PATTERN+ PREDICTIONS
Updated

Month archive · 2024-01

January 2024: 31 recorded events

January 2024 holds 31 recorded events: 4 listings, 5 futures listings, 0 unlocks, 3 hacks and 0 rounds; the busiest venue was OKX (8) and the median day-30 move after a listing was −7.1%.

Events

31

recorded in January 2024

Listings

4

spot pairs opened

Perpetual listings

5

futures instruments opened

Unlocks

0

token-days with a release

Hacks

3

on record

Rounds

0

funding rounds

Typical after 30 days

−7.1%

median after a listing this month

← December 2023 · February 2024 →

The month in shortON RECORD

The month in short

as of · generated from the events of January 2024

Events by venue: OKX 8 · Binance 1.

  • Best day-30 outcome: Spell Token Abracadabra Spell exploited for $6.50M (+162.6%); worst: Neon EVM NEON all-time high: $3.88 (−39.6%).
  • The previous month (December 2023) held 37 events, more than January 2024.
  • Also recorded: 15 all-time highs, 2 hallmarks, 1 US CPI release and 1 Fed rate decision.

Every eventMEASURED

Every event in January 2024

as of · events with effects

31 events grouped by day; 19 carry a measured day-30 outcome and each row links to the event's row on the token page.

31 events grouped by day, oldest first; scheduled rows show when their price move can be measured
DateEventTokenVenue7d beforeNext day7 days30 daysvs BTC90 daysSource
all-time high NEON all-time high: $3.88 Neon EVM (NEON)— — — — −39.6% −31.4% −24.9% derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jan 2, 2024 NEON set an all-time high; it was not measured by day 1 and was 39.6% lower 30 days later, 31 points behind BTC.
all-time high RVF all-time high: $0.9872 RocketX Exchange (RVF)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. RVF set an all-time high on Jan 2, 2024; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high OLAS all-time high: $8.51 Autonolas (OLAS)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. OLAS set an all-time high on Jan 3, 2024; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high GMT all-time high: $0.4474 GMT (GMT)— — — −17.5% −35.5% −27.3% −16.1% derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jan 7, 2024 GMT set an all-time high; it was not measured by day 1 and was 35.5% lower 30 days later, 27 points behind BTC.
all-time high TET all-time high: $45.12 Tectum (TET)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. TET set an all-time high on Jan 7, 2024; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
perpetual listing OKX lists BONK perpetual Bonk (BONK)OKX — +17.3% +12.2% −13.9% −8.4% +94.0% instruments
BONK-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. On Jan 8, 2024 OKX opened perpetual futures for BONK; it rose 17.3% by day 1 and was 13.9% lower 30 days later, 8 points behind BTC.
perpetual listing OKX lists JTO perpetual Jito (JTO)OKX — −6.6% +41.8% +10.1% +15.7% +126.6% instruments
JTO-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. On Jan 8, 2024 OKX opened perpetual futures for JTO; it fell 6.6% by day 1 and was 10.1% higher 30 days later, 16 points ahead of BTC.
spot listing OKX lists BONK Bonk (BONK)OKX — +17.3% +12.2% −13.9% −8.4% +94.0% instruments
BONK-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, TRY, USDT, USDC). On Jan 8, 2024 OKX listed BONK; it rose 17.3% by day 1 and was 13.9% lower 30 days later, 8 points behind BTC.
spot listing OKX lists JTO Jito (JTO)OKX — −6.6% +41.8% +10.1% +15.7% +126.6% instruments
JTO-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, USDT, USDC). On Jan 8, 2024 OKX listed JTO; it fell 6.6% by day 1 and was 10.1% higher 30 days later, 16 points ahead of BTC.
perpetual listing OKX lists NMR perpetual Numeraire (NMR)OKX — −2.1% −8.1% +38.3% +36.0% +82.2% instruments
NMR-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. On Jan 11, 2024 OKX opened perpetual futures for NMR; it fell 2.1% by day 1 and was 38.3% higher 30 days later, 36 points ahead of BTC.
all-time high ML all-time high: $0.9888 Mintlayer (ML)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. ML set an all-time high on Jan 11, 2024; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
US CPI release US CPI for December 2023 Bitcoin (BTC)— — −8.3% −11.4% +2.4% 0.0% +51.4% macro
The US consumer price index for December 2023 (Bureau of Labor Statistics), 8:30 am New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the release day. On Jan 11, 2024 BTC saw an US CPI release; it fell 8.3% by day 1 and was 2.4% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC.
perpetual listing OKX lists LQTY perpetual Liquity (LQTY)OKX — −7.1% −13.7% −4.3% −8.5% +0.9% instruments
LQTY-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. On Jan 12, 2024 OKX opened perpetual futures for LQTY; it fell 7.1% by day 1 and was 4.3% lower 30 days later, 8 points behind BTC.
all-time high ARB all-time high: $2.40 Arbitrum (ARB)— — −3.7% −17.8% −14.0% −18.3% −37.2% derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jan 12, 2024 ARB set an all-time high; it fell 3.7% by day 1 and was 14.0% lower 30 days later, 18 points behind BTC.
all-time high AQUA all-time high: $0.0899 Aquarius (AQUA)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. AQUA set an all-time high on Jan 15, 2024; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high HACD all-time high: $1.28k Hacash Diamond (HACD)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. HACD set an all-time high on Jan 15, 2024; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high LYX all-time high: $11.62 LUKSO (LYX)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. LYX set an all-time high on Jan 17, 2024; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
hallmark Launched gETH and gUSDC Gains Network (GNS)— +0.3% −9.6% −16.9% +18.7% −2.0% −37.7% defillama
On Jan 18, 2024 GNS saw a hallmark; it fell 9.6% by day 1 and was 18.7% higher 30 days later, 2 points behind BTC; it had moved +0.3% in the 7 days before.
all-time high USDE all-time high: $12.71 Ethena USDe (USDE)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. USDE set an all-time high on Jan 20, 2024; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high ASTR all-time high: $0.1990 Astar (ASTR)— +19.2% −6.9% −1.5% −6.7% −32.0% −37.8% derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jan 21, 2024 ASTR set an all-time high; it fell 6.9% by day 1 and was 6.7% lower 30 days later, 32 points behind BTC; it had moved +19.2% in the 7 days before.
hack Gamee exploited for $7M GAMEE (GMEE)— — — — — — — defillama
Key Leaked via Infrastructure GMEE was hacked on Jan 23, 2024; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
hack Saga exploited for $65.80k Saga (SAGA)— — — — — — — defillama
Private Key Compromised SAGA was hacked on Jan 25, 2024; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
all-time high CRVUSD all-time high: $1.34 crvUSD (CRVUSD)— +0.1% +1.1% +0.3% +0.6% −34.8% −0.8% derived
Highest daily close in our price history. On Jan 28, 2024 CRVUSD set an all-time high; it rose 1.1% by day 1 and was 0.6% higher 30 days later, 35 points behind BTC; it had moved +0.1% in the 7 days before.
all-time high XEP all-time high: $0.0135 Electra Protocol (XEP)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. XEP set an all-time high on Jan 28, 2024; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
hallmark launch jup exchange Jupiter Exchange Token (JUP)— — — −18.2% −22.8% −71.4% +51.1% defillama
On Jan 29, 2024 JUP saw a hallmark; it was not measured by day 1 and was 22.8% lower 30 days later, 71 points behind BTC.
hack Abracadabra Spell exploited for $6.50M Spell Token (SPELL)— +4.4% −7.9% −7.8% +162.6% +121.4% +63.3% defillama
Rounding Error On Jan 30, 2024 SPELL was hacked; it fell 7.9% by day 1 and was 162.6% higher 30 days later, 121 points ahead of BTC; it had moved +4.4% in the 7 days before.
all-time high BONE all-time high: $15.05 Bone ShibaSwap (BONE)— — — — — — — derived
Highest daily close in our price history. BONE set an all-time high on Jan 30, 2024; the price series does not cover the 30-day window, so no effect is measured.
perpetual listing OKX lists JUP perpetual Jupiter Exchange Token (JUP)OKX — −9.0% −16.2% −7.1% −52.4% +39.2% instruments
JUP-USDT-SWAP perpetual trading. On Jan 31, 2024 OKX opened perpetual futures for JUP; it fell 9.0% by day 1 and was 7.1% lower 30 days later, 52 points behind BTC.
spot listing OKX lists JUP Jupiter Exchange Token (JUP)OKX — −9.0% −16.2% −7.1% −52.4% +39.2% instruments
JUP-USDT spot trading (quotes: EUR, TRY, USDT, USDC). On Jan 31, 2024 OKX listed JUP; it fell 9.0% by day 1 and was 7.1% lower 30 days later, 52 points behind BTC.
spot listing Binance Will List Jupiter (JUP) with Seed Tag Applied Jupiter Exchange Token (JUP)Binance — −9.0% −16.2% −7.1% −52.4% +39.2% announcement
On Jan 31, 2024 Binance listed JUP; it fell 9.0% by day 1 and was 7.1% lower 30 days later, 52 points behind BTC.
Fed rate decision Fed rate decision Bitcoin (BTC)— +7.6% +0.3% +3.3% +45.3% 0.0% +41.3% macro
The Federal Reserve's rate decision, 2:00 pm New York time. The move is Bitcoin's, from the close before the decision day. On Jan 31, 2024 BTC saw a Fed rate decision; it rose 0.3% by day 1 and was 45.3% higher 30 days later, 0 points behind BTC; it had moved +7.6% in the 7 days before.

