PATTERN+ PREDICTIONS
Updated

Pattern · perpetual listings · counted from past cases, updated 2026-10-04

Perp listings: all 141 measured cases

perpetual listing held up on recent cases 336 cases on record last 5 cases: 3 up

▶ Play this pattern replay its cases as a trade: pick a side, hold and leverage

higher the next day

42%

59 of 141 past cases

42% of past cases were higher (90% range 35-49%)

90% range 35%–49%

higher after 30 days

30%

44 of 147 cases measured after 30 days

30% of past cases were higher (90% range 24-36%)

90% range 24%–36% · typical move −23.0%

typical next day
−2.1%
typical after 30 days
−23.0%
typical vs BTC, 30 days
−18.5%
best after 30 days
+248.1%
worst after 30 days
−91.3%
30 days: up · sideways · down
41 · 12 · 94

recent-cases check · held up: 41% → 43% (older 60% → newer 40% of cases)

Every past perpetual listing, 30 days on 147 cases measured that far · hover a line for its token and date

7 days 30 days 90 days same cases, measured at each point

▲ 29 rose · ▼ 80 fell · ◆ 38 sideways (±19% over 30 days)

Each line is one past perpetual listing: its token's real daily closes from the close before the event to 30 days after it, ending on the move the case list below prints · 80 of the 147 cases measured that far, evenly through their dates · past cases, not a projection

Perp listings: 141 of the 336 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 59 of those 141 closed higher — a base rate of 42%, with a 90% range of 35% to 49%, counted as of Oct 4, 2026.

Prediction from past patterns, not financial advice. Every figure above is a share of dated past cases · past patterns can stop working

The detailsevery past case behind these odds, with dates and links

How often it went up141 measured cases

These odds in plain words

as of · counted from every past case of this pattern

Perp listings: 141 of the 336 past cases on record have a measured next-day move, and 59 of those 141 closed higher — a base rate of 42%, with a 90% range of 35% to 49%, counted as of Oct 4, 2026.

  • By day 30, 44 of the 147 cases measured that far were still above the close before the event (30%).
  • The typical day-30 move was −23.0%, the best +248.1% and the worst −91.3%.
  • Against Bitcoin over the same 30-day windows, the typical case ran −18.5% vs BTC and beat it in 27.2% of 147 comparable cases.
  • Recent-cases check: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 41% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 43% of the time, so the count stayed on the same side on the newest cases.

Source: every past event of this kind and the price move measured after it · fetched

Coming upON RECORD

Coming up: scheduled events that match this pattern

as of · upcoming events

NO DATA YET No scheduled perpetual listing meets every condition of this pattern as of Oct 4, 2026.

Every past case336 cases

Every past perpetual listing behind these odds

as of · events and their measured price moves

All 336 past cases behind the numbers above, newest first. Each row links to the event on its token's page, and a row not measured yet shows when its window closes.

