$1.2+4.3%24hmcap $19.1M · its own chain · rank #655
1
The prediction
as of Oct 4, 2026
DOT price prediction for tomorrow
51%chance DOT is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $19.1M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 49% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 46.4% of 10,929 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 3162 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−30%−20%−10%0%−10%0%+10%+36% in 30 days↑ 87% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 4 rose · ▼ 15 fell · ◆ 11 sideways(±1.8% over 1 day)
Bold: DOT's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 3162 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to DOT's volatility. 30 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$1.17−5%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$1.230%half did better, half worse
Good case$1.30+6%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.0%
Likely range
−5% to +6%$1.17 – $1.30
4,185 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.8% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
DOT price prediction for this week
50%chance DOT is lower
↔ COIN FLIP
Market cap $19.1M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 50% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 36,473 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 3162 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−30%−20%−10%0%−20%0%+20%+40%+60%+36% in 30 days↑ 87% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 9 rose · ▼ 11 fell · ◆ 10 sideways(±2.7% over 7 days)
Bold: DOT's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 3162 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to DOT's volatility. 30 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$1.04−15%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$1.230%half did better, half worse
Good case$1.47+20%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
0.0%
Likely range
−15% to +20%$1.04 – $1.47
3,867 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.4% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
DOT price prediction for the next 30 days
61%chance DOT is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $19.1M · micro-cap: thinner trading, bigger swings
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 39% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 3162 matched past setups
next 30 days
−30%−20%−10%0%0%+200%+400%+36% in 30 days↑ 87% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 8 rose · ▼ 11 fell · ◆ 11 sideways(±7.7% over 30 days)
Bold: DOT's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 3162 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to DOT's volatility.
Bad case$0.746−39%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$1.14−6.9%half did better, half worse
Good case$1.86+52%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−6.9%
Likely range
−39% to +52%$0.746 – $1.86
3,162 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 63.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this DOT prediction and count how it ended.
No trade window for DOT was profitable in most similar past cases with a positive average result and liquidations at or under 10% (n=3162).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±2.6% over 7 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 387 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 3,162 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own DOT trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade DOT · by share of the last day's volume
DOT$1.251% ▼ 1Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 1Dopen calculator
DOT$1.250% ▼ 7Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 7Dopen calculator
DOT$1.261% ▼ 30Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 30Dopen calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in DOT's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (4,185 cases) into 49% higher.
89% below its high
89% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (131,564 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
Up 36% over 30 days
Up 36% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (39,806 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Micro-cap
Micro-cap coin ($19.1M market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 46% of the time (88,690 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (168,672 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in DOT's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (3,867 cases) into 50% higher.
Up 36% over 30 days
Up 36% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (38,824 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,458 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (−3%). After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,734 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
89% below its high
89% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a week later 42% of the time (129,935 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in DOT's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (3,162 cases) into 39% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (82,194 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Up 36% over 30 days
Up 36% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (35,679 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
89% below its high
89% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (124,083 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (−3%). After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (85,642 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Our record on DOT
Our last 6 calls on DOT over 30 days: right on 0 of 6 · 2 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on DOT: 64.4% hit rate, 75.0% inside the range (45 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 66% down · ended +2.9%✗ wrongAug 2 said 66% down · ended +9.1%✗ wrongAug 9 said 66% down · ended +55.9%✗ wrongAug 16 said 70% down · ended +24.5%✗ wrongAug 23 said 67% down · ended +31.4%✗ wrongAug 30 said 66% down · ended +45.7%✗ wrong
white: DOT's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 2 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 47 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
5
higher 30 days after
0 of 1
typical 30-day move
−20.6%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED5 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
DOT: 5 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2024
all-time high DOT all-time high: $9.18
—
−13.1%
−6.0%
−18.2%
−20.6%
−16.8%
−52.4%
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Dec 16, 2024 DOT set an all-time high; it fell 6.0% by day 1 and was 20.6% lower 30 days later, 17 points behind BTC; it had moved −13.1% in the 7 days before.
DOT-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, TRY, USDT, USDC). OKX listed DOT on Jan 29, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
DOT-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading (quotes: USD, USDT). OKX opened perpetual futures for DOT on Aug 25, 2020; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on DOT · questions · sources
DOT in short
Polkadot Token (DOT) is a crypto token on its own chain, with no start date recorded; rank #655 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 87.0% below its Dec 16, 2024 high.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the price is $1.2 (+4.3% over 24 hours), market cap $19.1M, fully diluted value $19.2M, holder count not reported, $2.8M TVL.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; DOT is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 4, 2026.
This site has 5 past events for Polkadot Token: 3 exchange listings, 1 futures listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks and 0 funding rounds; the median 30-day move after the 1 measured events was −20.6%.
From the latest data refresh
Polkadot Token (DOT) is a crypto token on its own chain, rank #655 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 87.0% below its Dec 16, 2024 high.
Across 1 measured events the median day-30 move was −20.6%.
