$1.59+3.7%24hmcap $23.31M · its own chain · rank #606
1
The prediction
as of Oct 4, 2026
XCH price prediction for tomorrow
51%chance XCH is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $23.31M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 49% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 46.4% of 10,929 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 3162 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−20%−10%0%+10%−15%−10%−5%0%+5%+14% in 30 days↑ 100% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 9 rose · ▼ 15 fell · ◆ 6 sideways(±1.0% over 1 day)
Bold: XCH's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 3162 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to XCH's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$1.54−4%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$1.600%half did better, half worse
Good case$1.67+4%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.0%
Likely range
−4% to +4%$1.54 – $1.67
4,185 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.8% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
XCH price prediction for this week
50%chance XCH is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $23.31M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 50% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 36,473 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 3162 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−20%−10%0%+10%−20%−10%0%+10%+20%+14% in 30 days↑ 100% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 7 rose · ▼ 12 fell · ◆ 11 sideways(±2.8% over 7 days)
Bold: XCH's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 3162 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to XCH's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$1.41−12%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$1.600%half did better, half worse
Good case$1.84+15%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
0.0%
Likely range
−12% to +15%$1.41 – $1.84
3,867 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.4% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
XCH price prediction for the next 30 days
61%chance XCH is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $23.31M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 39% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 3162 matched past setups
next 30 days
−20%−10%0%+10%0%+100%+200%+300%+14% in 30 days↑ 100% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 10 rose · ▼ 12 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±5.5% over 30 days)
Bold: XCH's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 3162 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to XCH's volatility.
Bad case$1.09−32%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$1.52−5.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$2.20+38%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−5.3%
Likely range
−32% to +38%$1.09 – $2.20
3,162 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 63.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this XCH prediction and count how it ended.
No trade window for XCH was profitable in most similar past cases with a positive average result and liquidations at or under 10% (n=3162).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±2.6% over 7 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 396 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 3,162 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own XCH trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade XCH · by share of the last day's volume
XCH$1.5951% ▼ 1Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 1Dopen calculator
XCH$1.5950% ▼ 7Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 7Dopen calculator
XCH$1.5961% ▼ 30Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 30Dopen calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in XCH's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (4,185 cases) into 49% higher.
87% below its high
87% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (131,564 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
Up 14% over 30 days
Up 14% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (39,806 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($23.3M market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 46% of the time (88,690 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (168,672 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in XCH's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (3,867 cases) into 50% higher.
Up 14% over 30 days
Up 14% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (38,824 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,458 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (+2%). After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,734 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
87% below its high
87% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a week later 42% of the time (129,935 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in XCH's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (3,162 cases) into 39% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (82,194 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Up 14% over 30 days
Up 14% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (35,679 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
87% below its high
87% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (124,083 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (+2%). After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (85,642 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Our record on XCH
Our last 6 calls on XCH over 30 days: right on 2 of 6 · 6 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on XCH: 74.5% hit rate, 87.5% inside the range (47 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 59% down · ended +4.7%✗ wrongAug 2 said 64% down · ended −16.3%✓ rightAug 9 said 60% down · ended +21.8%✗ wrongAug 16 said 64% down · ended −1.6%✓ rightAug 23 said 67% down · ended +9.2%✗ wrongAug 30 said 62% down · ended +13.7%✗ wrong
white: XCH's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 4, 2026: 1 live 30-day prediction on record, first result due Nov 3, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 28 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
2
higher 30 days after
—
typical 30-day move
—
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED2 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
XCH: 2 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2021
all-time high XCH all-time high: $1.65k
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. XCH set an all-time high on May 15, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
XCH-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, USDT, USDC). OKX listed XCH on May 3, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How XCH's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
XCH median day 30
XCH n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 4, 2026
Venue · kind
XCH median day 7
XCH n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 4, 2026
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
XCH median day 1
XCH n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 4, 2026
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on XCH · questions · sources
XCH in short
Filed under crypto on its own chain, Chia (XCH) has been with no start date recorded; it holds rank #606 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026 and trades 99.9% below its May 15, 2021 high.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the price is $1.59 (+3.7% over 24 hours), market cap $23.3M, fully diluted value $52.6M, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; XCH is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the record for Chia runs to 2 events, of which 1 are spot listings, 0 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks and 0 funding rounds; 0 carry a day-30 measurement with a median of not yet measurable.
