No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 45% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 46.4% of 10,929 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 573 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−40%−20%0%+20%−10%0%+10%+20%+32% in 30 days↑ 82% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 12 rose · ▼ 11 fell · ◆ 7 sideways(±1.6% over 1 day)
Bold: HBAR's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 573 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to HBAR's volatility. 3 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0948−9%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.103−1.0%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.113+8%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−1.0%
Likely range
−9% to +8%$0.0948 – $0.113
701 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.8% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
HBAR price prediction for this week
60%chance HBAR is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $4.5B · mid-cap
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 40% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 36,473 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 573 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−40%−20%0%+20%−40%−20%0%+20%+40%+32% in 30 days↑ 82% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 11 rose · ▼ 10 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±6.0% over 7 days)
Bold: HBAR's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 573 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to HBAR's volatility. 3 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.0820−21%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.100−3.7%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.127+22%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−3.7%
Likely range
−21% to +22%$0.0820 – $0.127
683 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.4% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
HBAR price prediction for the next 30 days
62%chance HBAR is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $4.5B · mid-cap
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 38% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 573 matched past setups
next 30 days
−40%−20%0%+20%−50%0%+50%+100%+32% in 30 days↑ 82% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 8 rose · ▼ 13 fell · ◆ 9 sideways(±12% over 30 days)
Bold: HBAR's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 573 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to HBAR's volatility.
Bad case$0.0613−41%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.0936−9.9%half did better, half worse
Good case$0.156+50%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−9.9%
Likely range
−41% to +50%$0.0613 – $0.156
573 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 63.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this HBAR prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for HBAR in setups like this: short, hold 3 days, 3× — profitable 54.5% of the time, typical +3.7%, liquidated 6.2% of the time (n=573).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±1.7% over 3 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 380 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 573 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own HBAR trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
Where to trade HBAR · by share of the last day's volume
HBAR$0.102255% ▼ 1Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 1Dopen calculator
HBAR$0.102260% ▼ 7Dbest play▼ Short 7D 1× → +3.2%open calculator
HBAR$0.102262% ▼ 30Dbest playno play cleared the bar at 30Dopen calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in HBAR's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (701 cases) into 45% higher.
Up 8% over 7 days
Up 8% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a day later 45% of the time (37,341 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 45% · normal 46% higher a day later
72% below its high
72% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a day later 47% of the time (131,564 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 47% · normal 46% higher a day later
Up 32% over 30 days
Up 32% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (39,806 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (168,672 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in HBAR's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (683 cases) into 40% higher.
Up 8% over 7 days
Up 8% this week. After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 40% of the time (36,949 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 40% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Up 32% over 30 days
Up 32% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (38,824 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,458 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
72% below its high
72% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher a week later 42% of the time (129,935 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in HBAR's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (573 cases) into 38% higher.
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (82,194 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Up 32% over 30 days
Up 32% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (35,679 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 34% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
72% below its high
72% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (124,083 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Mid-cap
Mid-cap coin ($4.5B market cap). Coins this size were higher 30 days later 36% of the time (20,132 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 36% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Our record on HBAR
