How often it went up77 measured cases
These odds in plain words
as of · counted from every past case of this pattern
Listings of micro-cap tokens outside the big categories: 77 of the 246 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 38 of those 77 closed higher — a base rate of 49%, with a 90% range of 40% to 59%, counted as of Oct 4, 2026.
- By day 30, 19 of the 82 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (23%).
- The typical day-30 move was −32.1%, the best +445.8% and the worst −73.5%.
- Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran −28.3% vs BTC and beat it in 15.1% of 73 comparable cases.
- Recent-cases check: this pattern flipped — older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 50% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 48% of the time, so the two halves of the record disagree about its direction.
Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched
Coming upON RECORD
Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern
as of · upcoming events
NO DATA YET No scheduled spot listing meets every condition of this pattern as of Oct 4, 2026.
Every past case246 cases
Every past spot listing behind these odds
as of · events and their measured price moves
All 246 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.
| Date | Token | Venue / size | Next day | 30 days | vs BTC | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ||||||
| Metadium (META) | Binance | — | in 14 days | in 14 days | not measured yet | |
| DappOS (DOS) | OKX | −15.1% | −34.7% | −56.5% | down next day | |
| GRVT Token (GRVT) | OKX | +13.1% | −30.1% | −52.4% | up next day | |
| XTER (XTER) | OKX | +3.7% | +23.5% | +1.8% | up next day | |
| AEON (AEON) | OKX | −7.3% | −40.9% | −61.7% | down next day | |
| Solstice (SLX) | OKX | −4.7% | −53.6% | −56.3% | down next day | |
| Nesa (NES) | OKX | −27.3% | −7.8% | −10.1% | down next day | |
| Irys (IRYS) | OKX | −14.3% | −49.1% | −28.3% | down next day | |
| Gensyn (AI) | OKX | +0.7% | −27.4% | −8.9% | sideways next day | |
| OpenGradient (OPG) | Binance | +0.9% | −26.8% | −8.4% | sideways next day | |
| OneFootball Club (OFC) | OKX | +17.8% | +22.7% | +9.2% | up next day | |
| Based (BASED) | OKX | −24.1% | +9.4% | −5.4% | down next day | |
| Katana Network (KAT) | OKX | −12.1% | −14.3% | −18.6% | down next day | |
| Katana Network (KAT) | Binance | — | −30.7% | −31.0% | not measured yet | |
| Fabric Protocol (ROBO) | OKX | −3.1% | −55.6% | −48.2% | down next day | |
| Fabric Protocol (ROBO) | Binance | −2.8% | −55.8% | −53.8% | down next day | |
| USAT (USAT) | OKX | +0.0% | −0.3% | +23.3% | sideways next day | |
| Spacecoin (SPACE) | OKX | +3.8% | −44.5% | −20.1% | up next day | |
| Panther Protocol (ZKP) | Binance | −24.2% | −61.4% | −36.7% | down next day | |
| Brevis (BREV) | OKX | +23.9% | −64.2% | −31.2% | up next day | |
| 2025 | ||||||
| HumidiFi (WET) | OKX | +60.7% | −4.9% | −5.4% | up next day | |
| Lorenzo Protocol (BANK) | Binance | −8.8% | −26.9% | −15.7% | down next day | |
| Doodles (DOOD) | OKX | +6.4% | −33.4% | −20.5% | up next day | |
| Succinct (PROVE) | OKX | +1.8% | −33.9% | −21.1% | up next day | |
| Zora (ZORA) | OKX | +2.5% | −45.1% | −32.3% | up next day | |
| Yield Basis (YB) | OKX | −15.8% | −35.9% | −19.5% | down next day | |
| Linea (LINEA) | OKX | +4.4% | −32.1% | −20.5% | up next day | |
| Veranta (AVNT) | OKX | −19.0% | −55.7% | −37.0% | down next day | |
| Lombard (BARD) | OKX | −12.2% | −41.1% | −33.2% | down next day | |
| Veranta (AVNT) | Binance | −18.2% | −52.6% | −48.7% | down next day | |
| Linea (LINEA) | OKX | +0.5% | −23.6% | −24.7% | sideways next day | |
| Aspecta (ASP) | OKX | +4.5% | −34.4% | −31.6% | up next day | |
| Sahara AI (SAHARA) | OKX | −10.9% | +1.3% | −8.5% | down next day | |
| Spark (SPK) | OKX | −13.3% | −42.6% | −54.2% | down next day | |
| Resolv (RESOLV) | OKX | — | −55.9% | −61.1% | not measured yet | |
| Sophon (SOPH) | OKX | −14.6% | −50.9% | −49.2% | down next day | |
| Solayer (LAYER) | OKX | +16.5% | −54.4% | −70.4% | up next day | |
| WalletConnect Token (WCT) | OKX | +52.7% | +77.4% | +54.7% | up next day | |
| Big Time (BIGTIME) | Binance | −2.4% | +11.1% | −19.7% | down next day | |
| Babylon (BABY) | OKX | +31.6% | +13.4% | −13.5% | up next day | |
| Wayfinder (PROMPT) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Babylon (BABY) | Binance | +31.6% | +13.4% | −13.5% | up next day | |
| TUTORIAL (TUT) | Binance | −12.7% | −41.2% | −50.1% | down next day | |
| NAVI Protocol (NAVX) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Particle Network (PARTI) | OKX | +4.7% | −46.4% | −53.8% | up next day | |
| Test (TST) | Binance | −26.1% | −73.5% | −59.5% | down next day | |
| Berachain (BERA) | OKX | −11.7% | −22.3% | −11.6% | down next day | |
| Vine Coin (VINE) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Animecoin (ANIME) | OKX | −30.2% | −70.9% | −64.0% | down next day | |
| aixbt by Virtuals (AIXBT) | OKX | +26.6% | −62.1% | −63.0% | up next day | |
| aixbt by Virtuals (AIXBT) | Binance | −1.7% | −55.0% | −59.2% | down next day | |
| Cookie (COOKIE) | Binance | −11.8% | −72.1% | −76.4% | down next day | |
| Sonic SVM (SONIC) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| 2024 | ||||||
| Goatseus Maximus (GOAT) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Magic Eden (ME) | OKX | −4.3% | −52.7% | −47.9% | down next day | |
| Magic Eden (ME) | Binance | −4.3% | −52.7% | −47.9% | down next day | |
| Movement (MOVE) | OKX | +0.6% | +22.8% | +28.8% | sideways next day | |
| Movement (MOVE) | Binance | +0.6% | +22.8% | +28.8% | sideways next day | |
| Across Protocol (ACX) | Binance | −9.0% | −42.9% | −44.3% | down next day | |
| OPENLOOT (OL) | OKX | +84.2% | +174.7% | +167.0% | up next day | |
| Moo Deng (moodengsol.com) (MOODENG) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Act I : The AI Prophecy (ACT) | OKX | +23.6% | −5.4% | −17.6% | up next day | |
| Act I : The AI Prophecy (ACT) | Binance | +24.9% | +22.2% | −3.7% | up next day | |
| Cetus Protocol (CETUS) | Binance | +29.8% | +47.1% | +3.3% | up next day | |
| Scroll (SCR) | OKX | +8.2% | +60.4% | +17.1% | up next day | |
| Simon's Cat (CAT) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| First Neiro On Ethereum (NEIRO) | OKX | −13.1% | +12.8% | −33.2% | down next day | |
| Hamster Kombat (HMSTR) | OKX | +4.8% | −56.7% | −63.0% | up next day | |
| Catizen (CATI) | OKX | −0.8% | −50.4% | −60.1% | sideways next day | |
| First Neiro On Ethereum (NEIRO) | Binance | +91.6% | +445.8% | +431.4% | up next day | |
| Dogs (DOGS) | OKX | +1.4% | −32.1% | −30.5% | up next day | |
| Pixels (PIXEL) | OKX | −3.0% | −2.9% | −5.1% | down next day | |
| Gravity (G) | OKX | −2.3% | −19.7% | −17.3% | down next day | |
