No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 48% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 46.4% of 10,929 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 208 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−15%−10%−5%0%−4%−2%0%+2%+4%+7.2% in 30 days↑ 33% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 6 rose · ▼ 8 fell · ◆ 16 sideways(±1.0% over 1 day)
Bold: BTC's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 208 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to BTC's volatility.
Bad case$83,235−3%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$85,303−0.1%half did better, half worse
Good case$87,193+2%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.1%
Likely range
−3% to +2%$83,235 – $87,193
214 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.8% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
BTC price prediction for this week
58%chance BTC is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $1.71T · large-cap
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 42% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 36,473 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 208 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−15%−10%−5%0%−15%−10%−5%0%+5%+10%+7.2% in 30 days↑ 33% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 5 rose · ▼ 10 fell · ◆ 15 sideways(±2.6% over 7 days)
Bold: BTC's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 208 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to BTC's volatility.
Bad case$79,260−7%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$84,697−0.8%half did better, half worse
Good case$91,905+8%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.8%
Likely range
−7% to +8%$79,260 – $91,905
210 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.4% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
BTC price prediction for the next 30 days
60%chance BTC is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $1.71T · large-cap
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 40% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 208 matched past setups
next 30 days
−15%−10%−5%0%−75%−50%−25%0%+25%+50%+7.2% in 30 days↑ 33% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 9 rose · ▼ 10 fell · ◆ 11 sideways(±7.0% over 30 days)
Bold: BTC's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 208 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to BTC's volatility.
Bad case$69,733−18%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$83,073−2.7%half did better, half worse
Good case$104,222+22%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−2.7%
Likely range
−18% to +22%$69,733 – $104,222
208 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 63.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this BTC prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for BTC in setups like this: short, hold 14 days, 4× — profitable 60.0% of the time, typical +6.4%, liquidated 7.9% of the time (n=208).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±3.7% over 14 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 408 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 208 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own BTC trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade BTC · by share of the last day's volume
AzbitSpot18% of BTC volumetrading · listing date not recorded
PionexSpot10% of BTC volumetrading · listing date not recorded
BTC$84.94K52% ▼ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 15× → +1.5%open calculator
BTC$84.94K58% ▼ 7Dbest play▼ Short 7D 8× → +5.6%open calculator
BTC$84.94K60% ▼ 30Dbest play▼ Short 30D 2× → +5.1%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in BTC's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (214 cases) into 48% higher.
Layer-1 / layer-2
Layer-1 / layer-2 coin. Layer-1 and layer-2 coins were higher a day later 49% of the time (2,930 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 49% · normal 46% higher a day later
Large-cap
Large-cap coin ($1.7T market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 49% of the time (6,755 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 49% · normal 46% higher a day later
32% below its high
32% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 45% of the time (40,042 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 45% · normal 46% higher a day later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (+7%). After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 45% of the time (61,195 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 45% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in BTC's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (210 cases) into 42% higher.
Layer-1 / layer-2
Layer-1 / layer-2 coin. Layer-1 and layer-2 coins were higher a week later 48% of the time (2,910 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 48% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Large-cap
Large-cap coin ($1.7T market cap). Coins this size were higher a week later 46% of the time (6,707 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
32% below its high
32% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a week later 41% of the time (39,820 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 41% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,458 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in BTC's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (208 cases) into 40% higher.
Layer-1 / layer-2
Layer-1 / layer-2 coin. Layer-1 and layer-2 coins were higher 30 days later 45% of the time (2,840 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 45% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Large-cap
Large-cap coin ($1.7T market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 43% of the time (6,555 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
32% below its high
32% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 31% of the time (39,167 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 31% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (+7%). After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 40% of the time (58,494 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
Our last 6 calls on BTC over 30 days: right on 0 of 6 · 2 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on BTC: 47.9% hit rate, 64.6% inside the range (48 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 63% down · ended +20.1%✗ wrongAug 2 said 63% down · ended +21.8%✗ wrongAug 9 said 63% down · ended +20.9%✗ wrongAug 16 said 61% down · ended +20.3%✗ wrongAug 23 said 65% down · ended +10.9%✗ wrongAug 30 said 66% down · ended +7.7%✗ wrong
white: BTC's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 2 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
Next event · the last 32 like it counts of past cases, not advice · every past case →
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
154
higher 30 days after
29 of 53
typical 30-day move
+1.9%
next up
in 10 days· US CPI release
Every eventMEASURED154 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
BTC: 154 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Sep 16, 2026; the day-30 effect will be recorded in 12 days (day 1: +1.0%).
