PATTERN+ PREDICTIONS
Updated

Month archive · 2026-01

January 2026: 59 recorded events

January 2026 holds 59 recorded events: 9 listings, 7 futures listings, 6 unlocks, 2 hacks and 0 rounds; the busiest venue was OKX (13) and the median day-30 move after a listing was −44.5%.

Events

59

recorded in January 2026

Listings

9

spot pairs opened

Perpetual listings

7

futures instruments opened

Unlocks

6

token-days with a release

Hacks

2

on record

Rounds

0

funding rounds

Typical after 30 days

−44.5%

median after a listing this month

← December 2025 · February 2026 →

The month in shortON RECORD

The month in short

as of · generated from the events of January 2026

Events by venue: OKX 13 · Binance 3.

  • Best day-30 outcome: Melania Meme MELANIA unlock: 25.00M tokens (6.41% of circulating) (+11.0%); worst: River RIVER all-time high: $88.17 (−86.7%).
  • The previous month (December 2025) held 59 events, the same number than January 2026.
  • Also recorded: 33 all-time highs, 1 US CPI release and 1 Fed rate decision.

Every eventMEASURED

Every event in January 2026

as of · events with effects

59 events grouped by day; 32 carry a measured day-30 outcome and each row links to the event's row on the token page.

59 events grouped by day, oldest first; scheduled rows show when their price move can be measured
DateEventTokenVenue7d beforeNext day7 days30 daysvs BTC90 daysSource
unlock MELANIA unlock: 25.00M tokens (6.41% of circulating) Melania Meme (MELANIA)— +2.1% +5.6% +28.5% +11.0% +21.2% −2.6% jupiter
Released by on-chain vesting on Jupiter Lock. On Jan 1, 2026 MELANIA unlocked supply; it rose 5.6% by day 1 and was 11.0% higher 30 days later, 21 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +2.1% in the 7 days before.
all-time high USDF all-time high: $1.03 Falcon USD (USDF)— +0.1% 0.0% −0.1% −0.3% +16.1% +0.1% derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jan 4, 2026 USDF set an all-time high; it was unchanged by day 1 and was 0.3% lower 30 days later, 16 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +0.1% in the 7 days before.
all-time high VSTR1 all-time high: $0.0843 Vestra DAO (VSTR1)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. VSTR1 set an all-time high on Jan 4, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high YEE all-time high: $0.0301 Yee Token (YEE)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. YEE set an all-time high on Jan 5, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high ISC all-time high: $2.54 International Stable Currency (ISC)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. ISC set an all-time high on Jan 5, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
unlock ENA unlock: 267.19M tokens (3.47% of circulating), seen in the supply Ethena (ENA)— +20.5% +2.5% −14.6% −46.6% −26.6% −67.9% supply_pattern
The circulating supply stepped up by 267,187,500 ENA on this day (CoinGecko), one of 11 such steps a month apart. On Jan 5, 2026 ENA unlocked supply; it rose 2.5% by day 1 and was 46.6% lower 30 days later, 27 points behind BTC; it had moved +20.5% in the 7 days before.
spot listing OKX lists BREV Brevis (BREV)OKX — +23.9% −1.6% −64.2% −31.2% −67.3% instruments
BREV-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, TRY, USDT, USDC). On Jan 6, 2026 OKX listed BREV; it rose 23.9% by day 1 and was 64.2% lower 30 days later, 31 points behind BTC.
all-time high ESIM all-time high: $0.1354 Depinsim (ESIM)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. ESIM set an all-time high on Jan 6, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
perpetual listing OKX lists ZKP perpetual Panther Protocol (ZKP)OKX — −24.2% −35.0% −61.4% −36.7% −65.8% instruments
ZKP-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. On Jan 7, 2026 OKX opened perpetual futures for ZKP; it fell 24.2% by day 1 and was 61.4% lower 30 days later, 37 points behind BTC.
spot listing Binance Will List 币安人生 (币安人生) and zkPass (ZKP) with Seed Tag Applied Panther Protocol (ZKP)Binance — −24.2% −35.0% −61.4% −36.7% −65.8% announcement
On Jan 7, 2026 Binance listed ZKP; it fell 24.2% by day 1 and was 61.4% lower 30 days later, 37 points behind BTC.
all-time high BREV all-time high: $0.5594 Brevis (BREV)— — +13.2% −8.0% −58.4% −33.7% −66.6% derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jan 7, 2026 BREV set an all-time high; it rose 13.2% by day 1 and was 58.4% lower 30 days later, 34 points behind BTC.
all-time high ZTC all-time high: $0.006464194695 ZenChain (ZTC)— — −26.2% −54.4% −71.0% −46.3% −86.9% derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jan 7, 2026 ZTC set an all-time high; it fell 26.2% by day 1 and was 71.0% lower 30 days later, 46 points behind BTC.
perpetual listing OKX lists RIVER perpetual River (RIVER)OKX −2.2% −7.7% +57.8% −16.2% +6.6% −29.8% instruments
RIVER-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. On Jan 9, 2026 OKX opened perpetual futures for RIVER; it fell 7.7% by day 1 and was 16.2% lower 30 days later, 7 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −2.2% in the 7 days before.
perpetual listing OKX lists ZAMA perpetual ZAMAOKX — — — — — — instruments
ZAMA-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. OKX opened perpetual futures for ZAMA on Jan 9, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
unlock VELVET unlock: 15.00M tokens (13.36% of circulating) Velvet (VELVET)— — — — — — — sablier
Released by on-chain vesting on Sablier. VELVET unlocked supply on Jan 9, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
perpetual listing OKX lists FOGO perpetual FOGOOKX — — — — — — instruments