| Degen (Base) (DEGEN) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| zkSync (ZK) | OKX | +5.3% | −21.5% | −17.7% | up next day | |
| zkSync (ZK) | Binance | +3.4% | −21.7% | −17.9% | up next day | |
| Zentry (ZENT) | OKX | — | +13.5% | +2.4% | not measured yet | |
| cat in a dogs world (MEW) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Tensor (TNSR) | OKX | +10.1% | −53.1% | −41.3% | up next day | |
| Tensor (TNSR) | Binance | +10.1% | −53.1% | −41.3% | up next day | |
| Aevo (AEVO) | OKX | −6.5% | −41.5% | −35.5% | down next day | |
| Metis Token (METIS) | Binance | −1.8% | −32.1% | −34.5% | down next day | |
| Dymension (DYM) | Binance | +16.2% | +39.4% | −17.1% | up next day | |
| ZetaChain (ZETA) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| 2023 | ||||||
| Fusionist (ACE) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| SATS (Ordinals) (SATS) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| SATS (Ordinals) (SATS) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Memecoin (MEME) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Memecoin (MEME) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Big Time (BIGTIME) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| CyberConnect (CYBER) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| CyberConnect (CYBER) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Maverick Token (MAV) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Status (SNT) | Binance | — | −18.5% | — | not measured yet | |
| Civic (CVC) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Cetus Protocol (CETUS) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Aergo (AERGO) | Binance | — | −14.0% | — | not measured yet | |
| Alchemy Pay (ACH) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Liquity (LQTY) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Space ID (ID) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| QuarkChain (QKC) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Terra Classic USD (USTC) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Rocket Pool (RPL) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| SSV Network (SSV) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Liquity (LQTY) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| SSV Network (SSV) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Synapse (SYN) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Gains Network (GNS) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Core DAO (CORE) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Rocket Pool (RPL) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| 2022 | ||||||
| MAGIC (MAGIC) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| ARPA Chain (ARPA) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Osmosis (OSMO) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Manchester City Fan Token (CITY) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Ethereum PoW (ETHW) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| BarnBridge (BOND) | Binance | −19.4% | −45.3% | — | down next day | |
| Constitution DAO (PEOPLE) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Bella Protocol (BEL) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Terra (LUNA) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Terra (LUNA) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Galatasaray Fan Token (GAL) | Binance | +7.3% | −53.6% | — | up next day | |
| FTX Token (FTT) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Steem (STEEM) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| GMT (GMT) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Beefy (BIFI) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| GMT (GMT) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Stader (SD) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Kadena (KDA) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| MAGIC (MAGIC) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| WAX (WAXP) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Metis Token (METIS) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Celer Network (CELR) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| WOO (WOO) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| API3 (API3) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Secret (SCRT) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| LFJ (JOE) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Harvest Finance (FARM) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Moonbeam (GLMR) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Alchemy Pay (ACH) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| 2021 | ||||||
| LFJ (JOE) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Spell Token (SPELL) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Terra (LUNA) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Constitution DAO (PEOPLE) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Highstreet Token (HIGH) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| WOO (WOO) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| FLUX (FLUX) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Biconomy (BICO) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| WINkLink (WIN) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Biconomy (BICO) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Alchemix (ALCX) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Constitution DAO (PEOPLE) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Vulcan Forged (PYR) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Chromia (CHR) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Power Ledger (POWR) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| BENQI (QI) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Polkadot Token (DOT) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Manchester City Fan Token (CITY) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Moonriver (MOVR) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| AdEx (ADX) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Bounce (AUCTION) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| ChessCoin 0.32% (CHESS) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| SuperRare (RARE) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Radworks (RAD) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Adventure Gold (AGLD) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Bonfida (FIDA) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Syscoin (SYS) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Yield Guild Games (YGG) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Illuvium (ILV) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| VIDT DAO (VIDT) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Illuvium (ILV) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Adventure Gold (AGLD) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| WAX (WAXP) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Smooth Love Potion (SLP) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Aavegotchi (GHST) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Request (REQ) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Mobox (MBOX) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Harvest Finance (FARM) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Yield Guild Games (YGG) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| BarnBridge (BOND) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Enzyme (MLN) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Ethernity Chain (ERN) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Keep Network (KEEP) | Binance | −16.4% | −58.3% | — | down next day | |
