PATTERN+ PREDICTIONS
Updated

Raydium (RAY) price prediction

$2.09 +12.7%24h mcap $563.99M · its own chain · rank #115

The prediction

as of Oct 4, 2026

RAY price prediction for the next 30 days

65% chance RAY is lower

▼ STRONG DOWN

Market cap $563.99M · mid-cap

No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.

Lookalike Setups (main) · 35% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 557 matched past setups

▲ 6 rose · ▼ 18 fell · ◆ 6 sideways (±18% over 30 days)

Bold: RAY's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 557 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to RAY's volatility.
Bad case$0.923−57%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$1.79−16.0%half did better, half worse
Good case$3.74+75%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−16.0%
Likely range
−57% to +75%$0.923 – $3.74

557 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 63.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →

Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.

Get an alert when RAY reaches its usual best exit → Pro is coming · 50% off for the waitlist

Plan a leveraged trade on RAY

Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this RAY prediction and count how it ended.

Best historical window for RAY in setups like this: short, hold 2 days, 3× — profitable 60.7% of the time, typical +10.8%, liquidated 7.2% of the time (n=557).

The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own RAY trade on these past cases.

Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.

Setups firing on RAY today

No setup is firing on RAY today · every setup we track →

Why we think this

the reasoning, in short

Drivers

Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in RAY's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (557 cases) into 35% higher.

Bitcoin above its 50-day average

Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (82,194 cases), vs 37% across all cases.

higher 39% of the time in this situation vs 37% across all cases here 39% · normal 37% higher 30 days later

Up 159% over 30 days

Up 159% over the last 30 days. After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 34% of the time (35,679 cases), vs 37% across all cases.

higher 34% of the time in this situation vs 37% across all cases here 34% · normal 37% higher 30 days later

74% below its high

74% below its all-time high. Coins that far below their high were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (124,083 cases), vs 37% across all cases.

higher 38% of the time in this situation vs 37% across all cases here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later

Within 7% of a week ago

Within 7% of its price a week ago (−2%). After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (85,642 cases), vs 37% across all cases.

higher 38% of the time in this situation vs 37% across all cases here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later

Our record on RAY

Our last 6 calls on RAY over 30 days: right on 0 of 6 · 1 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on RAY: 51.1% hit rate, 68.8% inside the range (45 backtested calls)

2026-07-26: said 36% chance higher over 30 days, range −35% to +24%; it ended +22.6% — call wrong, inside the range
Jul 26 said 64% down · ended +22.6%✗ wrong
2026-08-02: said 43% chance higher over 30 days, range −26% to +19%; it ended +33.8% — call wrong, outside the range
Aug 2 said 57% down · ended +33.8%✗ wrong
2026-08-09: said 36% chance higher over 30 days, range −27% to +17%; it ended +94.5% — call wrong, outside the range
Aug 9 said 64% down · ended +94.5%✗ wrong
2026-08-16: said 39% chance higher over 30 days, range −18% to +11%; it ended +100.7% — call wrong, outside the range
Aug 16 said 61% down · ended +100.7%✗ wrong
2026-08-23: said 30% chance higher over 30 days, range −20% to +13%; it ended +136.4% — call wrong, outside the range
Aug 23 said 70% down · ended +136.4%✗ wrong
2026-08-30: said 25% chance higher over 30 days, range −20% to +9%; it ended +148.4% — call wrong, outside the range
Aug 30 said 75% down · ended +148.4%✗ wrong

white: RAY's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 3, 2026: 2 live 30-day predictions on record, first result due Nov 2, 2026 · the full scorecard →

The data

every table, chart and number on RAY — dated
active — None Rank #115 on record since 2021-08-24 $5.74M lost to hacks
$2.09
24H+12.7%
30D0.0%
1Y0.0%
FROM ATH−87.6%
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)

The score 30-day view · scored 2026-10-04 · how this is computed →

RAY score 66.2 of 100 — weighted sum of the five parts, scored 2026-10-0466OF 100
SETUP ×0.30SETUP 50 of 10050
RISK ×0.25RISK 85 of 10085
RECORD ×0.20RECORD 50 of 10050
DILUTION ×0.15DILUTION 100 of 100100
PULSE ×0.10PULSE 50 of 10050
#1367 of 1495 scored ▼ 356 places since the previous score datescore history builds up one row per build day

total = Σ weight × part · every part is a count or a checked fact, dated · all predictions · not financial advice

Event record price move measured from the event day · 10 on record

DateKindEventNext day30 days90 days
launch RAY launched on raydium-clmm with $1,085,483,891 FDVlaunch on record +11.3% in 28 days in 88 days
hack Raydium AMM exploited for $1.34Mhack on record +2.1% +21.0% +113.4%
perpetual listing OKX lists RAY perpetualOKX +3.5% +36.1% +14.7%

10 measured events on record · typical move after 30 days +28.5%

Every event — full breakdown →

Issuer powers checked 2026-10-04

Can the issuer mint new RAY and dilute you?

NO

Mint more tokens revoked · checked 2026-10-04

Can the issuer freeze your tokens?

NO

Freeze accounts revoked · checked 2026-10-04

Fine print: no checked power remains live on this contract.