FOGO-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. OKX opened perpetual futures for FOGO on Jan 10, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
spot listing Binance Will List Fogo (FOGO) with Seed Tag Applied FOGOBinance — — — — — — announcement
Binance listed FOGO on Jan 12, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high DRB all-time high: $0.000412703887 DebtReliefBot (DRB)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. DRB set an all-time high on Jan 13, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
unlock APT unlock: 11.43M tokens (1.52% of circulating), seen in the supply Aptos (APT)— −10.2% +9.5% −13.1% −47.7% −20.3% −50.6% supply_pattern
The circulating supply stepped up by 11,430,022 APT on this day (CoinGecko), one of 11 such steps a month apart. On Jan 13, 2026 APT unlocked supply; it rose 9.5% by day 1 and was 47.7% lower 30 days later, 20 points behind BTC; it had moved −10.2% in the 7 days before.
US CPI release US CPI for December 2025 Bitcoin (BTC)— −2.7% +6.2% −3.1% −27.4% 0.0% −18.5% macro
The US consumer price index for December 2025 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Jan 13, 2026 BTC saw an US CPI release; it rose 6.2% by day 1 and was 27.4% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −2.7% in the 7 days before.
all-time high XMR all-time high: $797.14 Monero (XMR)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. XMR set an all-time high on Jan 14, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high NOW all-time high: $0.7145 NOW Token (NOW)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. NOW set an all-time high on Jan 14, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
spot listing OKX lists FOGO FOGOOKX — — — — — — instruments
FOGO-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, TRY, USDT, USDC). Announced 2026-01-13: OKX will launch FOGO/USD for spot trading OKX listed FOGO on Jan 15, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
spot listing OKX lists LIT Lighter (LIT)OKX — — — — — — instruments
LIT-USDT spot trading (quotes: TRY, USDT, USDC). OKX listed LIT on Jan 15, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high COLLECT all-time high: $0.1164 Collect on Fanable (COLLECT)— +15.0% −4.9% −24.0% −23.5% +4.5% −65.4% derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jan 16, 2026 COLLECT set an all-time high; it fell 4.9% by day 1 and was 23.5% lower 30 days later, 4 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +15.0% in the 7 days before.
all-time high JOBCOIN all-time high: $0.0182 JOBCOIN (JOBCOIN)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. JOBCOIN set an all-time high on Jan 16, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high FUN all-time high: $0.1222 Sport.Fun (FUN)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. FUN set an all-time high on Jan 16, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high LISUSD all-time high: $51.98 Lista USD (LISUSD)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. LISUSD set an all-time high on Jan 17, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
hack Meteora DAMM V2 exploited for $1.50M Meteora (MET)— +18.8% −5.8% −14.5% −29.4% −1.5% −51.9% defillama
Impersonation Scam On Jan 17, 2026 MET was hacked; it fell 5.8% by day 1 and was 29.4% lower 30 days later, 1 points behind BTC; it had moved +18.8% in the 7 days before.
all-time high ROLL all-time high: $0.2058 RollX (ROLL)— — +17.5% −30.3% −17.1% +12.0% −43.1% derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jan 19, 2026 ROLL set an all-time high; it rose 17.5% by day 1 and was 17.1% lower 30 days later, 12 points ahead of BTC.
unlock MELANIA unlock: 22.50M tokens (5.77% of circulating) Melania Meme (MELANIA)— −4.6% +2.3% +10.2% −24.1% +3.5% −26.3% jupiter
Released by on-chain vesting on Jupiter Lock. On Jan 20, 2026 MELANIA unlocked supply; it rose 2.3% by day 1 and was 24.1% lower 30 days later, 4 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −4.6% in the 7 days before.
hack Saga exploited for $7M Saga (SAGA)— −15.9% −6.8% −12.1% −41.4% −18.3% −66.8% defillama
Infinite Mint On Jan 21, 2026 SAGA was hacked; it fell 6.8% by day 1 and was 41.4% lower 30 days later, 18 points behind BTC; it had moved −15.9% in the 7 days before.
all-time high FHE all-time high: $0.2773 Mind Network (FHE)— +417.4% −47.0% −45.4% −82.0% −58.9% −92.4% derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jan 21, 2026 FHE set an all-time high; it fell 47.0% by day 1 and was 82.0% lower 30 days later, 59 points behind BTC; it had moved +417.4% in the 7 days before.
spot listing Binance Will List Sentient (SENT) with Seed Tag Applied Sentient (SENT)Binance — −8.3% +10.0% −25.5% −1.5% −41.9% announcement
On Jan 22, 2026 Binance listed SENT; it fell 8.3% by day 1 and was 25.5% lower 30 days later, 2 points behind BTC.
perpetual listing OKX lists ACU perpetual ACUOKX — — — — — — instruments
ACU-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. OKX opened perpetual futures for ACU on Jan 23, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
perpetual listing OKX lists SPACE perpetual Spacecoin (SPACE)OKX — +3.8% −48.5% −44.5% −20.1% −63.8% instruments
SPACE-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. On Jan 23, 2026 OKX opened perpetual futures for SPACE; it rose 3.8% by day 1 and was 44.5% lower 30 days later, 20 points behind BTC.
spot listing OKX lists SPACE Spacecoin (SPACE)OKX — +3.8% −48.5% −44.5% −20.1% −63.8% instruments
SPACE-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, TRY, USDT, USDC). On Jan 23, 2026 OKX listed SPACE; it rose 3.8% by day 1 and was 44.5% lower 30 days later, 20 points behind BTC.