336 past cases of perp listings, newest first; returns from the close before the event, in UTC
DateTokenVenue / sizeNext day30 daysvs BTCResult
2026
Akedo (AKE) OKX −21.0% in 12 days in 12 days down next day
Canopy (CNPY) OKX +12.7% in 3 days in 3 days up next day
Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) OKX +12.9% tomorrow tomorrow up next day
A Meme Coin (AMC) OKX — — — not measured yet
Cash Cat (CASHCAT) OKX −10.9% −42.4% −52.0% down next day
DGrid AI (DGAI) OKX +18.8% +57.2% +47.6% up next day
Hypurr (PURR) OKX +4.2% +38.9% +27.8% up next day
DappOS (DOS) OKX −6.0% −49.1% −69.8% down next day
GRVT Token (GRVT) OKX +13.1% −30.1% −52.4% up next day
AEON (AEON) OKX −7.3% −40.9% −61.7% down next day
SK Hynix (Backpack Securities) (SKHY) OKX — — — not measured yet
Orochi Network (ON) OKX −5.2% +211.6% +210.0% down next day
Venice Token (VVV) OKX −9.0% −11.3% −14.5% down next day
Streamr DATAcoin (DATA) OKX — — — not measured yet
Cap (CAP) OKX −7.1% −23.0% −32.4% down next day
Wen (WEN) OKX −5.7% −4.4% −9.8% down next day
Nesa (NES) OKX −27.3% −7.8% −10.1% down next day
Arcium (ARX) OKX +14.0% −41.9% −46.3% up next day
Gram (prev. Toncoin) (GRAM) OKX — — — not measured yet
o1.exchange (O) OKX −12.3% −14.5% −11.9% down next day
RE (RE) OKX — +2.7% +5.3% not measured yet
Quant (QNT) OKX +0.5% −2.8% −2.4% sideways next day
Energy Web Token (EWT) OKX −0.6% −7.5% −1.3% sideways next day
NOW Token (NOW) OKX — — — not measured yet
BounceBit (BB) OKX −9.1% −29.3% −10.8% down next day
Solstice (SLX) OKX +73.6% +165.1% +183.6% up next day
Irys (IRYS) OKX −14.3% −49.1% −28.3% down next day
GME (GME) OKX +4.1% −36.9% −16.1% up next day
Billions Network (BILL) OKX +67.5% +63.1% +87.6% up next day
MegaETH (MEGA) OKX −4.2% −62.1% −59.6% down next day
Gensyn (AI) OKX +16.0% +61.7% +65.5% up next day
Pharos (PROS) OKX — — — not measured yet
Unibase (UB) OKX +30.4% +248.1% +253.0% up next day
OpenGradient (OPG) OKX — — — not measured yet
USD.AI (CHIP) OKX +84.0% −21.6% −24.0% up next day
Kite (KITE) OKX −2.5% +32.9% +19.4% down next day
OneFootball Club (OFC) OKX +17.8% +22.7% +9.2% up next day
Unitas (UP) OKX — — — not measured yet
Block Street (BSB) OKX −0.7% +198.7% +183.2% sideways next day
edgeX (EDGE) OKX +18.6% +83.8% +69.2% up next day
Based (BASED) OKX −24.1% +9.4% −5.4% down next day
Metadium (META) OKX — — — not measured yet
Katana Network (KAT) OKX — — — not measured yet
Fabric Protocol (ROBO) OKX — −44.6% −42.4% not measured yet
Opinion (OPN) OKX — — — not measured yet
AZTEC (AZTEC) OKX — +9.7% +6.7% not measured yet
Espresso (ESP) OKX — +44.8% +44.2% not measured yet
Tria (TRIA) OKX +23.3% +16.6% +24.7% up next day
Spacecoin (SPACE) OKX +3.8% −44.5% −20.1% up next day
River (RIVER) OKX −7.7% −16.2% +6.6% down next day
Panther Protocol (ZKP) OKX −24.2% −61.4% −36.7% down next day
2025
Brevis (BREV) OKX — −47.6% −44.6% not measured yet
Lighter (LIT) OKX — — — not measured yet
Bitlight (LIGHT) OKX +10.2% −54.3% −64.9% up next day
RaveDAO (RAVE) OKX — — — not measured yet
Midnight (NIGHT) OKX — — — not measured yet
HumidiFi (WET) OKX +60.7% −4.9% −5.4% up next day
Stable (STABLE) OKX −16.8% −34.4% −35.4% down next day
Pippin (PIPPIN) OKX +11.2% +108.2% +105.3% up next day
Rayls (RLS) OKX +8.2% −49.1% −52.1% up next day
Swarm Network (TRUTH) OKX −8.3% −62.2% −58.5% down next day
Pieverse (PIEVERSE) OKX −24.5% +7.1% +15.2% down next day