| Tornado Cash (TORN) | Binance | −12.2% | −43.2% | — | down next day | |
| Gitcoin (GTC) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Mask Network (MASK) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| MDEX (HECO) (MDX) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Polkastarter (POLS) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| PlatON Network (LAT) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Casper Network (CSPR) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Chia (XCH) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Ampleforth Governance Token (FORTH) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Bitcoin Gold (BTG) | Binance | −7.0% | −17.7% | — | down next day | |
| Trabzonspor Fan Token (TRA) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Bounce (AUCTION) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Celer Network (CELR) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| SKALE (SKL) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Beefy (BIFI) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Badger (BADGER) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Mask Network (MASK) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Frontier Token (FRONT) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| API3 (API3) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Band Protocol (BAND) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Bancor (BNT) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Civic (CVC) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Polkadot Token (DOT) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| IOST (IOST) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Loopring (LRC) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Orbs (ORBS) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Ravencoin (RVN) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Status (SNT) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Sushi (SUSHI) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| SwftCoin (SWFTC) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| UMA (UMA) | OKX | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Truth (TRU) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| 2020 | ||||||
| Aavegotchi (GHST) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| SKALE (SKL) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| AVA (AVA) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| NEM (XEM) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Frontier Token (FRONT) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Smooth Love Potion (SLP) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| district0x (DNT) | Binance | −14.7% | −19.0% | — | down next day | |
| renBTC (renBTC) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Audius (AUDIO) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Aergo (AERGO) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| VIDT DAO (VIDT) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| xMoney (UTK) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Orchid Protocol (OXT) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Bella Protocol (BEL) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| UMA (UMA) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| DIA (DIA) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Sushi (SUSHI) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| DFI.Money (YFII) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Terra (LUNA) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Polkadot Token (DOT) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Ocean Protocol (OCEAN) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Serum (SRM) | Binance | +6.6% | +46.3% | — | up next day | |
| Balancer (BAL) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| AVA (AVA) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| IQ (IQ) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| HIVE (HIVE) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| Origin Protocol (OGN) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| 2019 | ||||||
| FTX Token (FTT) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| IoTeX (IOTX) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
| iExec RLC (RLC) | Binance | — | — | — | not measured yet | |
Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched
How this is counted
How these odds are counted
as of · methodology
This page is a count of 77 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (category group and market-cap bucket), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.
- Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
- Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose majority side flips is flagged as flipped.
- Past patterns can stop working.
The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.
Questions
Questions about this pattern
as of · answers generated from this count
- What does the 49% figure on this page mean?
- It is a base rate: 38 of the 77 measured past cases of listings of micro-cap tokens outside the big categories closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 4, 2026.
- It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 40% to 59% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
- How is a case measured?
- Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
- The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
- Why does this pattern exist and others not?
- A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
- This one has 77.
- Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
- What does the recent-cases check say here?
- The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 50% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 48% of the time.
- A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
- Where do the 246 cases come from?
- From this site's own event history: every spot listing with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
- The full list, with dates, is on this page.