all-time high SKR all-time high: $0.0417 Saakuru (SKR)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. SKR set an all-time high on Jan 23, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high ELSA all-time high: $0.2215 HeyElsa (ELSA)— — −14.7% −28.6% −57.8% −33.4% −60.7% derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jan 23, 2026 ELSA set an all-time high; it fell 14.7% by day 1 and was 57.8% lower 30 days later, 33 points behind BTC.
all-time high BXN all-time high: $0.002510509517 BXN (BXN)— +95.8% +4.4% −19.1% −35.5% −11.0% −49.5% derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jan 23, 2026 BXN set an all-time high; it rose 4.4% by day 1 and was 35.5% lower 30 days later, 11 points behind BTC; it had moved +95.8% in the 7 days before.
all-time high IMU all-time high: $0.0103 Immunefi (IMU)— — −18.2% −43.2% −68.0% −43.5% −75.7% derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jan 23, 2026 IMU set an all-time high; it fell 18.2% by day 1 and was 68.0% lower 30 days later, 44 points behind BTC.
all-time high RIVER all-time high: $88.17 River (RIVER)— +159.0% −8.0% −74.8% −86.7% −65.1% −90.8% derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jan 26, 2026 RIVER set an all-time high; it fell 8.0% by day 1 and was 86.7% lower 30 days later, 65 points behind BTC; it had moved +159.0% in the 7 days before.
spot listing OKX lists SENT Sentient (SENT)OKX — −7.8% +28.7% −8.5% +15.1% −33.0% instruments
SENT-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, TRY, USDT, USDC). On Jan 27, 2026 OKX listed SENT; it fell 7.8% by day 1 and was 8.5% lower 30 days later, 15 points ahead of BTC.
spot listing OKX lists USAT USAT (USAT)OKX — +0.0% −0.0% −0.3% +23.3% −0.2% instruments
USAT-USDT spot trading. On Jan 27, 2026 OKX listed USAT; it was unchanged by day 1 and was 0.3% lower 30 days later, 23 points ahead of BTC.
all-time high EURC all-time high: $1.21 EURC (EURC)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. EURC set an all-time high on Jan 27, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high EURCV all-time high: $1.21 EUR CoinVertible (EURCV)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. EURCV set an all-time high on Jan 27, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high EURQ all-time high: $1.20 Quantoz EURQ (EURQ)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. EURQ set an all-time high on Jan 27, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
perpetual listing OKX lists XAG perpetual XAGOKX — — — — — — instruments
XAG-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. OKX opened perpetual futures for XAG on Jan 28, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high IDLE all-time high: $0.003378715232 IdleMine (IDLE)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. IDLE set an all-time high on Jan 28, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
Fed rate decision Fed rate decision Bitcoin (BTC)— +0.9% −5.2% −18.0% −26.2% 0.0% −14.5% macro
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On Jan 28, 2026 BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it fell 5.2% by day 1 and was 26.2% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +0.9% in the 7 days before.
all-time high XAUT all-time high: $5.60k Tether Gold (XAUT)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. XAUT set an all-time high on Jan 29, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high XAUM all-time high: $5.52k Matrixdock Gold (XAUM)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. XAUM set an all-time high on Jan 29, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high XAUT0 all-time high: $5.60k Tether Gold Tokens (XAUT0)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. XAUT0 set an all-time high on Jan 29, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high CGO all-time high: $179.42 Comtech Gold (CGO)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. CGO set an all-time high on Jan 29, 2026; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high GLDX all-time high: $521.08 Gold tokenized ETF (xStock) (GLDX)— +15.8% −11.7% −14.2% −4.5% +20.5% −17.6% derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jan 29, 2026 GLDX set an all-time high; it fell 11.7% by day 1 and was 4.5% lower 30 days later, 21 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +15.8% in the 7 days before.
all-time high INX all-time high: $0.0330 Infinex (INX)— — −26.5% −45.6% −45.9% −23.6% −52.8% derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jan 30, 2026 INX set an all-time high; it fell 26.5% by day 1 and was 45.9% lower 30 days later, 24 points behind BTC.
all-time high MIN all-time high: $0.007165417576 Minswap (MIN)— −13.5% −13.5% −18.2% −16.2% +6.1% −37.1% derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jan 30, 2026 MIN set an all-time high; it fell 13.5% by day 1 and was 16.2% lower 30 days later, 6 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −13.5% in the 7 days before.
all-time high HP all-time high: $0.0234 Hippo Protocol (HP)— −11.3% −1.9% −9.0% −12.7% +5.6% −20.7% derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jan 31, 2026 HP set an all-time high; it fell 1.9% by day 1 and was 12.7% lower 30 days later, 6 points ahead of BTC; it had moved −11.3% in the 7 days before.
unlock MELANIA unlock: 25.00M tokens (6.41% of circulating) Melania Meme (MELANIA)— −17.7% −9.2% −4.5% −18.7% −0.4% −22.9% jupiter
Released by on-chain vesting on Jupiter Lock. On Jan 31, 2026 MELANIA unlocked supply; it fell 9.2% by day 1 and was 18.7% lower 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved −17.7% in the 7 days before.