Sei (SEI) OKX −1.3% −25.6% −14.1% down next day
Sentient (SENT) OKX — — — not measured yet
Allora (ALLO) OKX −25.4% −71.5% −58.8% down next day
Dash (DASH) OKX −2.8% −54.5% −40.4% down next day
Sapien (SAPIEN) OKX −21.1% −50.8% −36.7% down next day
Zcash (ZEC) OKX +34.9% −28.6% −14.5% up next day
Trust The Process (TRUST) OKX −10.7% −30.5% −18.5% down next day
MeMusic (MMT) OKX −71.6% −90.6% −77.0% down next day
Horizen (ZEN) OKX +13.8% −46.2% −30.7% up next day
LAB (LAB) OKX −0.5% −63.0% −41.7% sideways next day
Canton Network (CC) OKX — — — not measured yet
APRO (AT) OKX — — — not measured yet
Recall Network (RECALL) OKX −21.2% −73.6% −56.2% down next day
Enso (ENSO) OKX −11.1% −53.4% −33.9% down next day
OPENLOOT (OL) OKX +5.7% −30.7% −11.2% up next day
SynFutures (F) OKX −1.8% −59.5% −39.1% down next day
Giggle Fund (GIGGLE) OKX −20.2% −52.5% −32.1% down next day
Giggle Fund (GIGGLE) Binance −20.2% −52.5% −32.1% down next day
Capricorn (APR) OKX −40.3% −57.7% −36.5% down next day
KGeN (KGEN) OKX −19.4% −59.6% −46.3% down next day
Succinct (PROVE) OKX +1.8% −33.9% −21.1% up next day
Zerobase (ZBT) OKX −18.2% −68.8% −56.0% down next day
ChainOpera AI (COAI) OKX +135.6% −91.3% −75.0% up next day
Yield Basis (YB) OKX — −30.9% −24.0% not measured yet
Meteora (MET) OKX — — — not measured yet
Monad (MON) OKX — — — not measured yet
Zora (ZORA) OKX −5.2% −23.9% −10.0% down next day
DoubleZero (2Z) OKX −12.7% −69.6% −62.5% down next day
OpenEden (EDEN) OKX −3.5% −67.6% −62.4% down next day
Orderly Network (ORDER) OKX +1.2% −43.1% −37.9% up next day
0G (0G) OKX +20.2% −62.8% −56.1% up next day
Aster (ASTER) OKX — — — not measured yet
Veranta (AVNT) OKX −15.8% −72.4% −65.8% down next day
Lombard (BARD) OKX −12.2% −41.1% −33.2% down next day
Ethena (ENA) OKX +0.0% −37.6% −28.7% sideways next day
Pendle (PENDLE) OKX +5.9% −36.7% −27.8% up next day
Sky (SKY) OKX — −24.6% −21.6% not measured yet
OKB (OKB) OKX +3.3% +28.4% +18.9% up next day
Linea (LINEA) OKX — — — not measured yet
Plasma (XPL) OKX — — — not measured yet
Official World Liberty Financial (WLFI) OKX — — — not measured yet
Useless Coin (USELESS) OKX +30.7% −11.2% −7.1% up next day
SPX6900 (SPX) OKX −2.6% −18.9% −17.8% down next day
Pump.fun (PUMP) OKX — — — not measured yet
Aerodrome Finance (AERO) OKX — — — not measured yet
Humanity (H) OKX +40.5% −46.5% −49.9% up next day
Syrup Token (SYRUP) OKX −0.3% −25.1% −28.5% sideways next day
Sahara AI (SAHARA) OKX −10.9% +1.3% −8.5% down next day
Spark (SPK) OKX −13.3% −42.6% −54.2% down next day
Home (HOME) OKX −6.1% −16.9% −29.6% down next day
LATOKEN (LA) OKX — — — not measured yet
Resolv (RESOLV) OKX — −55.9% −61.1% not measured yet
Mubarak (MUBARAK) OKX −1.4% −5.8% −9.3% down next day
Kamino (KMNO) OKX −12.5% −0.3% −2.9% down next day
Vaulta (A) OKX −19.3% −34.1% −33.7% down next day
Sophon (SOPH) OKX −14.6% −50.9% −49.2% down next day
Huma Finance (HUMA) OKX −11.4% −52.2% −50.7% down next day
Doodles (DOOD) OKX — — — not measured yet
Plume (PLUME) OKX — — — not measured yet
Walrus (WAL) OKX — — — not measured yet
Sign (SIGN) OKX +25.3% −1.6% −16.5% up next day
Initia (INIT) OKX +11.3% +31.3% +16.2% up next day
WalletConnect Token (WCT) OKX +52.7% +77.4% +54.7% up next day
Babylon (BABY) OKX +31.6% +13.4% −13.5% up next day
Jelly-My-Jelly (JELLYJELLY) OKX — — — not measured yet
