This page is about Falcon USD on None. Other tokens called USDF: Astherus USDF (None).
Falcon USD (USDF)price prediction
$0.9958−0.1%24hmcap $1.66B · its own chain · rank #59
1
The prediction
as of Oct 4, 2026
USDF price prediction for tomorrow
60%chance USDF is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $1.66B · mid-cap
No pattern has a proven 1-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 40% chance higher tomorrow · this pattern's 1d calls hit 46.4% of 10,929 — no better than a coin flip so far · drawn from the 316 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next day
−2%−1%0%+1%+2%−2%−1%0%+1%+2%−0.1% in 30 days↑ 3% below its all-time high
−30dnow+1d
▲ 2 rose · ▼ 1 fell · ◆ 27 sideways(±1.0% over 1 day)
Bold: USDF's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 316 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next day — real hourly closes, scaled to USDF's volatility. 28 with no hourly path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.989−1%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.9950%half did better, half worse
Good case$1.000%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.0%
Likely range
−1% to 0%$0.989 – $1.00
338 similar setups · our 1-day calls hit 49.8% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
USDF price prediction for this week
56%chance USDF is lower
▼ LEAN DOWN
Market cap $1.66B · mid-cap
No pattern has a proven 7-day record on this coin yet — the call above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 44% chance higher in 7 days · this pattern's 7d calls hit 59.3% of 36,473 — no better than always guessing the usual direction (60%) so far · drawn from the 316 setups matched for the 30-day prediction
next 7 days
−2%−1%0%+1%+2%−4%−2%0%+2%−0.1% in 30 days↑ 3% below its all-time high
−30dnow+7d
▲ 1 rose · ▼ 1 fell · ◆ 28 sideways(±2.6% over 7 days)
Bold: USDF's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 316 setups matched for the 30-day prediction, and what each did over the next 7 days — real 4-hour closes, scaled to USDF's volatility. 28 with no 4-hour path on file yet are drawn through their daily lows, highs and closes.
Bad case$0.977−2%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.9950%half did better, half worse
Good case$1.01+2%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.0%
Likely range
−2% to +2%$0.977 – $1.01
334 similar setups · our 7-day calls hit 59.4% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
USDF price prediction for the next 30 days
61%chance USDF is lower
▼ STRONG DOWN
Market cap $1.66B · mid-cap
No pattern has a proven record on this coin yet — the prediction above is from similar past setups.
Lookalike Setups (main) · 39% chance higher in 30 days · drawn from its 316 matched past setups
next 30 days
−2%−1%0%+1%+2%−15%−10%−5%0%+5%−0.1% in 30 days↑ 3% below its all-time high
−30dnow+30d
▲ 1 rose · ▼ 2 fell · ◆ 27 sideways(±5.5% over 30 days)
Bold: USDF's own last 30 days. Right of now: 30 of the 316 past setups like this, and what each did over the next 30 days — real daily closes, scaled to USDF's volatility.
Bad case$0.954−4%1 in 10 did worse
Likely$0.991−0.5%half did better, half worse
Good case$1.03+4%1 in 10 did better
Typical move
−0.5%
Likely range
−4% to +4%$0.954 – $1.03
316 similar setups · our 30-day calls hit 63.7% in backtests · no edge over the base rate yet · track record →
Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice.
Pick a side, when you close and your leverage: we replay that exact trade on the past cases behind this USDF prediction and count how it ended.
Best historical window for USDF in setups like this: short, hold 21 days, 15× — profitable 59.0% of the time, typical +4.5%, liquidated 8.2% of the time (n=316).
Chance this ends in profit—
Typical result—half did better, half worse
Chance you get liquidated first—
Every past case, replayedhover or tap a line to see the case
price went your way —against you —sideways —(within ±4.6% over 21 days)✕liquidated —take profit hit —stop loss hit —typical8 in 10 cases
Replays 450 past cases weighted exactly like the 30-day prediction: the 316 similar cases behind it plus a sample of all history.
Where the odds were best· swipe for longer holds →
cell = chance of profit color = average result, −50% or worse to +50% or better striped = liquidated in more than 1 in 10★ best: highest typical result with at most 1 in 10 liquidated, most cases in profit and an average above zerono take profit or stop loss · tap a cell to load it
The planner and its replay chart run in your browser: turn on JavaScript to replay your own USDF trade on these past cases.
Odds from similar past cases, not financial advice. Leverage multiplies losses too: a liquidated position loses its whole margin.