The US consumer price index for August 2026 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Sep 11, 2026; the day-30 effect will be recorded in 7 days (day 1: +0.9%).
The US consumer price index for July 2026 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Aug 12, 2026BTC saw an US CPI release; it fell 0.2% by day 1 and was 21.4% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −0.8% in the 7 days before.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On Jul 29, 2026BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it rose 1.4% by day 1 and was 21.8% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −4.0% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for June 2026 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Jul 14, 2026BTC saw an US CPI release; it rose 3.9% by day 1 and was 1.9% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −2.7% in the 7 days before.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On Jun 17, 2026BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it fell 4.1% by day 1 and was 2.7% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +6.4% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for May 2026 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Jun 10, 2026BTC saw an US CPI release; it rose 3.1% by day 1 and was 3.9% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −7.5% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for April 2026 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On May 12, 2026BTC saw an US CPI release; it fell 3.0% by day 1 and was 22.2% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +2.4% in the 7 days before.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On Apr 29, 2026BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it was unchanged by day 1 and was 3.8% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +0.0% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for March 2026 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Apr 10, 2026BTC saw an US CPI release; it rose 1.7% by day 1 and was 14.5% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +7.3% in the 7 days before.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On Mar 18, 2026BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it fell 5.4% by day 1 and was 4.3% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +5.7% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for February 2026 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Mar 11, 2026BTC saw an US CPI release; it rose 0.8% by day 1 and was 4.3% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +2.4% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for January 2026 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Feb 13, 2026BTC saw an US CPI release; it rose 5.4% by day 1 and was 9.9% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +5.3% in the 7 days before.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On Jan 28, 2026BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it fell 5.2% by day 1 and was 26.2% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +0.9% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for December 2025 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Jan 13, 2026BTC saw an US CPI release; it rose 6.2% by day 1 and was 27.4% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −2.7% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for November 2025 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Dec 18, 2025BTC saw an US CPI release; it rose 2.2% by day 1 and was 10.3% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −6.3% in the 7 days before.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On Dec 10, 2025BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it fell 0.2% by day 1 and was 2.2% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +1.5% in the 7 days before.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On Oct 29, 2025BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it fell 4.1% by day 1 and was 19.5% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +4.2% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for September 2025 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Oct 24, 2025BTC saw an US CPI release; it rose 1.4% by day 1 and was 21.1% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +1.7% in the 7 days before.
all-time high BTC all-time high: $126.17k
—
+10.1%
−1.7%
−6.7%
−15.9%
0.0%
−25.9%
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Oct 6, 2025BTC set an all-time high; it fell 1.7% by day 1 and was 15.9% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +10.1% in the 7 days before.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On Sep 17, 2025BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it rose 0.2% by day 1 and was 8.9% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +4.7% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for August 2025 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Sep 11, 2025BTC saw an US CPI release; it rose 1.8% by day 1 and was 2.9% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +2.0% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for July 2025 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Aug 12, 2025BTC saw an US CPI release; it rose 3.9% by day 1 and was 2.7% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +3.2% in the 7 days before.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On Jul 30, 2025BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it fell 1.9% by day 1 and was 8.1% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −1.7% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for June 2025 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Jul 15, 2025BTC saw an US CPI release; it fell 1.0% by day 1 and was 1.3% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +10.7% in the 7 days before.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On Jun 18, 2025BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it rose 0.1% by day 1 and was 12.8% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −5.2% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for May 2025 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Jun 11, 2025BTC saw an US CPI release; it fell 4.2% by day 1 and was 6.6% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +4.6% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for April 2025 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On May 13, 2025BTC saw an US CPI release; it rose 0.7% by day 1 and was 2.8% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +8.5% in the 7 days before.