Particle Network (PARTI) OKX +4.7% −46.4% −53.8% up next day
GoPlus (GPS) OKX −9.4% −66.3% −62.8% down next day
MyShell (SHELL) OKX −18.5% −64.0% −62.1% down next day
Hyperliquid (HYPE) OKX — — — not measured yet
KAITO (KAITO) OKX −12.9% −19.3% −6.1% down next day
Pi Network (PI) OKX — — — not measured yet
Solayer (LAYER) OKX −6.4% +14.3% +31.0% down next day
Berachain (BERA) OKX −11.7% −22.3% −11.6% down next day
Animecoin (ANIME) OKX −30.2% −70.9% −64.0% down next day
Sonic (S) OKX +14.6% +67.4% +71.3% up next day
OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) OKX −21.5% −64.8% −56.3% down next day
aixbt by Virtuals (AIXBT) OKX — −38.7% −39.4% not measured yet
BIO Protocol (BIO) OKX −14.2% −80.3% −81.1% down next day
2024
Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) OKX — — — not measured yet
Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) OKX +24.2% +14.1% +19.8% up next day
Vana (VANA) OKX −52.8% −64.2% −58.5% down next day
Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) OKX — — — not measured yet
Magic Eden (ME) OKX −4.3% −52.7% −47.9% down next day
Movement (MOVE) OKX +0.6% +22.8% +28.8% sideways next day
Morpho (MORPHO) OKX — — — not measured yet
Arkham (ARKM) OKX −0.8% −30.5% −33.7% sideways next day
Act I : The AI Prophecy (ACT) OKX +23.6% −5.4% −17.6% up next day
Peanut the Squirrel (PNUT) OKX +333.0% +219.7% +206.9% up next day
GRASS (GRASS) OKX — — — not measured yet
Moo Deng (moodengsol.com) (MOODENG) OKX — — — not measured yet
First Neiro On Ethereum (NEIRO) OKX +13.4% +51.8% +37.4% up next day
Eigenlayer (EIGEN) OKX −19.0% −31.7% −42.7% down next day
Worldcoin (WLD) Binance −1.1% +0.4% −3.9% down next day
Hamster Kombat (HMSTR) OKX +4.8% −56.7% −63.0% up next day
Polygon Ecosystem Token (POL) OKX +0.9% −12.2% −19.9% sideways next day
BitTensor (TAO) OKX +25.4% +61.2% +51.5% up next day
Sui (SUI) Binance +10.5% +141.0% +130.8% up next day
Brett (Base) (BRETT) OKX +1.2% +25.3% +13.5% up next day
Dogs (DOGS) Binance −0.1% −34.5% −41.6% sideways next day
Popcat (POPCAT) OKX — — — not measured yet
BOOK OF MEME (BOME) OKX −7.0% −8.6% −10.9% down next day
Render (RENDER) OKX +11.0% +7.8% +9.5% up next day
Solana (SOL) Binance +8.0% −11.8% −10.0% up next day
Ondo (ONDO) OKX — — — not measured yet
dogwifhat (WIF) Binance +0.5% −31.6% −20.5% sideways next day
Convex Finance (CVX) OKX +3.8% −6.3% −15.4% up next day
LayerZero (ZRO) OKX −11.4% +54.2% +50.9% down next day
zkSync (ZK) OKX +5.3% −21.5% −17.7% up next day
Aethir (ATH) OKX — — — not measured yet
Notcoin (NOT) OKX −8.4% +176.3% +176.3% down next day
Golem (GLM) OKX −2.3% −21.2% −31.6% down next day
Merlin Chain (MERL) OKX — — — not measured yet
cat in a dogs world (MEW) OKX — — — not measured yet
dogwifhat (WIF) OKX −12.5% −0.4% −1.2% down next day
Wormhole (W) OKX −17.9% −43.7% −39.7% down next day
Ether.fi (ETHFI) OKX −3.2% +13.4% +23.8% down next day
Aevo (AEVO) OKX −6.5% −41.5% −35.5% down next day
Raydium (RAY) OKX +3.5% +36.1% +38.9% up next day
Metis Token (METIS) Binance −0.2% −35.1% −32.2% sideways next day
Worldcoin (WLD) Binance −2.9% −35.2% −32.3% down next day
Myro (MYRO) Binance — — — not measured yet
Pepe (PEPE) Binance +2.7% −1.3% −1.6% up next day
Enjin Coin (ENJ) OKX +23.3% +18.5% +1.9% up next day
Alchemy Pay (ACH) OKX +2.1% +55.4% +32.0% up next day
ONEchain (ONE) OKX −4.9% +58.7% +32.2% down next day
