$0.2248+3.6%24hmcap $44.86M · its own chain · rank #436
1
The prediction
as of Oct 4, 2026
ARK price prediction for tomorrow
53%chance ARK is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $44.86M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 47% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 46.4% of 10,929 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 980 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−60%−40%−20%0%+20%−10%0%+10%+20%−10% in 7 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 15 rose · ▼ 9 fell · ◆ 6 sideways(±1.8% over 1 day)
Bold: ARK's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 980 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to ARK's volatility. 29 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.208−7%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.222−0.2%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.241+9%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.2%
Likely range
−7% to +9%$0.208 – $0.241
1,285 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.8% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
ARK price prediction for this week
51%chance ARK is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $44.86M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 49% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 36,473 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 980 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−60%−40%−20%0%+20%0%+50%+100%−10% in 7 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 8 rose · ▼ 14 fell · ◆ 8 sideways(±3.4% over 7 days)
Bold: ARK's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 980 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to ARK's volatility. 29 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.184−17%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.221−0.5%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.299+34%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.5%
Likely range
−17% to +34%$0.184 – $0.299
1,218 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.4% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
ARK price prediction for the next 30 days
66%chance ARK is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $44.86M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 34% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 980 matched past setups
next 30 days
−60%−40%−20%0%+20%0%+100%+200%+300%−10% in 7 days↑ 98% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 6 rose · ▼ 13 fell · ◆ 11 sideways(±8.9% over 30 days)
Bold: ARK's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 980 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to ARK's volatility.
Bad case$0.121−46%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.197−11.3%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.342+54%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−11.3%
Likely range
−46% to +54%$0.121 – $0.342
980 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 63.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this ARK prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for ARK in setups like this: short, hold 1 day, 1× — profitable 55.8% of the time, typical +0.7% (n=980).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±1.0% over 1 day)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 378 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 980 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own ARK trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade ARK · by share of the last day's volume
ARK$0.224853% ▼ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 1× → +0.7%open calculator
ARK$0.224851% ▼ 7Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 7Dopen calculator
ARK$0.224866% ▼ 30Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 30Dopen calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in ARK's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (1,285 cases) into 47% higher.
Down 10% over 7 days
Down 10% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 47% of the time (52,549 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
82% below its high
82% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (131,564 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
Up 89% over 30 days
Up 89% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (39,806 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($44.9M market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 46% of the time (88,690 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in ARK's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (1,218 cases) into 49% higher.
Down 10% over 7 days
Down 10% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 44% of the time (52,149 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Up 89% over 30 days
Up 89% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (38,824 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,458 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
82% below its high
82% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a week later 42% of the time (129,935 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in ARK's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (980 cases) into 34% higher.
Down 10% over 7 days
Down 10% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (50,697 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (82,194 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Up 89% over 30 days
Up 89% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (35,679 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
82% below its high
82% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (124,083 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Our record on ARK
Our last 6 calls on ARK over 30 days: right on 0 of 6 · 1 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on ARK: 71.1% hit rate, 70.8% inside the range (45 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 66% down · ended +2.8%✗ wrongAug 2 said 60% down · ended +17.1%✗ wrongAug 9 said 60% down · ended +23.9%✗ wrongAug 16 said 70% down · ended +64.9%✗ wrongAug 23 said 63% down · ended +45.2%✗ wrongAug 30 said 71% down · ended +129.8%✗ wrong
white: ARK's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 4, 2026: 1 live 30-day prediction on record, first result due Nov 3, 2026 · the full scorecard →
active —
NoneRank #436on record since 2017-03-22$197.56K lost to hacks
$0.2248
24H+3.6%
30D0.0%
1Y0.0%
FROM ATH−97.9%
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
2
higher 30 days after
0 of 1
typical 30-day move
−13.0%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED2 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
ARK: 2 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
business logic flaw On Mar 24, 2024ARK was hacked; it rose 7.8% by day 1 and was 13.0% lower 30 days later, 17 points behind BTC; it had moved −0.6% in the 7 days before.
2018
all-time high ARK all-time high: $10.91
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. ARK set an all-time high on Jan 9, 2018; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How ARK's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
ARK median day 30
ARK n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
all venues · hack
−13.0%
1
−14.3%
75
30.7%
above
Venue · kind
ARK median day 7
ARK n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
all venues · hack
+9.6%
1
−7.1%
—
—
above
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
ARK median day 1
ARK n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
all venues · hack
+7.8%
1
−5.4%
—
—
above
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Venue
Kind
n
Median next day
Median 7 days
Median 30 days
Up after 30 days
Mean 30 days
all venues
all-time high
429
−4.1%
−17.7%
−40.3%
6.1%
−38.9%
all venues
hack
75
−5.4%
−7.1%
−14.3%
30.7%
−10.2%
computed 2026-10-04 from every measured event on record
Source: event_stats, all measured events on record · fetched
Issuer powersON RECORD
What the issuer can do to ARK holders (checked Oct 4, 2026)
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on ARK · questions · sources
ARK in short
Ark (ARK) is a crypto token on its own chain, with no start date recorded; rank #436 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 97.9% below its Jan 9, 2018 high.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the price is $0.2248 (+3.6% over 24 hours), market cap $44.9M, fully diluted value $44.9M, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; ARK is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 4, 2026.