Issuer powers — full breakdown →

Unlock schedule .ics feed

Unlocked 0.0% of total supply0%
0.0% unlocked100.0% of total supply still locked

RAY unlock schedule — full breakdown →

At a glance the key number of every block below · tap for the table

The score

66 / 100 #1367 of 1495 scored · 30-day view

The score — full breakdown →

The record in short

10 events on record

The record in short — full breakdown →

Holders & control

266,193 top-10 hold 78.0%

Holders & control — full breakdown →

Where RAY is listed

4 venues on record

Where RAY is listed — full breakdown →

Volume by venue

$46.28M traded 24h

Volume by venue — full breakdown →

Against the venue median

2 measured events compared

Against the venue median — full breakdown →

Life of RAY

−87.6% from the all-time high

Life of RAY — full breakdown →

Market

$563.99M market cap

Market — full breakdown →

Usage, fees, revenue

$45.83M fees 30d

Usage, fees, revenue — full breakdown →

Treasury

— no treasury recorded

Treasury — full breakdown →

Funding

0 rounds on record

Funding — full breakdown →

Hacks and audits

$5.74M lost to hacks

Hacks and audits — full breakdown →

Development

— commits / 90 d

Development — full breakdown →

People behind Raydium

0 no person on record yet

People behind Raydium — full breakdown →

Against peers

1495 tokens on record compared

Against peers — full breakdown →

Identity & contracts

1 address on record

Identity & contracts — full breakdown →

PatternPlus history

2 daily snapshots

PatternPlus history — full breakdown →

Change log

3 fields changed

Change log — full breakdown →

Questions

10 asked about RAY

Questions — full breakdown →

Related records

20 linked pages

Related records — full breakdown →

Sources

43 feeds behind this page

Sources — full breakdown →

Native coin of None · no contract address

updated today Updated · 59 data points on this page

Changed 2026-10-04 event unlock → 5,7032026-10-04 event launch → 6,7712026-10-04 Issuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority revoked, freeze authority revoked, upgrade key unknown, admin keys revoked, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.full log →

The record in shortON RECORD

The record in short

as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →

events on record
10
higher 30 days after
2 of 2
typical 30-day move
+28.5%
next up
—

Every eventMEASURED10 events

The record: every event and what followed

as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →

RAY: 10 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
DateEventVenue7d beforeNext day7 days30 daysvs BTC90 daysSource
2026
launch RAY launched on raydium-clmm with $1,085,483,891 FDV NEW — −11.1% +11.3% in 5 days in 28 days in 28 days in 88 days collector_csv
Mint 4k3Dyjzvzp8eMZWUXbBCjEvwSkkk59S5iCNLY3QrkX6R. Liquidity at birth $3,830,388; 0 unique buyers in the first hour; mint authority revoked; LP locked 100%; created by 7nJGERf1LZpjn4uTfcDZLJ6YRtvdSExAB9uK851zT6do. RAY saw a launch on Oct 2, 2026; the day-30 effect will be recorded in 28 days (day 1: +11.3%).
hack Raydium AMM exploited for $1.34M — −11.2% +2.1% +7.1% +21.0% +17.0% +113.4% defillama
Infinite Mint On Jun 10, 2026 RAY was hacked; it rose 2.1% by day 1 and was 21.0% higher 30 days later, 17 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −11.2% in the 7 days before.
2024
perpetual listing OKX lists RAY perpetual OKX +21.1% +3.5% +53.9% +36.1% +38.9% +14.7% instruments
RAY-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. On Mar 12, 2024 OKX opened perpetual futures for RAY; it rose 3.5% by day 1 and was 36.1% higher 30 days later, 39 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +21.1% in the 7 days before.
2022
hack Raydium AMM exploited for $4.40M — — — — — — — defillama
Malware RAY was hacked on Dec 16, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
perpetual delisting Binance Futures Will Delist RAYUSDT and SRMUSDT Perpetual Futures Contracts Binance — — — — — — announcement
Binance removed the perpetual for RAY on Nov 14, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
hallmark FTX collapse — — — — — — — defillama
RAY saw a hallmark on Nov 8, 2022; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
2021
spot listing OKX lists RAY OKX — — — — — — instruments
RAY-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, USDT, USDC). OKX listed RAY on Dec 17, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high RAY all-time high: $16.91 — — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. RAY set an all-time high on Sep 12, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
spot listing Binance Will List Mina (MINA) and Raydium (RAY) in the Innovation Zone Binance — — — — — — announcement
Binance listed RAY on Aug 10, 2021; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
1978
unlock RAY unlock: 11.39M tokens (4.22% of circulating) — — — — — — — streamflow
Released by on-chain vesting on Streamflow. RAY unlocked supply on Jan 11, 1978; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.

Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched

Against the venue medianMEASURED

How RAY's events compare with the venue median

as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →

Venue · kindRAY median day 30RAY nVenue median day 30Venue nUp after 30 d (venue)Position
all venues · hack+21.0%1−14.3%7530.7%above the venue median above
OKX · perpetual listing+36.1%1−22.7%13830.4%above the venue median above
VenueKindnMedian next dayMedian 7 daysMedian 30 daysUp after 30 daysMean 30 days
all venuesall-time high429−4.1%−17.7%−40.3%6.1%−38.9%
all venuesperpetual delisting11+2.3%−7.4%−16.1%0.0%−18.2%
all venuesperpetual listing147−2.1%−13.9%−23.0%29.9%−8.7%
all venueshack75−5.4%−7.1%−14.3%30.7%−10.2%
all venueshallmark27−1.7%−3.2%−4.3%40.7%−0.8%
all venuesspot listing178−1.9%−10.2%−21.7%29.2%−9.1%
all venuesunlock89−0.6%−2.5%−3.1%41.6%+10.1%
Binanceperpetual delisting10+1.6%−5.7%−19.2%0.0%−19.8%
Binanceperpetual listing9−0.1%−1.5%−31.6%22.2%−6.7%
Binancespot listing71−1.9%−10.4%−19.0%31.0%−1.1%
OKXperpetual delisting1+2.3%−11.5%−2.7%0.0%−2.7%
OKXperpetual listing138−2.6%−14.1%−22.7%30.4%−8.8%
OKXspot listing107−2.3%−10.1%−22.3%28.0%−14.4%