Our last 6 calls on HBAR over 30 days: right on 0 of 6 · 2 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on HBAR: 68.1% hit rate, 81.2% inside the range (47 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 65% down · ended +10.7%✗ wrongAug 2 said 65% down · ended +5.7%✗ wrongAug 9 said 65% down · ended +15.2%✗ wrongAug 16 said 65% down · ended +14.9%✗ wrongAug 23 said 67% down · ended +24.2%✗ wrongAug 30 said 66% down · ended +39.4%✗ wrong
white: HBAR's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 2 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →
activeHederaL1Rank #35on record since 2019-09-17$600K lost to hacks
$0.1022
24H+2.9%
30D0.0%
1Y0.0%
FROM ATH−82.0%
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
Cryptocurrency · Smart Contracts · Token Issuance · Byzantine Fault Tolerance · Layer 1 (L1) · High Transaction Speed (TPS) · Made in USA
updated today Updated · 177 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
4
higher 30 days after
—
typical 30-day move
—
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED4 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
HBAR: 4 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
HBAR-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. OKX opened perpetual futures for HBAR on Aug 16, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
hack Hedera exploited for $600k
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
defillama
Improper Access Control HBAR was hacked on Mar 10, 2023; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
2021
all-time high HBAR all-time high: $0.5661
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. HBAR set an all-time high on Sep 15, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
HBAR-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, TRY, USDT, USDC). OKX listed HBAR on Jan 29, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How HBAR's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
HBAR median day 30
HBAR n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 4, 2026
Venue · kind
HBAR median day 7
HBAR n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 4, 2026
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
HBAR median day 1
HBAR n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
No measured event to compare as of Oct 4, 2026
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on HBAR · questions · sources
HBAR in short
Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) is an L1 token on Hedera, with no start date recorded; rank #35 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 82.0% below its Sep 15, 2021 high.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the price is $0.1022 (+2.9% over 24 hours), market cap $4.5B, fully diluted value $5.11B, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
Tags on CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: Cryptocurrency, Smart Contracts, Token Issuance, Byzantine Fault Tolerance, Layer 1 (L1), High Transaction Speed (TPS), Made in USA.
Status on CoinPaprika: active; HBAR is the native coin of Hedera, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 4, 2026.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the record for Hedera Hashgraph runs to 4 events, of which 1 are spot listings, 1 perpetual listings, 0 unlocks, 1 hacks and 0 funding rounds; 0 carry a day-30 measurement with a median of not yet measurable.
From the latest data refresh
Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) is an L1 token on Hedera, rank #35 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 82.0% below its Sep 15, 2021 high.
The record's largest loss is a $600,000 hack on Mar 10, 2023 (access control).
Since PatternPlus began recording on Oct 3, 2026 (2 daily snapshots), rank moved from #35 to #35.
40 spot pairs and 5 perpetual instruments are live for HBAR as of Oct 4, 2026, starting with OKX on Jan 29, 2021.
No listing of HBAR has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 4, 2026.
No unlock schedule is on record for HBAR as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for HBAR as of Oct 4, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Hedera Hashgraph as of Oct 4, 2026.
Hedera Hashgraph lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; 1 hack totalling $600,000 is recorded.
3 people appear on this record (Dr. Leemon Baird, Ken Anderson and Mance Harmon); none appears on another record.
DefiLlama reports not reported TVL and $0 revenue over 30 days as of Oct 4, 2026;
revenue to market cap of 0.000 sits at the 12th percentile of 10 L1 tokens.
The largest audience count is 31,191 reddit subscribers, read on Oct 4, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for HBAR on Hedera as of Oct 4, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade HBAR; the check is retried at every rebuild.
As of Oct 4, 2026HBAR trades on 40 spot venues and 5 perpetual venues with dated listings, from OKX on Jan 29, 2021 to OKX on Aug 16, 2023; the first perpetual opened on OKX on Aug 16, 2023, 929 days after the first spot pair.
0 delistings are on record for HBAR as of Oct 4, 2026.
1043 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no HBAR listing on record as of Oct 4, 2026 (WEEX, Biconomy, Toobit, CoinW, Batonex and Poloniex, among others).
exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Hedera Hashgraph trades 82.0% below its all-time high of $0.5661, set on Sep 15, 2021, 1,845 days before Oct 4, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.22).
Price change as of Oct 4, 2026: +0.2% over 1 hour, +2.9% over 24 hours, +9.4% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 88.0% of fully diluted value ($4.5B of $5.11B), so 12.0% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $71.9M is 1.6% of market cap as of Oct 4, 2026.
Circulating supply is 44B of 50B total (88.0%) and a maximum of 1B.
The L1 median 30-day change is 0.0% across 10 tokens, so HBAR sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 4, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
Hedera Hashgraph has 1 contract or mint address on record across 1 chain (hedera); it is the native coin of Hedera.