USDF$0.995860% ▼ 1Dbest play▼ Short 1D 20× → +2.0%open calculator
USDF$0.995856% ▼ 7Dbest play▼ Short 7D 20× → +2.0%open calculator
USDF$0.995861% ▼ 30Dbest play▼ Short 30D 10× → +4.0%open calculator
2
Why we think this
the reasoning, in short
Drivers
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in USDF's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (338 cases) into 40% higher.
3% below its high
3% below its all-time high. Coins this close to their high were higher a day later 45% of the time (8,130 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 45% · normal 46% higher a day later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (−0%). After a month like that, coins were higher a day later 45% of the time (61,195 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 45% · normal 46% higher a day later
Normal volume
Trading volume is in its normal range. On normal-volume days, coins were higher a day later 46% of the time (168,672 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Mid-cap
Mid-cap coin ($1.7B market cap). Coins this size were higher a day later 46% of the time (20,701 cases), vs 46% across all cases.
here 46% · normal 46% higher a day later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 7 days later 42% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in USDF's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (334 cases) into 44% higher.
3% below its high
3% below its all-time high. Coins this close to their high were higher a week later 44% of the time (8,077 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 44% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,458 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (−0%). After a month like that, coins were higher a week later 43% of the time (60,656 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 43% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (−0%). After a week like that, coins were higher a week later 42% of the time (88,734 cases), vs 42% across all cases.
here 42% · normal 42% higher 7 days later
Starting point: across all past cases, coins were higher 30 days later 37% of the time. Each factor below shows how often that happened in USDF's situation; the call blends them with the closest match (316 cases) into 39% higher.
3% below its high
3% below its all-time high. Coins this close to their high were higher 30 days later 40% of the time (7,896 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 40% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Within 10% of a month ago
Within 10% of its price 30 days ago (−0%). After a month like that, coins were higher 30 days later 40% of the time (58,494 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 40% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Bitcoin above its 50-day average
Bitcoin is above its 50-day average. In that situation, coins were higher 30 days later 39% of the time (82,194 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 39% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Within 7% of a week ago
Within 7% of its price a week ago (−0%). After a week like that, coins were higher 30 days later 38% of the time (85,642 cases), vs 37% across all cases.
here 38% · normal 37% higher 30 days later
Our record on USDF
Our last 6 calls on USDF over 30 days: right on 2 of 5, 1 more was a coin flip · 6 of 6 ended inside our range · all-time on USDF: 65.7% hit rate, 100.0% inside the range (35 backtested calls)
Jul 26 said 62% down · ended 0.0%✗ wrongAug 2 said 62% down · ended +0.0%✗ wrongAug 9 said 62% down · ended 0.0%✗ wrongAug 16 said 54% down · ended +0.0%coin flipAug 23 said 62% down · ended −0.0%✓ rightAug 30 said 62% down · ended −0.0%✓ right
white: USDF's real price after each call · bar: the range we gave (8 in 10 cases, the middle half thicker, a notch at the typical move) · end dot: green right · red wrong · orange the price went sideways (within ±5.5% over 30 days) or a coin flip · backtest: each call used only data available that day · live since Oct 4, 2026: 1 live 30-day prediction on record, first result due Nov 3, 2026 · the full scorecard →
last 6 months · daily close · candle = 2 sessions◆ recorded event · dotted blue line = last price · orange = the price went sideways (within ±1.4% over 2 days)
updated today Updated · 28 data points on this page
Changedno field on this page changed since the previous build
The record in shortON RECORD
The record in short
as of · generated from this record's own rowsread it →
events on record
1
higher 30 days after
0 of 1
typical 30-day move
−0.3%
next up
—
Every eventMEASURED1 events
The record: every event and what followed
as of · CoinPaprika · DefiLlama · exchange announcements · PatternPlus effectsread it →
USDF: 1 events, newest first; six signed numbers per row are the price change from the close before the event, in UTC; vs BTC is the difference of the two 30-day moves
Date
Event
Venue
7d before
Next day
7 days
30 days
vs BTC
90 days
Source
2026
all-time high USDF all-time high: $1.03
—
+0.1%
0.0%
−0.1%
−0.3%
+16.1%
+0.1%
derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jan 4, 2026 USDF set an all-time high; it was unchanged by day 1 and was 0.3% lower 30 days later, 16 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +0.1% in the 7 days before.