computed 2026-10-04 from every measured event on record

Source: event_stats, all measured events on record · fetched

Issuer powersON RECORD

What the issuer can do to RAY holders (checked Oct 4, 2026)

as of · jupiter+dexscreenerread it →

solana · 4k3Dyjzvzp8eMZWUXbBCjEvwSkkk59S5iCNLY3QrkX6R · jupiter+dexscreener · checked 2026-10-04 18:56 UTC
PowerStatusWhat this means for a holderChecked / source
Mint more tokens revoked Mint more tokens was revoked (jupiter+dexscreener, checked Oct 4, 2026): no new supply can be created by the issuer. 2026-10-04 · jupiter+dexscreener
Freeze accounts revoked Freeze accounts was revoked (jupiter+dexscreener, checked Oct 4, 2026): no wallet can be frozen by the issuer. 2026-10-04 · jupiter+dexscreener
Upgrade the contract unknown Whether the issuer can upgrade the contract was not checked: no jupiter+dexscreener response for RAY on solana as of Oct 4, 2026. 2026-10-04 · jupiter+dexscreener
Change balances unknown Whether the issuer can change balances was not checked: no jupiter+dexscreener response for RAY on solana as of Oct 4, 2026. 2026-10-04 · jupiter+dexscreener
Hidden owner unknown Whether the issuer can act through a hidden owner was not checked: no jupiter+dexscreener response for RAY on solana as of Oct 4, 2026. 2026-10-04 · jupiter+dexscreener
Blacklist addresses unknown Whether the issuer can blacklist addresses was not checked: no jupiter+dexscreener response for RAY on solana as of Oct 4, 2026. 2026-10-04 · jupiter+dexscreener
Whitelist addresses unknown Whether the issuer can whitelist addresses was not checked: no jupiter+dexscreener response for RAY on solana as of Oct 4, 2026. 2026-10-04 · jupiter+dexscreener
Pause transfers unknown Whether the issuer can pause transfers was not checked: no jupiter+dexscreener response for RAY on solana as of Oct 4, 2026. 2026-10-04 · jupiter+dexscreener
Buy tax unknown Whether the issuer can tax purchases was not checked: no jupiter+dexscreener response for RAY on solana as of Oct 4, 2026. 2026-10-04 · jupiter+dexscreener
Sell tax unknown Whether the issuer can tax sales was not checked: no jupiter+dexscreener response for RAY on solana as of Oct 4, 2026. 2026-10-04 · jupiter+dexscreener
Honeypot unknown Whether the issuer can block sales was not checked: no jupiter+dexscreener response for RAY on solana as of Oct 4, 2026. 2026-10-04 · jupiter+dexscreener
Source code unknown Whether the issuer can hide the source was not checked: no jupiter+dexscreener response for RAY on solana as of Oct 4, 2026. 2026-10-04 · jupiter+dexscreener

Source: jupiter+dexscreener · GoPlus / Jupiter token API / protocol documentation · fetched

Holders and controlON RECORD

Holders and control

as of · jupiter+dexscreenerread it →

MeasureValueBar / trendChecked
Holders266,193holders, 90 d 90 d2026-10-04
Top-10 share of supply78.0%2026-10-04
Developer balance—2026-10-04
Liquidity-pool tokens locked—2026-10-04
Organic score (Jupiter)982026-10-04
Creator addressEs2gApD6MZBhUPN143xwYfrLt4H3Vr53re7Z6hs7kWGp created 2024-06-10

Source: jupiter+dexscreener · holder series from PatternPlus snapshots · fetched

RAY unlock scheduleMEASURED

RAY unlock schedule and what past unlocks did

as of · On-chain vesting · PatternPlus effectsread it →

Full schedule, past and future (1 rows); past rows carry the measured price effect of the aggregated unlock on that date
DateCategoryAmount% of circ.% of totalTypeDescriptionBefore 7dDay 1Day 7Day 30
Streamflow vesting11.39M4.2%2.1%cliffOne-off release from 1 on-chain Streamflow stream ————

Source: on-chain vesting contracts (Sablier, Hedgey, UNCX, Team Finance, Streamflow and Jupiter Lock) · effects by PatternPlus · fetched

Life of RAY since Jan 8, 2024MEASURED

Life of RAY since Jan 8, 2024

as of · Binance daily closes · PatternPlus snapshotsread it →

Source: CoinPaprika prices; effects computed by PatternPlus · fetched

PatternPlus historyON RECORD2 daily rows

Rank, holders, TVL and price recorded by PatternPlus since Oct 3, 2026

as of · PatternPlus metrics_dailyread it →

Last 90 daily rows of 2 on record
DateRankPriceMarket capFDV24 h volumeTVLHolders
October 2026
115$2.09$563.99M$1.16B$46.28M$1.36B266,193
115$2.09$563.99M$1.16B$46.28M$1.35B—

