over 30 days
Up 35% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (39,806 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (168,672 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Mid-cap
Mid-cap coin ($2.8B market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 46% of the time (20,701 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in TAO's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (549 cases) into 42% higher.
57% below its high
57% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a week later 41% of the time (39,820 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 41% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Up 35% over 30 days
Up 35% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (38,824 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,458 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (−5%). After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,734 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in TAO's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (522 cases) into 32% higher.
57% below its high
57% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 31% of the time (39,167 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 31% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (82,194 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Up 35% over 30 days
Up 35% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (35,679 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (−5%). After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (85,642 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Our record on TAO
Our last 6 calls on TAO over 30 days: right on 0 of 6 · 3 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on TAO: 60.4% hit rate, 75.0% inside the range (48 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 60% down · ended +15.0%✗ wrongAug 2 said 56% down · ended +14.3%✗ wrongAug 9 said 60% down · ended +27.9%✗ wrongAug 16 said 62% down · ended +11.3%✗ wrongAug 23 said 66% down · ended +32.5%✗ wrongAug 30 said 69% down · ended +32.2%✗ wrong
white: TAO's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 2 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
active —
NoneRank #46on record since 2023-11-03$8M lost to hacks
$296
24H+3.3%
30D0.0%
1Y0.0%
FROM ATH−61.5%
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 44 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
5
higher 30 days after
2 of 5
typical 30-day move
−7.8%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED5 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
TAO: 5 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
TAO-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, TRY, USDT, USDC). On Jun 30, 2026OKX listed TAO; it fell 2.8% by day 1 and was 7.8% lower 30 days later, 15 points behind BTC; it had moved −8.5% in the 7 days before.
TAO-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. On Sep 20, 2024OKX opened perpetual futures for TAO; it rose 25.4% by day 1 and was 61.2% higher 30 days later, 52 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +27.6% in the 7 days before.
hack Bittensor exploited for $8M
—
+0.1%
−14.3%
−7.5%
+7.9%
+4.0%
+109.2%
defillama
Malware On Jul 2, 2024 TAO was hacked; it fell 14.3% by day 1 and was 7.9% higher 30 days later, 4 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +0.1% in the 7 days before.
all-time high TAO all-time high: $769.13
—
—
−13.8%
−25.2%
−39.9%
−26.0%
−58.4%
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Apr 11, 2024 TAO set an all-time high; it fell 13.8% by day 1 and was 39.9% lower 30 days later, 26 points behind BTC.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on TAO · questions · sources
TAO in short
BitTensor (TAO) is a crypto token on its own chain, with no start date recorded; rank #46 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 61.5% below its Apr 11, 2024 high.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the price is $295.81 (+3.3% over 24 hours), market cap $2.84B, fully diluted value $6.21B, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; TAO is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 4, 2026.
5 events sit on BitTensor's record as of Oct 4, 2026 (2 spot listings, 1 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 1 hacks, 0 rounds); across the 5 with a measured day-30 outcome the median move was −7.8%.
From the latest data refresh
BitTensor (TAO), crypto on its own chain, holds rank #46 by market cap on Oct 4, 2026 and trades 61.5% under its Apr 11, 2024 high.
The record's largest loss is a $8M hack on Jul 2, 2024 (social engineering).
2 daily snapshots run from Oct 3, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026; over that span the rank went from #46 to #46.
TAO is on 4 spot and 1 perpetual venues on record; the earliest dated listing was OKX (perp) on Sep 20, 2024.
3 of its listings have a measured day-30 outcome (median −7.8%); 2 finished above the venue's own listing median and 1 below.
No unlock schedule is on record for TAO as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for TAO as of Oct 4, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for BitTensor as of Oct 4, 2026.
BitTensor lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; 1 hack totalling $8M is recorded.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for BitTensor as of Oct 4, 2026.
No TVL, fees or revenue are reported to DefiLlama for BitTensor as of Oct 4, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Across 107 spot listings on OKX, the median move is −2.3% on day 1 and −22.3% by day 30; 28.0% were still up after 30 days; TAO's one sits above that median at −7.8%.
Across 138 perpetual listings on OKX, the median move is −2.6% on day 1 and −22.7% by day 30;
30.4% were still up after 30 days;
TAO's one sits above that median at +61.2%.
Across 75 hacks across every token on record, the median move is −5.4% on day 1 and −14.3% by day 30;
30.7% were still up after 30 days;
TAO's one sits above that median at +7.9%.
Across 429 all-time highs across every token on record, the median move is −4.1% on day 1 and −40.3% by day 30;
6.1% were still up after 30 days;
TAO's one sits above that median at −39.9%.
Across 71 spot listings on Binance, the median move is −1.9% on day 1 and −19.0% by day 30;
31.0% were still up after 30 days;
TAO's one sits below that median at −39.9%.
TAO sits above the venue median in 4 of 5 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 4, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for TAO on its own chain as of Oct 4, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade TAO; the check is retried at every rebuild.
5 events since Apr 11, 2024; 3 of the 5 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best OKX lists TAO perpetual on Sep 20, 2024 (+61.2%), worst TAO all-time high: $769.13 on Apr 11, 2024 (−39.9%).
907 daily closes from Apr 11, 2024 to Oct 4, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 2 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $769.13 on Apr 11, 2024, 906 days before Oct 4, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 4, 2026.
TAO is on 4 spot and 1 perpetual venues on record; the earliest was OKX (perp) on Sep 20, 2024 and the latest OKX (spot) on Jun 30, 2026; the first perpetual opened on OKX on Sep 20, 2024, 648 days before the first spot pair.
0 delistings are on record for TAO as of Oct 4, 2026.
1083 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no TAO listing on record as of Oct 4, 2026 (Bitget, Azbit, Pionex, WEEX, Lbank and Gate, among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 4, 2026.
The all-time high on record for BitTensor is $769.13 on Apr 11, 2024, 906 days ago as of Oct 4, 2026; the price is 61.5% below it; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.62).
Price change as of Oct 4, 2026: +0.3% over 1 hour, +3.3% over 24 hours, −7.9% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 45.7% of fully diluted value ($2.84B of $6.21B), so 54.3% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $145.7M is 5.1% of market cap as of Oct 4, 2026.
Circulating supply is 9.6M of 21M total (45.7%) and a maximum of 21M.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1495 tokens, so TAO sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 4, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for BitTensor as of Oct 4, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol TAO as of Oct 4, 2026.
BitTensor shares its ticker with TAO (Bittensor (CCIP-Bridged)), TAO (Fusotao), TAO (TAO AND TEH), TAO (TaoDAO) and TAO (The Anthropic Order) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 4, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Nov 3, 2023, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 4, 2026: CoinPaprika id tao-bittensor, DefiLlama slug bittensor, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for BitTensor as of Oct 4, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 4, 2026.
Among 1495 all tokens on record tokens, BitTensor is at the 97th percentile by market cap, 83rd by distance from ATH and unranked by share unlocked as of Oct 4, 2026.
The peer median market cap is $13.9M, the median distance from ATH −94.9% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are PayPal USD (#45), Aave (#47), Pump.fun (#44), OKB (#48) and Quant (#43).
Market cap: $2.84B (P97 of 1495; peer median $13.9M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 5.13% (P65 of 1495; peer median 2.47%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1495; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −61.5% (P83 of 1495; peer median −94.9%).
peer set: all tokens on record (1495 tokens); as of Oct 4, 2026.
3 of 5 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 14 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6)
2026-10-04 19:24 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
0 of 5 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
—
2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 4, 2026 19:21 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x08280), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
hedgey last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY;
Optimism logs: HTTP 4), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 5,996 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.