Source: events from CoinPaprika, DefiLlama and exchange announcements; effects computed by PatternPlus (see methodology) · fetched
Against the venue medianMEASURED
How USDF's events compare with the venue median
as of · event_stats computed by PatternPlusread it →
Venue · kind
USDF median day 30
USDF n
Venue median day 30
Venue n
Up after 30 d (venue)
Position
all venues · all-time high
−0.3%
1
−40.3%
429
6.1%
above
Venue · kind
USDF median day 7
USDF n
Venue median day 7
Venue n
Up after 7 d (venue)
Position
all venues · all-time high
−0.1%
1
−17.7%
—
—
above
Day 7: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 7.
Venue · kind
USDF median day 1
USDF n
Venue median day 1
Venue n
Up after 1 d (venue)
Position
all venues · all-time high
0.0%
1
−4.1%
—
—
above
Day 1: the venue's event count and up-share are kept for day 30 only (—); its median uses every event measured to day 1.
Venue
Kind
n
Median next day
Median 7 days
Median 30 days
Up after 30 days
Mean 30 days
all venues
all-time high
429
−4.1%
−17.7%
−40.3%
6.1%
−38.9%
computed 2026-10-04 from every measured event on record
Source: event_stats, all measured events on record · fetched
Issuer powersON RECORD
What the issuer can do to USDF holders (checked Oct 4, 2026)
Source: PatternPlus, computed from every token in the peer set · fetched
4
The full write-up
every sentence on USDF · questions · sources
USDF in short
Falcon USD (USDF) is a crypto token on its own chain, with no start date recorded; rank #59 by market cap as of Oct 4, 2026, 3.3% below its Jan 4, 2026 high.
As of Oct 4, 2026 the price is $0.9958 (−0.1% over 24 hours), market cap $1.66B, fully diluted value $1.69B, holder count not reported, no TVL reported to DefiLlama.
This page is about Falcon USD on its own chain; 1 other token on record use the symbol USDF: Astherus USDF (chain not recorded).
Status on CoinPaprika: active; USDF is the native coin of its own chain, so there is no token contract.
CoinPaprika tickers and DefiLlama, read Oct 4, 2026.
This site holds 1 event for Falcon USD: 0 exchange listings, 0 futures listings, 0 unlocks, 0 hacks and 0 funding rounds; the median 30-day move after the 1 measured events was −0.3%.
From the latest data refresh
Falcon USD (USDF), crypto on its own chain, holds rank #59 by market cap on Oct 4, 2026 and trades 3.3% under its Jan 4, 2026 high.
Across 1 measured events the median day-30 move was −0.3%.
Since PatternPlus began recording on Oct 3, 2026 (2 daily snapshots), rank moved from #59 to #59.
No exchange listing with a date is on record for USDF as of Oct 4, 2026.
No listing of USDF has a measurable day-30 outcome yet as of Oct 4, 2026.
No unlock schedule is on record for USDF as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is on record for USDF as of Oct 4, 2026.
No funding round is recorded by DefiLlama for Falcon USD as of Oct 4, 2026.
Falcon USD lists 0 audit links on DefiLlama; no hack is recorded as of Oct 4, 2026.
No team member is recorded on CoinPaprika for Falcon USD as of Oct 4, 2026.
No TVL, fees or revenue are reported to DefiLlama for Falcon USD as of Oct 4, 2026.
Generated from this record's own rows at build time; as of Oct 4, 2026.
Across 429 all-time highs across every token on record, the median move is −4.1% on day 1 and −40.3% by day 30; 6.1% were still up after 30 days; USDF's one sits above that median at −0.3%.
USDF sits above the venue median in 1 of 1 venue-and-kind comparisons as of Oct 4, 2026.
event_stats recomputed nightly; as of Oct 4, 2026.
No on-chain power check is available for USDF on its own chain as of Oct 4, 2026; every row of the panel is shown as unknown until GoPlus or the Jupiter token API answers.
Until then this site cannot say whether the issuer can mint, freeze or upgrade USDF; the check is retried at every rebuild.
1 event since Jan 4, 2026; 1 of the 1 measured were followed by a lower price 30 days later; best USDF all-time high: $1.03 on Jan 4, 2026 (−0.3%), worst USDF all-time high: $1.03 on Jan 4, 2026 (−0.3%).
452 daily closes from Jul 10, 2025 to Oct 4, 2026 are plotted on a log scale, with the rank from 2 snapshots as a step line.
The all-time high marker sits at $1.03 on Jan 4, 2026, 273 days before Oct 4, 2026.
prices, metrics_daily, events and effects; as of Oct 4, 2026.