Source: PatternPlus daily snapshots (metrics_daily, tvl_history, prices) · fetched

Change logON RECORD

What changed on this page

as of · page_changesread it →

DateFieldOldNewNote
eventunlock5,703New record entry (unlock, Jan 11, 1978): RAY unlock: 11.39M tokens (4.22% of circulating).
eventlaunch6,771New record entry (launch, Oct 2, 2026): RAY launched on raydium-clmm with $1,085,483,891 FDV.
powers—mint_authority=revoked freeze_authority=revoked upgradeable=unknown admin_keys=revoked honeypot=unknown pausable=unknown blacklist=unknown tax=unknownIssuer powers first recorded on Oct 4, 2026: mint authority revoked, freeze authority revoked, upgrade key unknown, admin keys revoked, honeypot unknown, pause unknown, blacklist unknown, transfer tax unknown.

Where RAY is listedON RECORD4 venues

Where RAY is listed: spot and perpetuals, with dates

as of · exchange instrument APIs · announcementsread it →

Exchange coverage matrix: 4 venues on record; cell text is the listing date
ExchangeSpotPerpetualDelisted24 h volumeShare of RAY volume
Binance cex no spot pair on recordno perpetual on record none — —
OKX cex listed (4 y) pair ↗ listed (2 y) pair ↗ none — —
Coinbase cex no spot pair on recordno perpetual on record none — —
Upbit cex no spot pair on recordno perpetual on record none — —

Source: Binance / Bybit / OKX instrument APIs, exchange announcements, CoinPaprika markets · fetched

Volume by venueON RECORD

Where RAY trades: volume by exchange and pair (24 h as of Oct 4, 2026)

as of · CoinPaprika /coins/ray-raydium/marketsread it →

ExchangePairKind24 h volumeShareFlagRead
No exchange markets reported by CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026

Source: CoinPaprika markets · outlier flag from the source · fetched

MarketON RECORD

Market as of Oct 4, 2026

as of · CoinPaprika tickersread it →

Price
$2.09
1 h
−0.0%
24 h
+12.7%
7 d
+3.0%
30 d
0.0%
1 y
0.0%
Market cap
$563,994,877
Fully diluted value
$1,159,907,127
Market cap / FDV
48.6%
24 h volume
$46,284,945
Volume / market cap
8.2%
Circulating supply
269,863,591 RAY
Total supply
554,999,194 RAY
Max supply
uncapped
Unlocked
—
All-time high
$16.91 on Sep 12, 2021 (−87.6%, 1,848 days ago)
All-time low (our history)
—
Beta vs BTC (365 d)
1.75

Source: CoinPaprika tickers · fetched

Identity, contracts, links and audienceON RECORD

Identity, contracts, links and audience

as of · CoinPaprika · explorersread it →

Every contract or mint address on record
ChainAddressTypeExplorer
solana4k3Dyjzvzp8eMZWUXbBCjEvwSkkk59S5iCNLY3QrkX6R —
Started
—
First market data
Aug 24, 2021
Status
active
Proof type
—
Organisation
—
Whitepaper
—
CoinPaprika id
ray-raydium
DefiLlama slug
raydium
CoinGecko id
—
GitHub repository
—
Listed on DefiLlama
—
Links and audience counts (read Oct 4, 2026)
KindLinkCount

Source: CoinPaprika /coins/ray-raydium · fetched

Usage, fees, revenueON RECORD

Usage, fees and revenue

as of · DefiLlama protocol/raydiumread it →

TVL
$1,359,803,111
Fees, 30 d
$45,827,948
Revenue, 30 d
$7,663,012
Revenue / market cap
0.163
Price / annualised revenue
6.1x
DefiLlama category
Dexs
Forked from
none recorded
Oracles
none recorded
Listed on DefiLlama
—
TVL by chain
ChainTVLShare
Solana$1.36B 100.0%

TVL, 361 d

TVL2.95B23.59M
MetricRAYPercentile among 1495 tokens on recordPPeer median
Revenue / market cap0.163P85 of 1495P85 of 1495median 0.006
TVL$1.36BP92 of 1495P92 of 1495median $5.48M

Source: DefiLlama protocols, fees/revenue overview, tvl history · fetched

TreasuryNO DATA YET

Treasury

as of · DefiLlama treasuriesread it →

Source: DefiLlama treasuries · fetched

FundingNO DATA YET

Funding rounds and investors

as of · DefiLlama raisesread it →

Source: DefiLlama raises · token return from CoinPaprika closes · fetched

Hacks and auditsFLAGGED$5.74M lost

Hacks and audits

as of · DeFiHackLabs hacks · DefiLlama audit linksread it →

Hacks (2) · total losses $5.74M
DateProtocolAmountTechniqueClassChainsReturnedDay 1Day 30Source
Raydium AMM$1.34MInfinite MintToken & Share AccountingSolana—+2.1%+21.0%defillama
Raydium AMM$4.4MMalwareSocial EngineeringSolana———defillama
Audits (0)
DateAuditorReportHacked after?Source
No audit link is published on DefiLlama for Raydium as of Oct 4, 2026

Source: DeFiHackLabs hacks (Apache-2.0) and DefiLlama audit links · fetched

DevelopmentNO DATA YET

Development activity

as of · GitHub APIread it →

Source: GitHub API (repos, commits, contributors)