Starknet (STRK) OKX −3.7% +6.3% −20.2% down next day
ZetaChain (ZETA) OKX — — — not measured yet
Jupiter Exchange Token (JUP) OKX −9.0% −7.1% −52.4% down next day
Liquity (LQTY) OKX −7.1% −4.3% −8.5% down next day
Numeraire (NMR) OKX −2.1% +38.3% +36.0% down next day
Bonk (BONK) OKX +17.3% −13.9% −8.4% up next day
Jito (JTO) OKX −6.6% +10.1% +15.7% down next day
2023
Metis Token (METIS) OKX — — — not measured yet
SATS (Ordinals) (SATS) OKX — — — not measured yet
Turbo (TURBO) OKX — — — not measured yet
Bounce (AUCTION) OKX — — — not measured yet
Injective Protocol (INJ) OKX — — — not measured yet
SSV Network (SSV) OKX — — — not measured yet
Pyth Network (PYTH) OKX — — — not measured yet
Flow (FLOW) OKX — — — not measured yet
Memecoin (MEME) OKX — — — not measured yet
Celestia (TIA) OKX — — — not measured yet
Gas (GAS) OKX — — — not measured yet
Big Time (BIGTIME) OKX — — — not measured yet
Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) OKX — — — not measured yet
Worldcoin (WLD) OKX — — — not measured yet
Ordinals (ORDI) OKX — — — not measured yet
Sui (SUI) OKX — — — not measured yet
Pepe (PEPE) OKX — — — not measured yet
Arbitrum (ARB) OKX — — — not measured yet
USDC (USDC) OKX — — — not measured yet
Stacks (STX) OKX — — — not measured yet
Floki Inu (FLOKI) OKX — — — not measured yet
Blur (BLUR) OKX — — — not measured yet
Arweave (AR) OKX — — — not measured yet
WOO (WOO) OKX — — — not measured yet
Core DAO (CORE) OKX — — — not measured yet
GMX (GMX) OKX — — — not measured yet
Lido DAO (LDO) OKX — — — not measured yet
MAGIC (MAGIC) OKX — — — not measured yet
2022
BNB (BNB) OKX — — — not measured yet
Aptos (APT) Binance — — — not measured yet
Aptos (APT) OKX — — — not measured yet
Ethereum PoW (ETHW) OKX — — — not measured yet
Optimism (OP) OKX — — — not measured yet
Terra (LUNA) OKX — — — not measured yet
GMT (GMT) OKX — — — not measured yet
ApeCoin (APE) OKX — — — not measured yet
API3 (API3) OKX — — — not measured yet
2021
Biconomy (BICO) OKX — — — not measured yet
Constitution DAO (PEOPLE) OKX — — — not measured yet
Immutable X (IMX) OKX — — — not measured yet
Ethereum Name Service (ENS) OKX — — — not measured yet
Celo (CELO) OKX — — — not measured yet
Gala (GALA) OKX — — — not measured yet
DYDX Chain (DYDX) OKX — — — not measured yet
Adventure Gold (AGLD) OKX — — — not measured yet
Yield Guild Games (YGG) OKX — — — not measured yet
Axie Infinity (AXS) OKX — — — not measured yet
Quickswap [OLD] (QUICK) Binance — — — not measured yet
Mina Protocol (MINA) OKX — — — not measured yet
Internet Computer (ICP) OKX — — — not measured yet
Shiba Inu (SHIB) OKX — — — not measured yet
Livepeer (LPT) OKX — — — not measured yet
Ravencoin (RVN) OKX — — — not measured yet
Cronos (CRO) OKX — — — not measured yet
The Sandbox (SAND) OKX — — — not measured yet
Perpetual Protocol (PERP) Binance — — — not measured yet
Conflux Network (CFX) OKX — — — not measured yet
Chiliz (CHZ) OKX — — — not measured yet
Decentraland (MANA) OKX — — — not measured yet
Mask Network (MASK) OKX — — — not measured yet
PancakeSwap (CAKE) Binance — — — not measured yet
Venus (XVS) Binance — — — not measured yet
Solana (SOL) OKX — — — not measured yet
2020
1INCH (1INCH) OKX — — — not measured yet
MultiversX (Elrond) (EGLD) OKX — — — not measured yet
Near Protocol (NEAR) OKX — — — not measured yet
The Graph (GRT) OKX — — — not measured yet
Aave (AAVE) OKX — — — not measured yet