The all-time high on record for Falcon USD is $1.03 on Jan 4, 2026, 273 days ago as of Oct 4, 2026; the price is 3.3% below it; over 30 days it moved 0.0% against 0.0% for BTC (beta 0.00).
Price change as of Oct 4, 2026: −0.2% over 1 hour, −0.1% over 24 hours, 0.0% over 7 days, 0.0% over 30 days, 0.0% over 1 year.
Market cap is 98.2% of fully diluted value ($1.66B of $1.69B), so 1.8% of the valuation sits in supply that does not circulate yet.
24-hour volume of $284,742 is 0.0% of market cap as of Oct 4, 2026.
Circulating supply is 1.67B of 1.7B total (98.2%); no maximum supply is stated.
The all tokens on record median 30-day change is 0.0% across 1495 tokens, so USDF sits below its peer set.
CoinPaprika tickers read Oct 4, 2026; BTC comparison from the BTC record.
No contract or mint address is recorded for Falcon USD as of Oct 4, 2026.
1 other record use the symbol USDF: Astherus USDF (chain not recorded); this page is the its own chain token.
Falcon USD shares its ticker with USDF (Astherus USDF) and USDF (USDF - Global Fund Dollar) (ticker collision on CoinPaprika, read Oct 4, 2026).
Identity fields from CoinPaprika as of Oct 4, 2026: start date not recorded, first market data Feb 24, 2025, proof type not stated, organisation structure not stated, no whitepaper link.
Cross-references as of Oct 4, 2026: CoinPaprika id usdf-falcon-finance, no DefiLlama slug, no GitHub repository recorded.
No follower or star counts were read for Falcon USD as of Oct 4, 2026.
CoinPaprika /coins and DefiLlama /protocols (contract addresses), token_contracts, token_aliases; read Oct 4, 2026.
Set against 1495 all tokens on record tokens on Oct 4, 2026, Falcon USD ranks at the 96th percentile for market cap, the 97th for distance from its high and the unranked for share of supply unlocked.
The peer median market cap is $13.9M, the median distance from ATH −94.9% and the median 30-day change 0.0%.
The nearest peers by rank are Official World Liberty Financial (#58), Binance-Peg Ethereum Token (#60), PAX Gold (#57), Jito Staked SOL (#61) and Pepe (#56).
Market cap: $1.66B (P96 of 1495; peer median $13.9M).
Volume / market cap (24h): 0.02% (P3 of 1495; peer median 2.47%).
30-day change: 0.0% (P50 of 1495; peer median 0.0%).
Distance from ATH: −3.3% (P97 of 1495; peer median −94.9%).
peer set: all tokens on record (1495 tokens); as of Oct 4, 2026.
3 of 5 coins with 120+ days of supply history release on a monthly or quarterly pattern; 14 releases projected: APT (monthly, day 14), ARB (quarterly, day 18), ENA (monthly, day 6)
2026-10-04 19:24 UTC
none
—
teamfinance
0 of 5 coins hold Team Finance vesting; 4 contracts still being read for the first time
—
2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Optimism logs: HTTP 429; Polygon logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY; Base logs: HTTP 429; Arbitrum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY
Effects are measured as described on the methodology page. Facts are compiled from public sources; nothing on this page is advice. Corrections: [email protected].
binance_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:42+00:00 451 Client Error: for url: https://fapi.binance.com/f), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_announcements last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:46+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
bybit_instruments last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:24:43+00:00 403 Client Error: Forbidden for url: https://api.bybit), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
ethplorer last fetched successfully on Oct 4, 2026 19:21 UTC;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:21:17+00:00 HTTP 429 https://api.ethplorer.io/getTokenInfo/0x08280), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
hedgey last fetched successfully on an unrecorded time;
the latest fetch failed (2026-10-04T19:23:55+00:00 Ethereum logs: no ETHERSCAN_KEY;
Optimism logs: HTTP 4), so its figures are shown from that earlier run.
This page is generated from 5,067 database rows and rebuilt daily; first published Oct 4, 2026.
PatternPlus compiles facts from public sources and gives no financial advice; corrections by email. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this
Band 1 is the prediction: the chance of a higher price, the typical move and the likely range, with the real past setups behind it drawn as they moved.
Band 2 is why: the drivers, the next events and how our past calls on this coin went.
Band 3 is the data: every table and chart, dated; green means the price was higher afterwards, red lower.
Band 4 is the write-up: the same record in words, with the questions and the sources.