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On May 7, 2025BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it rose 6.6% by day 1 and was 7.7% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +2.7% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for March 2025 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Apr 10, 2025BTC saw an US CPI release; it rose 1.0% by day 1 and was 26.9% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +0.1% in the 7 days before.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On Mar 19, 2025BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it rose 1.8% by day 1 and was 2.1% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −0.3% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for February 2025 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Mar 12, 2025BTC saw an US CPI release; it fell 2.2% by day 1 and was 0.6% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −5.0% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for January 2025 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Feb 12, 2025BTC saw an US CPI release; it rose 0.9% by day 1 and was 12.3% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −2.0% in the 7 days before.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On Jan 29, 2025BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it rose 3.3% by day 1 and was 16.8% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −4.5% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for December 2024 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Jan 15, 2025BTC saw an US CPI release; it rose 3.5% by day 1 and was 1.0% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −0.4% in the 7 days before.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On Dec 18, 2024BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it fell 8.2% by day 1 and was 1.9% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +9.9% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for November 2024 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Dec 11, 2024BTC saw an US CPI release; it rose 3.5% by day 1 and was 1.9% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +0.8% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for October 2024 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Nov 13, 2024BTC saw an US CPI release; it fell 0.7% by day 1 and was 15.3% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +26.8% in the 7 days before.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On Nov 7, 2024BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it rose 1.2% by day 1 and was 32.1% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +4.5% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for September 2024 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Oct 10, 2024BTC saw an US CPI release; it rose 3.1% by day 1 and was 26.5% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −0.0% in the 7 days before.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On Sep 18, 2024BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it rose 4.4% by day 1 and was 13.5% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +4.6% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for August 2024 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Sep 11, 2024BTC saw an US CPI release; it rose 0.9% by day 1 and was 8.5% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +0.3% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for July 2024 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Aug 14, 2024BTC saw an US CPI release; it fell 5.0% by day 1 and was 0.1% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +8.1% in the 7 days before.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On Jul 31, 2024BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it fell 1.3% by day 1 and was 10.7% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +0.4% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for June 2024 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Jul 11, 2024BTC saw an US CPI release; it rose 0.3% by day 1 and was 5.5% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −4.1% in the 7 days before.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On Jun 12, 2024BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it fell 0.8% by day 1 and was 14.0% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −4.6% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for May 2024 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Jun 12, 2024BTC saw an US CPI release; it fell 0.8% by day 1 and was 14.0% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −4.6% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for April 2024 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On May 15, 2024BTC saw an US CPI release; it rose 5.9% by day 1 and was 7.3% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −1.2% in the 7 days before.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On May 1, 2024BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it fell 2.7% by day 1 and was 11.3% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −8.6% in the 7 days before.
Fourth halving (block 840,000), a halving: new supply cut in half (Blockchain.com explorer: Bitcoin block 840,000 (the fourth halving)). The move is the coin's, from the close before that day. BTC saw a halving on Apr 20, 2024; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for March 2024 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Apr 10, 2024BTC saw an US CPI release; it rose 1.2% by day 1 and was 12.1% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +5.6% in the 7 days before.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On Mar 20, 2024BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it rose 5.8% by day 1 and was 3.0% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −13.3% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for February 2024 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Mar 12, 2024BTC saw an US CPI release; it rose 1.4% by day 1 and was 2.9% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +5.6% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for January 2024 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Feb 13, 2024BTC saw an US CPI release; it rose 3.8% by day 1 and was 43.0% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +16.9% in the 7 days before.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On Jan 31, 2024BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it rose 0.3% by day 1 and was 45.3% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +7.6% in the 7 days before.