2 daily snapshots run from Oct 3, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026; over that span the rank went from #655 to #655.
4 spot pairs and 1 perpetual instruments are live for DOT as of Oct 4, 2026, starting with OKX on Aug 25, 2020.
No listing of DOT has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 4, 2026.
No unlock schedule is on record for DOT as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for DOT as of Oct 4, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Polkadot Token as of Oct 4, 2026.
Polkadot Token lists 1 audit link on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 4, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Polkadot Token as of Oct 4, 2026.
DefiLlama reports $2.8M TVL and not reported revenue over 30 days as of Oct 4, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Across 429 all-time highs across every token on record, the median move is −4.1% on day 1 and −40.3% by day 30; 6.1% were still up after 30 days; DOT's one sits above that median at −20.6%.
DOT sits above the venue median in 1 of 1 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 4, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for DOT on its own chain as of Oct 4, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade DOT; the check is retried at every rebuild.
5 events since Aug 18, 2020; 1 of the 1 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best DOT all-time high: $9.18 on Dec 16, 2024 (−20.6%), worst DOT all-time high: $9.18 on Dec 16, 2024 (−20.6%).
1001 daily closes from Jan 8, 2024 to Oct 4, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 2 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $9.18 on Dec 16, 2024, 657 days before Oct 4, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026 DOT trades on 4 spot venues and 1 perpetual venues with dated listings, from OKX on Aug 25, 2020 to OKX on Jan 29, 2021; the first perpetual opened on OKX on Aug 25, 2020, 157 days before the first spot pair.
0 delistings are on record for DOT as of Oct 4, 2026.
1083 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no DOT listing on record as of Oct 4, 2026 (Bitget, Azbit, Pionex, WEEX, Lbank and Gate, among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Polkadot Token trades 87.0% below its all-time high of $9.18, set on Dec 16, 2024, 657 days before Oct 4, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.43).
Price change as of Oct 4, 2026: +0.1% over 1 hour, +4.3% over 24 hours, −3.9% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
With $19.1M market cap against $19.2M fully diluted, 0.4% of DOT's valuation is in non-circulating supply as of Oct 4, 2026.
24-hour volume of $78,804 is 0.4% of market cap as of Oct 4, 2026.
Circulating supply is 15.9M of 16M total (99.6%); no maximum supply is stated.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1495 tokens, so DOT sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 4, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for Polkadot Token as of Oct 4, 2026.
No other token on record uses the symbol DOT as of Oct 4, 2026.
Polkadot Token shares its ticker with DOT (DOT), DOT (Dogs Of Toly), DOT (Dot), DOT (Pippin's Friend) and DOT (Polkadot) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 4, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Dec 16, 2024, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 4, 2026: CoinPaprika id dot-polkadot-token, DefiLlama slug acala-lcdot, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Polkadot Token as of Oct 4, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 4, 2026.
Set against 1495 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 4, 2026, Polkadot Token ranks at the 56th percentile for market cap, the 68th for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $13.9M, the median distance from ATH −94.9% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are DIA (#654), Goatseus Maximus (#656), MESSIER (#653), CCIP Bridged USDC (Ronin) (#653) and Cobak Token (#652).
Market cap: $19.1M (P56 of 1495; peer median $13.9M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 0.41% (P23 of 1495; peer median 2.47%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1495; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −87.0% (P68 of 1495; peer median −94.9%).
TVL: $2.8M (P46 of 419; peer median $5.5M).
peer set: all tokens on record (1495 tokens); as of Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026: 51% chance DOT is lower tomorrow — a coin flip, typical move −0.0%, likely range −4.8% to +5.7%, from 4,185 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the Polkadot Token price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 4, 2026: 50% chance DOT is lower over the next 7 days — a coin flip, typical move 0.0%, likely range −14.9% to +20.1%, from 3,867 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the DOT price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 4, 2026: 61% chance DOT is lower over the next 30 days, typical move −6.9%, likely range −39.2% to +51.7%, from 3,162 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these DOT predictions?
Across 45 backtested 30-day calls on DOT, the call was right 64.4% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 75.0% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 0 of 6 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind Polkadot Token?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Polkadot Token as of Oct 4, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next DOT unlock?
No future unlock is on record for DOT as of Oct 4, 2026.
Is DOT listed on Binance?
Yes; Binance listed DOT.
How far is DOT from its all-time high?
87.0% below the $9.18 high of Dec 16, 2024, 657 days ago, at $1.2 on Oct 4, 2026.
Has Polkadot Token been hacked?
No hack is on record for Polkadot Token as of Oct 4, 2026; 1 audit link is listed.
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 4 exchanges (Binance, Coinbase, OKX and Upbit) as of Oct 4, 2026.
3 of 5 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 14 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6)
2026-10-04 19:24 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
0 of 5 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
—
2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 4, 2026 19:21 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x08280), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
hedgey last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY;
Optimism logs: HTTP 4), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 6,476 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.