Description as published on CoinPaprika: Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) is a decentralized public network that enables fast, secure, and low-cost transactions through its unique consensus algorithm known as Hashgraph. It is designed for a variety of applications, including decentralized finance, digital identity, and supply chain management. Source: CoinPaprika.com
No other token on record uses the symbol HBAR as of Oct 4, 2026.
No former name, former symbol or alias is recorded for Hedera Hashgraph as of Oct 4, 2026.
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Sep 17, 2019, proof type Asynchronous Byzantine Fault Tolerance, organisation structure not stated, whitepaper https://static.coinpaprika.com/storage/cdn/whitepapers/10585149.pdf.
Cross-references as of Oct 4, 2026: CoinPaprika id hbar-hedera-hashgraph, DefiLlama slug hedera, GitHub hashgraph.
Audience counts when last read on Oct 4, 2026: 31,191 reddit subscribers, 24,588 twitter followers and 23,143 telegram members.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 4, 2026.
Hedera Hashgraph reported $19,212 in fees and $0 in revenue over 30 days to DefiLlama on not reported TVL as of Oct 4, 2026; its revenue-to-market-cap ratio of 0.000 is at the 12th percentile of 10 L1 tokens.
DefiLlama records no parent protocol for Hedera Hashgraph (not a fork).
No oracle is listed for Hedera Hashgraph on DefiLlama.
DefiLlama lists Hedera Hashgraph under 'Chain' (slug hedera).
DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Set against 10 L1 tokens on Oct 4, 2026, Hedera Hashgraph ranks at the lowest (P0) percentile for market cap, the 30th for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $9.97B, the median distance from ATH −78.1% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Avalanche (#32), Sui (#30), Litecoin (#29), Cardano (#19) and Monero (#14).
Market cap: $4.5B (P0 of 10; peer median $9.97B).
Volume / market cap (24h): 1.60% (P40 of 10; peer median 2.10%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P45 of 10; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −82.0% (P30 of 10; peer median −78.1%).
Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.000 (too few peers (4) for a percentile).
As of Oct 4, 2026: 55% chance HBAR is lower tomorrow, typical move −1.0%, likely range −8.7% to +8.5%, from 701 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the Hedera Hashgraph price prediction for this week?
As of Oct 4, 2026: 60% chance HBAR is lower over the next 7 days, typical move −3.7%, likely range −21.0% to +22.3%, from 683 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the HBAR price prediction for the next 30 days?
As of Oct 4, 2026: 62% chance HBAR is lower over the next 30 days, typical move −9.9%, likely range −40.9% to +50.1%, from 573 similar past setups.
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these HBAR predictions?
Across 47 backtested 30-day calls on HBAR, the call was right 68.1% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 81.2% of the time.
Of the last 6 30-day calls, 0 of 6 were right.
Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind Hedera Hashgraph?
Dr. Leemon Baird (Founder / Chief Scientist), Ken Anderson (Lead Developer Advocate) and Mance Harmon (CEO) appear on CoinPaprika's team list for Hedera Hashgraph as of Oct 4, 2026;
each has a career record on this site.
When is the next HBAR unlock?
No future unlock is on record for HBAR as of Oct 4, 2026.
Is HBAR listed on Binance?
Yes; Binance listed HBAR.
How far is HBAR from its all-time high?
82.0% below the $0.5661 high of Sep 15, 2021, 1,845 days ago, at $0.1022 on Oct 4, 2026.
Has Hedera Hashgraph been hacked?
Yes; 1 hack is recorded, the latest on Mar 10, 2023 for $600,000 (access control).
Related records
Related records
as of · chosen deterministically from the joins on this page
10 related token records are linked below, plus 44 exchanges (Azbit, BTC Markets, BYDFi (Spot), Bequant, Binance and Binance Futures), 3 people (Dr. Leemon Baird, Ken Anderson and Mance Harmon) as of Oct 4, 2026.
3 of 5 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 14 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6)
2026-10-04 19:24 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
0 of 5 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
—
2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 4, 2026 19:21 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x08280), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
hedgey last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY;
Optimism logs: HTTP 4), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 3,372 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