From the latest data refresh
Chia (XCH), crypto on its own chain, holds rank #606 by market cap on Oct 4, 2026 and trades 99.9% under its May 15, 2021 high.
2 events are on record as of Oct 4, 2026.
Since PatternPlus began recording on Oct 3, 2026 (2 daily snapshots), rank moved from #606 to #606.
XCH is on 1 spot and 0 perpetual venues on record; the earliest dated listing was OKX (spot) on May 3, 2021.
No listing of XCH has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 4, 2026.
No unlock schedule is on record for XCH as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for XCH as of Oct 4, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Chia as of Oct 4, 2026.
Chia lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 4, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Chia as of Oct 4, 2026.
No TVL, fees or revenue are reported to DefiLlama for Chia as of Oct 4, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for XCH on its own chain as of Oct 4, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade XCH; the check is retried at every rebuild.
The all-time high on record for Chia is $1,649 on May 15, 2021, 1,968 days ago as of Oct 4, 2026; the price is 99.9% below it; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 0.95).
Price change as of Oct 4, 2026: +1.6% over 1 hour, +3.7% over 24 hours, −2.5% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
With $23.3M market cap against $52.6M fully diluted, 55.7% of XCH's valuation is in non-circulating supply as of Oct 4, 2026.
24-hour volume of $566,778 is 2.4% of market cap as of Oct 4, 2026.
Circulating supply is 14.6M of 33M total (44.3%); no maximum supply is stated.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1495 tokens, so XCH sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 4, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for Chia as of Oct 4, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol XCH as of Oct 4, 2026.
Chia shares its ticker with XCH (X Chihuahua) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 4, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data May 8, 2021, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 4, 2026: CoinPaprika id xch-chia-, no DefiLlama slug, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Chia as of Oct 4, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 4, 2026.
Set against 1495 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 4, 2026, Chia ranks at the 60th percentile for market cap, the 3rd for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $13.9M, the median distance from ATH −94.9% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are TUTORIAL (#605), River (#607), Zeus Network zBTC (#604), Liquity (#608) and Tokamak Network (#603).
Market cap: $23.3M (P60 of 1495; peer median $13.9M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 2.43% (P50 of 1495; peer median 2.47%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1495; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −99.9% (P3 of 1495; peer median −94.9%).
peer set: all tokens on record (1495 tokens); as of Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026: 51% chance XCH is lower tomorrow — a coin flip, typical move −0.0%, likely range −3.7% to +4.4%, from 4,185 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the Chia price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 4, 2026: 50% chance XCH is lower over the next 7 days — a coin flip, typical move 0.0%, likely range −11.7% to +15.1%, from 3,867 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the XCH price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 4, 2026: 61% chance XCH is lower over the next 30 days, typical move −5.3%, likely range −31.7% to +37.7%, from 3,162 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these XCH predictions?
Across 47 backtested 30-day calls on XCH, the call was right 74.5% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 87.5% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 2 of 6 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind Chia?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Chia as of Oct 4, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next XCH unlock?
No future unlock is on record for XCH as of Oct 4, 2026.
Is XCH listed on Binance?
No; as of Oct 4, 2026 this site holds no Binance listing for XCH; it is listed on 1 other exchange.
How far is XCH from its all-time high?
99.9% below the $1,649 high of May 15, 2021, 1,968 days ago, at $1.59 on Oct 4, 2026.
Has Chia been hacked?
No hack is on record for Chia as of Oct 4, 2026; 0 audit links are listed.
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 1 exchange (OKX) as of Oct 4, 2026.
3 of 5 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 14 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6)
2026-10-04 19:24 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
0 of 5 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
—
2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 4, 2026 19:21 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x08280), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
hedgey last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY;
Optimism logs: HTTP 4), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 5,164 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