The US consumer price index for December 2023 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Jan 11, 2024BTC saw an US CPI release; it fell 8.3% by day 1 and was 2.4% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Dec 13, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for November 2023 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Dec 12, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for October 2023 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Nov 14, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Nov 1, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for September 2023 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Oct 12, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Sep 20, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for August 2023 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Sep 13, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for July 2023 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Aug 10, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Jul 26, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for June 2023 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Jul 12, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Jun 14, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for May 2023 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Jun 13, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for April 2023 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on May 10, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on May 3, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for March 2023 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Apr 12, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Mar 22, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for February 2023 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Mar 14, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for January 2023 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Feb 14, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Feb 1, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for December 2022 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Jan 12, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Dec 14, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for November 2022 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Dec 13, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for October 2022 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Nov 10, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Nov 2, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for September 2022 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Oct 13, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Sep 21, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for August 2022 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Sep 13, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for July 2022 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Aug 10, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Jul 27, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for June 2022 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Jul 13, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Jun 15, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for May 2022 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Jun 10, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for April 2022 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on May 11, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on May 4, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for March 2022 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Apr 12, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Mar 16, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for February 2022 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Mar 10, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for January 2022 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Feb 10, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Jan 26, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for December 2021 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Jan 12, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Dec 15, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for November 2021 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Dec 10, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for October 2021 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Nov 10, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Nov 3, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for September 2021 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Oct 13, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Sep 22, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for August 2021 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Sep 14, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for July 2021 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Aug 11, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Jul 28, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for June 2021 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Jul 13, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Jun 16, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for May 2021 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Jun 10, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for April 2021 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on May 12, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Apr 28, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for March 2021 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Apr 13, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Mar 17, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for February 2021 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Mar 10, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for January 2021 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Feb 10, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
BTC-USDT spot trading (quotes: PLN, AUD, AED, BRL, EUR, TRY, USDT, USDC). OKX listed BTC on Jan 29, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Jan 27, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The US consumer price index for December 2020 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. BTC saw an US CPI release on Jan 13, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Dec 16, 2020; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Nov 5, 2020; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Sep 16, 2020; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Jul 29, 2020; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Jun 10, 2020; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Third halving (block 630,000), a halving: new supply cut in half (Blockchain.com explorer: Bitcoin block 630,000 (the third halving)). The move is the coin's, from the close before that day. BTC saw a halving on May 11, 2020; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Apr 29, 2020; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time; an unscheduled decision. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Mar 15, 2020; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time; an unscheduled decision. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Mar 3, 2020; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Jan 29, 2020; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Dec 11, 2019; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Oct 30, 2019; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Sep 18, 2019; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Jul 31, 2019; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Jun 19, 2019; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on May 1, 2019; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time, with its economic projections. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Mar 20, 2019; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. BTC saw a Fed rate decision on Jan 30, 2019; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
BTC-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading (quotes: USD, USDT). OKX opened perpetual futures for BTC on Aug 28, 2018; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on BTC · questions · sources
BTC in short
Bitcoin (BTC), an L1 token on Bitcoin on the record since Jan 3, 2009, stands at rank #1 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 32.7% below its Oct 6, 2025 high.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the price is $84,943 (+0.9% over 24 hours), market cap $1.71T, fully diluted value $1.71T, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Tags on CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: Segwit, Cryptocurrency, Proof Of Work, Payments, Sha256, Mining, Lightning Network, Layer 1 (L1), FTX Holdings.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; BTC is the native coin of Bitcoin, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 4, 2026.
This site has 140 past events for Bitcoin: 1 exchange listings, 1 futures listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks and 0 funding rounds; the median 30-day move after the 53 measured events was +1.9%.
From the latest data refresh
Bitcoin (BTC) is an L1 token on Bitcoin, rank #1 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 32.7% below its Oct 6, 2025 high.
Across 53 measured events the median day-30 move was +1.9%.
Since PatternPlus began recording on Oct 3, 2026 (2 daily snapshots), rank moved from #1 to #1.
BTC is on 137 spot and 12 perpetual venues on record; the earliest dated listing was OKX (perp) on Aug 28, 2018.
No listing of BTC has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 4, 2026.
No unlock schedule is on record for BTC as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for BTC as of Oct 4, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Bitcoin as of Oct 4, 2026.
Bitcoin lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 4, 2026.
4 people appear on this record (Jonas Schnelli, Marco Falke, Satoshi Nakamoto and Wladimir J. van der Laan); none appears on another record.