People behind RaydiumON RECORD

Who is behind Raydium

as of · CoinPaprika team list · PatternPlus joinsread it →

Source: CoinPaprika /coins/ray-raydium team · outcomes joined by PatternPlus · fetched

Against peersMEASURED

RAY against 1495 tokens on record

as of · PatternPlusread it →

MetricRAYPercentile among 1495PPeer median
Market cap$563.99MP92 of 1495P92 of 1495median $13.89M
Volume / market cap8.2%P74 of 1495P74 of 1495median 2.5%
30-day change0.0%P50 of 1495P50 of 1495median 0.0%
Distance from ATH−87.6%P67 of 1495P67 of 1495median −94.9%
Revenue / market cap0.163P85 of 1495P85 of 1495median 0.006
Holders266,193P91 of 1495P91 of 1495median 27,132
Share unlocked—no comparison— of 1495median —
Commits, 90 d—no comparison— of 1495median 54
Exchanges—no comparison— of 1495median 68
Nearest peers by rank
RankTokenChainMarket cap30 dFrom ATHRank, 90 dEvents
114Pudgy Penguins (PENGU)None$577.39M0.0%−82.8%rank, 90 d—
116Usual USD (USD0)None$558.51M0.0%−2.6%rank, 90 d—
113Beldex (BDX)None$576.94M0.0%−99.1%rank, 90 d—
117Nexo (NEXO)None$546.74M0.0%−79.2%rank, 90 d—
112Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET)None$588.19M0.0%−93.5%rank, 90 d—
118Solv Protocol solvBTC (SOLVBTC)None$542.08M0.0%−32.6%rank, 90 d—
111Curve DAO Token (CRV)None$593.7M0.0%−94.4%rank, 90 d—
119Staked Aave (STKAAVE)None$519.44M0.0%−54.8%rank, 90 d—
110GHO (GHO)None$598.81M0.0%−21.5%rank, 90 d—
120Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL)None$511.69M0.0%−84.5%rank, 90 d—

Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched

The full write-up

every sentence on RAY · questions · sources

RAY in short

Raydium (RAY), a crypto token on its own chain with no start date recorded, stands at rank #115 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 87.6% below its Sep 12, 2021 high.

  • As of Oct 4, 2026 the price is $2.09 (+12.7% over 24 hours), market cap $564M, fully diluted value $1.16B, 266,193 holders, $1.36B TVL.
  • Status on CoinPaprika: active; RAY is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.

CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

The record in short

As of Oct 4, 2026 the record for Raydium runs to 10 events, of which 2 are spot listings, 1 perpetual listings, 1 unlocks, 2 hacks and 0 funding rounds; 2 carry a day-30 measurement with a median of +28.5%.

From the latest data refresh

  • Raydium (RAY), crypto on its own chain, holds rank #115 by market cap on Oct 4, 2026 and trades 87.6% under its Sep 12, 2021 high.
  • The record's largest loss is a $4.4M hack on Dec 16, 2022 (social engineering).
  • 2 daily snapshots run from Oct 3, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026; over that span the rank went from #115 to #115.
  • 4 spot pairs and 1 perpetual instruments are live for RAY as of Oct 4, 2026, starting with OKX on Dec 17, 2021.
  • 1 of its listings have a measured day-30 outcome (median +36.1%); 1 finished above the venue's own listing median and 0 below.
  • an unstated share of total supply is unlocked as of Oct 4, 2026 and no further unlock is scheduled in the on-chain vesting contracts we read.
  • The issuer holds none of the 3 checked powers as of Oct 4, 2026; 10 were not checked.
  • No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Raydium as of Oct 4, 2026.
  • Raydium lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; 2 hacks totalling $5.7M are recorded.
  • No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Raydium as of Oct 4, 2026.
  • DefiLlama reports $1.36B TVL and $7.7M revenue over 30 days as of Oct 4, 2026;
  • revenue to market cap of 0.163 sits at the 85th percentile of 1495 all tokens on record tokens.

Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

Every event

The record for RAY holds 10 events up to Oct 4, 2026: 2 carry a day-30 measurement, 1 are pending and 7 predate the price series.

  • Best day-30 outcome: OKX lists RAY perpetual on Mar 12, 2024 (+36.1%); worst: Raydium AMM exploited for $1.34M on Jun 10, 2026 (+21.0%).
  • Median day-30 move by kind: hack +21.0% (n=1); perpetual listing +36.1% (n=1).
  • 2 of the 2 measured events were followed by a higher price after 30 days (100.0%).
  • Events by year: 2026: 2, 2024: 1, 2022: 3, 2021: 3, 1978: 1.

events joined to effects (close before the event to close N days after, UTC); as of Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

Against the venue median

Across 75 hacks across every token on record, the median move is −5.4% on day 1 and −14.3% by day 30; 30.7% were still up after 30 days; RAY's one sits above that median at +21.0%.

  • Across 138 perpetual listings on OKX, the median move is −2.6% on day 1 and −22.7% by day 30;
  • 30.4% were still up after 30 days;
  • RAY's one sits above that median at +36.1%.
  • RAY sits above the venue median in 2 of 2 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 4, 2026.

event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

Issuer powers

As of Oct 4, 2026, 0 of the 3 powers that could be checked are held by the issuer; 10 could not be checked and 0 do not apply.