Avalanche (AVAX) OKX — — — not measured yet
Uniswap (UNI) OKX — — — not measured yet
Uniswap (UNI) Binance — — — not measured yet
Reserve Rights (RSR) OKX — — — not measured yet
Zilliqa (ZIL) OKX — — — not measured yet
Tellor (TRB) OKX — — — not measured yet
Band Protocol (BAND) OKX — — — not measured yet
Curve DAO Token (CRV) OKX — — — not measured yet
UMA (UMA) OKX — — — not measured yet
Sushi (SUSHI) OKX — — — not measured yet
yearn.finance (YFI) OKX — — — not measured yet
MultiversX (Elrond) (EGLD) Binance — — — not measured yet
Basic Attention Token (BAT) OKX — — — not measured yet
MultiversX (Elrond) (EGLD) Binance — — — not measured yet
Polkadot Token (DOT) OKX — — — not measured yet
Synthetix Network (SNX) OKX — — — not measured yet
0x (ZRX) OKX — — — not measured yet
iExec RLC (RLC) Binance — — — not measured yet
Band Protocol (BAND) Binance — — — not measured yet
Kava (KAVA) Binance — — — not measured yet
Chainlink (LINK) Binance — — — not measured yet
Cardano (ADA) Binance — — — not measured yet
Dogecoin (DOGE) Binance — — — not measured yet
OMG Network (OMG) Binance — — — not measured yet
Compound (COMP) Binance — — — not measured yet
0x (ZRX) Binance — — — not measured yet
Kyber Network Crystal (KNC) Binance — — — not measured yet
Zilliqa (ZIL) Binance — — — not measured yet
Algorand (ALGO) Binance — — — not measured yet
THETA (THETA) Binance — — — not measured yet
Algorand (ALGO) OKX — — — not measured yet
Compound (COMP) OKX — — — not measured yet
Dogecoin (DOGE) OKX — — — not measured yet
IOST (IOST) OKX — — — not measured yet
IOTA (IOTA) OKX — — — not measured yet
Ontology (ONT) OKX — — — not measured yet
Qtum (QTUM) OKX — — — not measured yet
THETA (THETA) OKX — — — not measured yet
Stellar (XLM) OKX — — — not measured yet
Tezos (XTZ) OKX — — — not measured yet
Tezos (XTZ) Binance — — — not measured yet
Cardano (ADA) OKX — — — not measured yet
Chainlink (LINK) OKX — — — not measured yet
NEO (NEO) OKX — — — not measured yet
IOST (IOST) Binance — — — not measured yet
Qtum (QTUM) Binance — — — not measured yet
NEO (NEO) Binance — — — not measured yet
VeChain (VET) Binance — — — not measured yet
Basic Attention Token (BAT) Binance — — — not measured yet
Ontology (ONT) Binance — — — not measured yet
BNB (BNB) Binance — — — not measured yet
Cosmos (ATOM) Binance — — — not measured yet
Tezos (XTZ) Binance — — — not measured yet
Zcash (ZEC) Binance — — — not measured yet
Dash (DASH) Binance — — — not measured yet
Monero (XMR) Binance — — — not measured yet
Cardano (ADA) Binance — — — not measured yet
Stellar (XLM) Binance — — — not measured yet
Chainlink (LINK) Binance — — — not measured yet
Ethereum Classic (ETC) Binance — — — not measured yet
TRON (TRX) Binance — — — not measured yet
Litecoin (LTC) Binance — — — not measured yet
EOS (EOS) Binance — — — not measured yet
XRP (XRP) Binance — — — not measured yet
2019
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Binance — — — not measured yet
Cosmos (ATOM) OKX — — — not measured yet
TRON (TRX) OKX — — — not measured yet
Filecoin (FIL) OKX — — — not measured yet
2018
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) OKX — — — not measured yet
Ethereum Classic (ETC) OKX — — — not measured yet
Ethereum (ETH) OKX — — — not measured yet
Litecoin (LTC) OKX — — — not measured yet
XRP (XRP) OKX — — — not measured yet
Bitcoin (BTC) OKX — — — not measured yet