DefiLlama reports not reported TVL and $0 revenue over 30 days as of Oct 4, 2026;
revenue to market cap of 0.000 sits at the 12th percentile of 10 L1 tokens.
The largest audience count is 5,958,815 reddit subscribers, read on Oct 4, 2026.
Development: 500 commits in 90 days on bitcoin/bitcoin, last commit Oct 3, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 4, 2026.
The record for BTC holds 140 events up to Oct 4, 2026: 53 carry a day-30 measurement, 2 are pending and 85 predate the price series, with 14 more scheduled ahead.
Best day-30 outcome: Fed rate decision on Jan 31, 2024 (+45.3%); worst: US CPI for December 2025 on Jan 13, 2026 (−27.4%).
Median day-30 move by kind: US CPI release +2.4% (n=31); Fed rate decision −1.9% (n=21); all-time high −15.9% (n=1).
29 of the 53 measured events were followed by a higher price after 30 days (54.7%).
Across 31 US CPI releases across every token on record, the median move is +1.1% on day 1 and +2.4% by day 30; 61.3% were still up after 30 days; BTC's 31 sit below that median at +2.4%.
Across 21 Fed rate decisions across every token on record, the median move is +0.1% on day 1 and −1.9% by day 30;
47.6% were still up after 30 days;
BTC's 21 sit below that median at −1.9%.
Across 429 all-time highs across every token on record, the median move is −4.1% on day 1 and −40.3% by day 30;
6.1% were still up after 30 days;
BTC's one sits above that median at −15.9%.
BTC sits above the venue median in 1 of 3 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 4, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for BTC on Bitcoin as of Oct 4, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade BTC; the check is retried at every rebuild.
140 events since Jul 10, 2018; 24 of the 53 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best Fed rate decision on Jan 31, 2024 (+45.3%), worst US CPI for December 2025 on Jan 13, 2026 (−27.4%).
1001 daily closes from Jan 8, 2024 to Oct 4, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 2 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $126,173 on Oct 6, 2025, 363 days before Oct 4, 2026.
14 scheduled events beyond Oct 4, 2026 are drawn hollow until their effects can be measured.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026BTC trades on 137 spot venues and 12 perpetual venues with dated listings, from OKX on Aug 28, 2018 to OKX on Jan 29, 2021; the first perpetual opened on OKX on Aug 28, 2018, 885 days before the first spot pair.
0 delistings are on record for BTC as of Oct 4, 2026.
940 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no BTC listing on record as of Oct 4, 2026 (Maker DAO PSM, Pancakeswap V3 (BSC), Phemex, Uniswap V4 (Ethereum), Aerodrome SlipStream 3 and Uniswap V3 (Ethereum), among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 4, 2026.
The all-time high on record for Bitcoin is $126,173 on Oct 6, 2025, 363 days ago as of Oct 4, 2026; the price is 32.7% below it; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.03).
Price change as of Oct 4, 2026: −0.1% over 1 hour, +0.9% over 24 hours, +1.1% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 100.0% of fully diluted value ($1.71T of $1.71T), so 0.0% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $13.97B is 0.8% of market cap as of Oct 4, 2026.
Circulating supply is 20.1M of 20.1M total (100.0%) and a maximum of 21M.
The L1 median 30-day change is 0.0% across 10 tokens, so BTC sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 4, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
Bitcoin has 1 contract or mint address on record across 1 chain (bitcoin); it is the native coin of Bitcoin.
Description as published on CoinPaprika: Bitcoin (BTC) is a decentralized digital currency that enables peer-to-peer transactions without intermediaries, using blockchain technology to ensure security and transparency. It was created in 2009 by an anonymous entity known as Satoshi Nakamoto. Source: CoinPaprika.com
No other token on record uses the symbol BTC as of Oct 4, 2026.
Bitcoin shares its ticker with BTC (Bitcoin AI), BTC (Bitcoin Base), BTC (Bitcoin Seconde Chance), BTC (Bobby The Cat) and BTC (Buy The Cat) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 4, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: started Jan 3, 2009, first market data Jul 17, 2010, proof type Proof of Work, organisation Decentralized, whitepaper https://static.coinpaprika.com/storage/cdn/whitepapers/215.pdf.