  • 3 of the checked powers are revoked or absent on Solana (mint more tokens, freeze accounts and admin keys);
  • the panel row for each states what that means for a holder.
  • Whether the issuer can upgrade the contract, change balances, act through a hidden owner, blacklist addresses, restrict transfers to a whitelist, pause transfers, take a tax on purchases, take a tax on sales, block resale and hide the contract source was not checked: no jupiter+dexscreener response for those fields on Solana as of Oct 4, 2026.

security rows per chain and tokens.powers; vocabulary fixed: held, revoked, unknown; checked Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

Holders and control

RAY has 266,193 holders as of Oct 4, 2026 (0.0% since Oct 3, 2026); the top 10 addresses hold 78.0% of supply.

  • As of Oct 4, 2026 (jupiter+dexscreener), the Jupiter organic score is 97.6 of 100.
  • The token was created by Es2gApD6MZBhUPN143xwYfrLt4H3Vr53re7Z6hs7kWGp on Jun 10, 2024.
  • No top-holder breakdown was returned for RAY as of Oct 4, 2026.

security row (jupiter+dexscreener) and metrics_daily; as of Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

RAY unlock schedule

an unstated share of RAY's total supply is unlocked as of Oct 4, 2026; no further unlock is scheduled in the on-chain vesting contracts we read.

  • No past unlock has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 4, 2026.
  • The unlock schedule from the on-chain vesting contracts we read holds 1 row from Jan 11, 1978 to Jan 11, 1978: 1 cliff; 1 rows are in the past.
  • No allocation breakdown is on record for RAY as of Oct 4, 2026.

On-chain vesting contracts (Sablier, Hedgey, UNCX, Team Finance, Streamflow and Jupiter Lock), effects from our price series; as of Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

Life of RAY

10 events since Jan 11, 1978; 0 of the 2 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best OKX lists RAY perpetual on Mar 12, 2024 (+36.1%), worst Raydium AMM exploited for $1.34M on Jun 10, 2026 (+21.0%).

  • 1001 daily closes from Jan 8, 2024 to Oct 4, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 2 snapshots as a step line.
  • The all-time high marker sits at $16.91 on Sep 12, 2021, 1,848 days before Oct 4, 2026.

prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

PatternPlus history

Since Oct 3, 2026 (2 snapshots) rank moved from #115 to #115, market cap from $564M to $564M, TVL from $1.35B to $1.36B.

  • Best rank in our record: #115; worst: #115; the series grows by one row per rebuild.
  • Over the last 90 days the rank went from #115 on Oct 3, 2026 to #115 on Oct 4, 2026.
  • Average 24-hour volume over the last 2 snapshots was $46.3M, with a high of $46.3M.
  • The recorded price ranged from $2.09 to $2.09 between Oct 3, 2026 and Oct 4, 2026.
  • TVL history holds 361 daily points: $149M on Mar 17, 2021 to $2.71B on Oct 4, 2026 (+1721.4%).

metrics_daily and tvl_history, our own series; as of Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

Change log

The change log holds 3 entries between Oct 4, 2026 and Oct 4, 2026; the newest reads: New record entry (unlock, Jan 11, 1978): RAY unlock: 11.39M tokens (4.22% of circulating).

  • Changed since Oct 4, 2026: event unlock → 5,703 (Oct 4) · event launch → 6,771 (Oct 4) · powers set to mint_authority=revoked freeze_authority=revoked upgradeable=unknown admin_keys=revoked honeypot=unknown pausable=unknown blacklist=unknown tax=unknown (Oct 4).
  • The fields that changed most often were event (2) and powers (1).

Changes logged for this record: 3 in the last 30 days as of Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

Where RAY is listed

RAY is on 4 spot and 1 perpetual venues on record; the earliest was OKX (spot) on Dec 17, 2021 and the latest OKX (perp) on Mar 12, 2024; the first perpetual opened on OKX on Mar 12, 2024, 816 days after the first spot pair.

  • 0 delistings are on record for RAY as of Oct 4, 2026.
  • 1083 of the 1087 tracked exchanges have no RAY listing on record as of Oct 4, 2026 (Bitget, Azbit, Pionex, WEEX, Lbank and Gate, among others).

exchange_listings from instrument APIs and announcements; as of Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

Volume by venue

No exchange markets are reported by CoinPaprika for RAY as of Oct 4, 2026.

  • Volume by pair appears here once the tickers endpoint returns markets; the coverage block above still lists dated listings.

CoinPaprika /coins/{id}/markets; as of Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

Market

Raydium trades 87.6% below its all-time high of $16.91, set on Sep 12, 2021, 1,848 days before Oct 4, 2026; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 1.75).

  • Price change as of Oct 4, 2026: 0.0% over 1 hour, +12.7% over 24 hours, +3.0% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
  • Market cap is 48.6% of fully diluted value ($564M of $1.16B), so 51.4% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
  • 24-hour volume of $46.3M is 8.2% of market cap as of Oct 4, 2026.
  • Circulating supply is 269.9M of 555M total (48.6%); no maximum supply is stated.
  • The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1495 tokens, so RAY sits below its peer set.

CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 4, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.

see the numbers →

Identity, contracts, links

1 address identify Raydium on solana; as the native coin of its own chain it has no token contract.

  • No other token on record uses the symbol RAY as of Oct 4, 2026.
  • No former name, former symbol or alias is recorded for Raydium as of Oct 4, 2026.
  • Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Aug 24, 2021, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
  • Cross-references as of Oct 4, 2026: CoinPaprika id ray-raydium, DefiLlama slug raydium, no GitHub repository recorded.
  • No follower or star counts were read for Raydium as of Oct 4, 2026.

CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

Usage, fees, revenue

Raydium reported $45.8M in fees and $7.7M in revenue over 30 days to DefiLlama on $1.36B TVL as of Oct 4, 2026; its revenue-to-market-cap ratio of 0.163 is at the 85th percentile of 1495 all tokens on record tokens.

  • Annualised revenue of $92M gives a price-to-sales multiple of 6.1x at the $564M market cap of Oct 4, 2026.
  • TVL moved +1721.4% between Mar 17, 2021 and Oct 4, 2026 (361 daily points).
  • Solana carries 100.0% of TVL across 1 chain.
  • DefiLlama records no parent protocol for Raydium (not a fork).
  • No oracle is listed for Raydium on DefiLlama.
  • DefiLlama lists Raydium under 'Dexs' (slug raydium).

DefiLlama protocol, fees and TVL endpoints; as of Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

Treasury

No treasury is reported to DefiLlama for Raydium as of Oct 4, 2026.

  • Treasury snapshots are quarterly; the block fills in when DefiLlama's treasuries endpoint lists Raydium.

DefiLlama treasuries; as of Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

Funding

No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Raydium as of Oct 4, 2026.

  • tokens.raised_usd is not set; the raises endpoint is retried at every rebuild.

DefiLlama raises; returns from our price series; as of Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

Hacks and audits

Raydium lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; 2 hacks totalling $5.7M are recorded.

  • On Dec 16, 2022 Raydium AMM lost $4.4M (social engineering: Malware).
  • On Jun 10, 2026 Raydium AMM lost $1.3M (token & share accounting: Infinite Mint); the price rose 2.1% by day 1 and was 21.0% higher 30 days later.
  • No audit link is published on DefiLlama for Raydium as of Oct 4, 2026.

DeFiHackLabs hacks, DefiLlama audit links; days between are facts about dates, not causes; as of Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

Development

No public repository is recorded for Raydium as of Oct 4, 2026.

  • Commit counts, stars and contributors appear here once the GitHub API returns the repository.

GitHub API; as of Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

People behind Raydium

No team members are recorded on CoinPaprika for Raydium as of Oct 4, 2026.

  • The organisation is described as not stated; a person row appears here when CoinPaprika's people endpoint links one.

CoinPaprika team list joined to our token records; as of Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

Against peers

Set against 1495 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 4, 2026, Raydium ranks at the 92nd percentile for market cap, the 67th for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.

  • The peer median market cap is $13.9M, the median distance from ATH −94.9% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
  • By holders RAY sits at P90 (266,193 against a median of 27,132); by exchanges at PNone.
  • The nearest peers by rank are Pudgy Penguins (#114), Usual USD (#116), Beldex (#113), Nexo (#117) and Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (#112).
  • Market cap: $564M (P92 of 1495; peer median $13.9M).
  • Volume / market cap (24h): 8.21% (P74 of 1495; peer median 2.47%).
  • 30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1495; peer median 0.0%).
  • Distance from ATH: −87.6% (P67 of 1495; peer median −94.9%).
  • Revenue / market cap (30d): 0.163 (P85 of 279; peer median 0.006).
  • Holders: 266,193 (P90 of 178; peer median 27,132).
  • TVL: $1.36B (P92 of 419; peer median $5.5M).

peer set: all tokens on record (1495 tokens); as of Oct 4, 2026.

see the numbers →

Questions

Questions people ask about RAY

as of · answers generated from this record

Will RAY go up tomorrow?
  • As of Oct 4, 2026: 52% chance RAY is lower tomorrow — a coin flip, typical move −0.7%, likely range −9.7% to +12.0%, from 670 similar past setups.
  • Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the Raydium price prediction for this week?
  • As of Oct 4, 2026: 53% chance RAY is lower over the next 7 days — a coin flip, typical move −3.0%, likely range −32.6% to +46.1%, from 630 similar past setups.
  • Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
What is the RAY price prediction for the next 30 days?
  • As of Oct 4, 2026: 65% chance RAY is lower over the next 30 days, typical move −16.0%, likely range −56.7% to +75.3%, from 557 similar past setups.
  • Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
How accurate are these RAY predictions?
  • Across 45 backtested 30-day calls on RAY, the call was right 51.1% of the time and the price ended inside the likely range 68.8% of the time.
  • Of the last 6 30-day calls, 0 of 6 were right.
  • Each backtest call used only the data available on its own date.
Who is behind Raydium?
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Raydium as of Oct 4, 2026; the organisation is described as not stated.
When is the next RAY unlock?
No future unlock is on record for RAY as of Oct 4, 2026.
Is RAY listed on Binance?
Yes; Binance listed RAY.
Can the issuer mint more RAY?
No; mint authority was revoked as of Oct 4, 2026 (jupiter+dexscreener), so no new supply can be created by the issuer.
How far is RAY from its all-time high?
87.6% below the $16.91 high of Sep 12, 2021, 1,848 days ago, at $2.09 on Oct 4, 2026.
Has Raydium been hacked?
Yes; 2 hacks are recorded, the latest on Jun 10, 2026 for $1.3M (token & share accounting).

Sources

Sources and freshness

as of · sources table

43 sources feed this page; 37 fetched successfully, the most recent at Oct 4, 2026 19:35 UTC; 6 reported an error on the latest fetch.