Source: CoinPaprika, DefiLlama, exchange announcements and instrument APIs; effects by PatternPlus · fetched

  • On Jan 26, 2026 RIVER set the all-time high on record ($88.17);
  • it fell 8.0% by day 1 and was 86.7% lower 30 days later, 65 points behind BTC;
  • by day 90 it was 90.8% lower (it had moved +159.0% in the 7 days before).
  • On Jan 21, 2026 FHE set the all-time high on record ($0.2773);
  • it fell 47.0% by day 1 and was 82.0% lower 30 days later, 59 points behind BTC;
  • by day 90 it was 92.4% lower (it had moved +417.4% in the 7 days before).
  • On Jan 7, 2026 ZTC set the all-time high on record ($0.006464194695);
  • it fell 26.2% by day 1 and was 71.0% lower 30 days later, 46 points behind BTC;
  • by day 90 it was 86.9% lower.
  • On Jan 23, 2026 IMU set the all-time high on record ($0.0103);
  • it fell 18.2% by day 1 and was 68.0% lower 30 days later, 44 points behind BTC;
  • by day 90 it was 75.7% lower.
  • On Jan 6, 2026 OKX listed BREV spot; it rose 23.9% by day 1 and was 64.2% lower 30 days later, 31 points behind BTC; by day 90 it was 67.3% lower.
  • On Jan 7, 2026 OKX opened perpetual futures for ZKP;
  • it fell 24.2% by day 1 and was 61.4% lower 30 days later, 37 points behind BTC;
  • by day 90 it was 65.8% lower.

Month statisticsMEASURED

Month statistics against the all-time medians

as of · event_stats

8 exchange-and-kind pairs had a measured event in January 2026; the all-time median is printed beside the month's own.

VenueKindThis month nThis month median 30 daysAll-time nAll-time median 30 daysAll-time up after 30 days
all venuesall-time high14−40.7%429−40.3%6.1%
all venuesUS CPI release1−27.4%31+2.4%61.3%
all venuesFed rate decision1−26.2%21−1.9%47.6%
all venueshack2−35.4%75−14.3%30.7%
all venuesunlock5−24.1%89−3.1%41.6%
Binancespot listing2−43.5%71−19.0%31.0%
OKXperpetual listing3−44.5%138−22.7%30.4%
OKXspot listing4−26.5%107−22.3%28.0%
  • A month median over fewer than five events is printed but carries less weight than the all-time column.