Cross-references as of Oct 4, 2026: CoinPaprika id btc-bitcoin, DefiLlama slug bitcoin, GitHub bitcoin/bitcoin.
When the links were last read on Oct 4, 2026 the counts were 5,958,815 reddit subscribers and 161,310 twitter followers.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 4, 2026.
Bitcoin reported $7.3M in fees and $0 in revenue over 30 days to DefiLlama on not reported TVL as of Oct 4, 2026; its revenue-to-market-cap ratio of 0.000 is at the 12th percentile of 10 L1 tokens.
DefiLlama records no parent protocol for Bitcoin (not a fork).
No oracle is listed for Bitcoin on DefiLlama.
DefiLlama lists Bitcoin under 'Canonical Bridge' (slug bitcoin).
DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 4, 2026.
The main repository bitcoin/bitcoin had 500 commits in the last 90 days and its last commit on Oct 3, 2026 (1 day before Oct 4, 2026); 90,306 stars, 1,366 contributors, MIT licence.
The repository was created on Dec 19, 2010, is written mainly in C++ and has 39,423 forks and 767 open issues.
Set against 10 L1 tokens on Oct 4, 2026, Bitcoin ranks at the 90th percentile for market cap, the 80th for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $9.97B, the median distance from ATH −78.1% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Ethereum (#2), XRP (#5), Zcash (#10), Monero (#14) and Cardano (#19).
Market cap: $1.71T (P90 of 10; peer median $9.97B).
Volume / market cap (24h): 0.82% (P0 of 10; peer median 2.10%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P45 of 10; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −32.7% (P80 of 10; peer median −78.1%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.000 (too few peers (4) for a percentile).
Commits in 90 days: 500 (P79 of 7; peer median 220).
As of Oct 4, 2026: 52% chance BTC is lower tomorrow — a coin flip, typical move −0.1%, likely range −2.5% to +2.1%, from 214 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the Bitcoin price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 4, 2026: 58% chance BTC is lower over the next 7 days, typical move −0.8%, likely range −7.2% to +7.6%, from 210 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the BTC price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 4, 2026: 60% chance BTC is lower over the next 30 days, typical move −2.7%, likely range −18.3% to +22.1%, from 208 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these BTC predictions?
Across 48 backtested 30-day calls on BTC, the call was right 47.9% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 64.6% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 0 of 6 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
What could move BTC next?
BTC: US CPI for September 2026 in 10 days.
After events like this, the price was higher the next day 72% of the time (32 past cases).
The same kind of event is scheduled again on Nov 10, 2026, Dec 10, 2026.
BTC: Fed rate decision in 24 days.
After events like this, the price was higher the next day 55% of the time (22 past cases).
The same kind of event is scheduled again on Dec 9, 2026, Jan 27, 2027, Mar 17, 2027.
Who is behind Bitcoin?
Jonas Schnelli (Blockchain Developer), Marco Falke (Blockchain Developer), Satoshi Nakamoto (Founder) and Wladimir J. van der Laan (Blockchain Developer) appear on CoinPaprika's team list for Bitcoin as of Oct 4, 2026;
each has a career record on this site.
When is the next BTC unlock?
No future unlock is on record for BTC as of Oct 4, 2026.
Is BTC listed on Binance?
Yes; Binance listed BTC.
How far is BTC from its all-time high?
32.7% below the $126,173 high of Oct 6, 2025, 363 days ago, at $84,943 on Oct 4, 2026.
Has Bitcoin been hacked?
No hack is on record for Bitcoin as of Oct 4, 2026; 0 audit links are listed.
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 147 exchanges (ATAIX, AltQuick.com, Aster DEX, Azbit, BCEX and BIT.TEAM), 4 people (Jonas Schnelli, Marco Falke, Satoshi Nakamoto and Wladimir J. van der Laan) as of Oct 4, 2026.
3 of 5 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 14 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6)
2026-10-04 19:24 UTC
none
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teamfinance
0 of 5 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
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2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 4, 2026 19:21 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x08280), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
hedgey last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY;
Optimism logs: HTTP 4), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 3,843 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 3, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