2 events sit on Ark's record as of Oct 4, 2026 (0 spot listings, 0 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 1 hacks, 0 rounds); across the 1 with a measured day-30 outcome the median move was −13.0%.
From the latest data refresh
Ark (ARK), crypto on its own chain, holds rank #436 by market cap on Oct 4, 2026 and trades 97.9% under its Jan 9, 2018 high.
The record's largest loss is a $197,560 hack on Mar 24, 2024 (protocol logic).
2 daily snapshots run from Oct 3, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026; over that span the rank went from #436 to #436.
No exchange listing with a date is on record for ARK as of Oct 4, 2026.
No listing of ARK has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 4, 2026.
No unlock schedule is on record for ARK as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for ARK as of Oct 4, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Ark as of Oct 4, 2026.
Ark lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; 1 hack totalling $197,560 is recorded.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Ark as of Oct 4, 2026.
No TVL, fees or revenue are reported to DefiLlama for Ark as of Oct 4, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Across 75 hacks across every token on record, the median move is −5.4% on day 1 and −14.3% by day 30; 30.7% were still up after 30 days; ARK's one sits above that median at −13.0%.
ARK sits above the venue median in 1 of 1 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 4, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for ARK on its own chain as of Oct 4, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade ARK; the check is retried at every rebuild.
2 events since Jan 9, 2018; 1 of the 1 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best ARK exploited for $197,560 on Mar 24, 2024 (−13.0%), worst ARK exploited for $197,560 on Mar 24, 2024 (−13.0%).
1000 daily closes from Jan 9, 2024 to Oct 4, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 2 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $10.91 on Jan 9, 2018, 3,190 days before Oct 4, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Ark trades 97.9% below its all-time high of $10.91, set on Jan 9, 2018, 3,190 days before Oct 4, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.11).
Price change as of Oct 4, 2026: +0.5% over 1 hour, +3.6% over 24 hours, −13.8% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
With $44.9M market cap against $44.9M fully diluted, 0.0% of ARK's valuation is in non-circulating supply as of Oct 4, 2026.
24-hour volume of $15.7M is 34.9% of market cap as of Oct 4, 2026.
Circulating supply is 199.5M of 199.5M total (100.0%); no maximum supply is stated.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1495 tokens, so ARK sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 4, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for Ark as of Oct 4, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol ARK as of Oct 4, 2026.
Ark shares its ticker with ARK (ARK DeFAI), ARK (ARK), ARK (ARK: MetaSurvival ), ARK (Ark Fintech) and ARK (Ark Protocol (ark.win)) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 4, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Mar 22, 2017, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 4, 2026: CoinPaprika id ark-ark, no DefiLlama slug, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Ark as of Oct 4, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 4, 2026.
Among 1495 all tokens on record tokens, Ark is at the 71st percentile by market cap, 31st by distance from ATH and unranked by share unlocked as of Oct 4, 2026.
The peer median market cap is $13.9M, the median distance from ATH −94.9% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Veranta (#435), Troll (#437), Movement (#434), Aurora (#438) and Magma Finance (#433).
Market cap: $44.9M (P71 of 1495; peer median $13.9M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 34.92% (P93 of 1495; peer median 2.47%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1495; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −97.9% (P31 of 1495; peer median −94.9%).
peer set: all tokens on record (1495 tokens); as of Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026: 53% chance ARK is lower tomorrow — a coin flip, typical move −0.2%, likely range −6.6% to +8.6%, from 1,285 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the Ark price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 4, 2026: 51% chance ARK is lower over the next 7 days — a coin flip, typical move −0.5%, likely range −17.4% to +34.5%, from 1,218 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the ARK price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 4, 2026: 66% chance ARK is lower over the next 30 days, typical move −11.3%, likely range −45.6% to +53.6%, from 980 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these ARK predictions?
Across 45 backtested 30-day calls on ARK, the call was right 71.1% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 70.8% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 0 of 6 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind Ark?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Ark as of Oct 4, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next ARK unlock?
No future unlock is on record for ARK as of Oct 4, 2026.
Is ARK listed on Binance?
Yes; Binance listed ARK.
How far is ARK from its all-time high?
97.9% below the $10.91 high of Jan 9, 2018, 3,190 days ago, at $0.2248 on Oct 4, 2026.
Has Ark been hacked?
Yes; 1 hack is recorded, the latest on Mar 24, 2024 for $197,560 (protocol logic).
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 2 exchanges (Binance and Upbit) as of Oct 4, 2026.
3 of 5 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 14 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6)
2026-10-04 19:24 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
0 of 5 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
—
2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 4, 2026 19:21 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x08280), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
hedgey last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY;
Optimism logs: HTTP 4), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 6,173 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.