Source: every event whose token matched the pattern at the time; price moves measured by PatternPlus · fetched

How this is counted

How these odds are counted

as of · methodology

This page is a count of 141 measured past cases, not advice. A pattern is a set of conditions on an event and its token at the time (here, the kind of event alone), kept once 8 of its cases have a measured next-day move.

  • Every share comes with a 90% range (a Wilson interval).
  • Patterns with 20 or more measured cases are counted again on their older 60% and newest 40% of cases, and a pattern whose majority side flips is flagged as flipped.
  • Past patterns can stop working.

The full method — how patterns are built, the 90% ranges, the recent-cases check and the minimum number of cases — is on the methodology page.

Questions

Questions about this pattern

as of · answers generated from this count

What does the 42% figure on this page mean?
  • It is a base rate: 59 of the 141 measured past cases of perp listings closed above the close before the event one day later, counted as of Oct 4, 2026.
  • It is a count of the past, with a 90% range of 35% to 49% — not advice, and past patterns can stop working.
How is a case measured?
  • Each case compares the last daily UTC close before the event with the closes 1 and 30 days after it, exactly as on every event list on this site.
  • The vs-BTC column subtracts Bitcoin's move over the same 30 days.
Why does this pattern exist and others not?
  • A pattern is kept only once at least 8 past cases have a measured next-day move.
  • This one has 141.
  • Narrower combinations of the same conditions with fewer than 8 cases are left out, and their cases stay counted in the broader pattern.
What does the recent-cases check say here?
  • The record was split 60/40 by date: older cases (the first 60%) were higher the next day 41% of the time and newer cases (the last 40%) 43% of the time.
  • A flipped flag means the older and newer halves of the record disagree about the direction.
Where do the 336 cases come from?
  • From this site's own event history: every perpetual listing with a known date whose token met the pattern's conditions at the time, with its moves measured from CoinPaprika daily closes.
  • The full list, with dates, is on this page.