SourceWhat it gave this pageLast successful fetchLast errorLink
binance_announcementslisting announcements 2026-10-04 19:24 UTCnonewww.binance.com/bapi/composite/v1/public/cms/article/list/query
binance_instrumentsperpetual listing dates —2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/fapi/v1/exchangeInfofapi.binance.com/fapi/v1/exchangeInfo
binance_klines486 closes; 942 symbols without Binance klines 2026-10-04 19:26 UTCnoneapi.binance.com/api/v3/klines
binance_spot_instruments776 symbols 2026-10-04 19:24 UTCnone—
buildthe nightly rebuild 2026-10-04 19:35 UTCnone—
bybit_announcementslisting announcements —2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit.com/v5/announcements/index?locale=en-US&type=delistings&limit=50&page=1api.bybit.com/v5/announcements/index
bybit_instrumentsperpetual listing dates —2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit.com/v5/market/instruments-info?category=linear&limit=1000api.bybit.com/v5/market/instruments-info
calcthe trade planner: real past-case price paths behind each prediction 2026-10-04 19:30 UTCnone—
coinbase_instruments406 symbols 2026-10-04 19:24 UTCnone—
coinpaprikaidentity, market, links, events, markets, people 2026-10-04 18:37 UTCnoneapi.coinpaprika.com/v1
collector_csvnot used on token pages 2026-10-04 19:24 UTCnone—
curated0 schedules applied (0 checked by hand, 0 matched to the supply history; 0 rows, 0 unlock events), 24 drafts waiting 2026-10-04 19:24 UTCnone—
defihacklabs541 incidents from 6 files (Apache-2.0) 2026-10-04 18:50 UTCnonegithub.com/SunWeb3Sec/DeFiHackLabs
defillamaTVL, fees, revenue, raises, hacks, audits, treasury, unlocks 2026-10-04 18:50 UTCnoneapi.llama.fi
dexscreenerpairs, liquidity, first pool date, paid boosts, socials 2026-10-04 19:21 UTCnoneapi.dexscreener.com
effects3249 effects, 19 stats rows 2026-10-04 19:28 UTCnone—
etherscanskipped: no ETHERSCAN_KEY in data/config_local.py or the environment —noneapi.etherscan.io/v2
ethplorerEthereum mainnet holder count, owner, transfers 2026-10-04 19:21 UTC2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x0828096494ad6252f0f853abfc5b6ec9dfe9fdadapi.ethplorer.io
gate_candles114 coins Binance does not list 2026-10-04 19:28 UTCnoneapi.gateio.ws/api/v4/spot/candlesticks
githubrepository activity 2026-10-04 18:50 UTCnoneapi.github.com
goplusEVM and Solana powers, holders 2026-10-04 19:21 UTCnoneapi.gopluslabs.io
hedgey0 of 5 coins hold Hedgey vesting; 43 contracts still being read for the first time —2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEYhedgey.finance
intraday— 2026-10-04 19:33 UTCnone—
jupiterSolana mint/freeze, organic score 2026-10-04 19:23 UTCnoneapi.mainnet-beta.solana.com
kucoin_candles8 coins Binance does not list 2026-10-04 19:28 UTCnoneapi.kucoin.com/api/v1/market/candles
macro73 Fed decisions (to 2027-12-08), 71 CPI releases (to 2026-12-10); 144 new, 0 removed; Bitcoin's next-day move measured for 54 2026-10-04 19:24 UTCnone—
mexc_klines396 coins Binance does not list 2026-10-04 19:28 UTCnoneapi.mexc.com/api/v3/klines
modelspattern lines: each named pattern's own 30-day path, its chance of a higher price and how often its calls were right 2026-10-04 19:28 UTCnone—
oddsodds from similar past cases 2026-10-04 19:28 UTCnone—
okx_announcementslisting announcements 2026-10-04 19:24 UTCnonewww.okx.com/api/v5/support/announcements
okx_instrumentsperpetual listing dates 2026-10-04 19:24 UTCnone—
okx_spot_instruments404 symbols 2026-10-04 19:24 UTCnone—
predictpredictions: chance of a higher price, typical move, likely range and our track record 2026-10-04 19:28 UTCnone—
sablier69 of 451 coins hold Sablier vesting 2026-10-04 19:23 UTCnoneindexer.hyperindex.xyz/53b7e25/v1/graphql
scorethe 0–100 score and its backtest 2026-10-04 19:33 UTCnone—
setupssetups re-measured on our own prices 2026-10-04 19:28 UTCnone—
snapshotdaily snapshots and the change log 2026-10-04 19:33 UTCnone—
streamflow20 of 39 coins hold Streamflow vesting 2026-10-04 19:23 UTCnoneapi.streamflow.finance/v2/api/token-dashboards/SOLANA/
supply_history5 of 378 coins due fetched (24 with schedule files, 354 of the top 400); no CoinGecko id for 1: DYDX; stopped: HTTP 429 2026-10-04 19:24 UTCnoneapi.coingecko.com/api/v3
supply_pattern3 of 5 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 14 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6) 2026-10-04 19:24 UTCnone—
teamfinance0 of 5 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time —2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEYwww.team.finance
uncx1 of 5 coins hold UNCX vesting 2026-10-04 19:23 UTCnoneuncx.network
upbit_instruments359 symbols 2026-10-04 19:24 UTCnone—

Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].

  • binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
  • the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
  • bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
  • the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
  • bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
  • the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
  • ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 4, 2026 19:21 UTC;
  • the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x08280), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
  • hedgey last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
  • the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY;
  • Optimism logs: HTTP 4), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
  • This page is generated from 6,558 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.

PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.