Source: CoinPaprika, DefiLlama, exchange announcements and instrument APIs; effects by PatternPlus · fetched

  • On Jan 30, 2024 SPELL was hacked (Abracadabra Spell exploited for $6.50M);
  • it fell 7.9% by day 1 and was 162.6% higher 30 days later, 121 points ahead of BTC;
  • by day 90 it was 63.3% higher (it had moved +4.4% in the 7 days before).
  • On Jan 31, 2024 BTC saw a Fed rate decision (Fed rate decision);
  • it rose 0.3% by day 1 and was 45.3% higher 30 days later, level with BTC;
  • by day 90 it was 41.3% higher (it had moved +7.6% in the 7 days before).
  • On Jan 2, 2024 NEON set the all-time high on record ($3.88);
  • the price was 39.6% lower 30 days later, 31 points behind BTC;
  • by day 90 it was 24.9% lower.
  • On Jan 11, 2024 OKX opened perpetual futures for NMR;
  • it fell 2.1% by day 1 and was 38.3% higher 30 days later, 36 points ahead of BTC;
  • by day 90 it was 82.2% higher.
  • On Jan 7, 2024 GMT set the all-time high on record ($0.4474);
  • the price was 35.5% lower 30 days later, 27 points behind BTC;
  • by day 90 it was 16.1% lower.
  • On Jan 29, 2024 JUP saw a hallmark (launch jup exchange);
  • the price was 22.8% lower 30 days later, 71 points behind BTC;
  • by day 90 it was 51.1% higher.

Month statisticsMEASURED

Month statistics against the all-time medians

as of · event_stats

8 exchange-and-kind pairs had a measured event in January 2024; the all-time median is printed beside the month's own.

VenueKindThis month nThis month median 30 daysAll-time nAll-time median 30 daysAll-time up after 30 days
all venuesall-time high5−14.0%429−40.3%6.1%
all venuesUS CPI release1+2.4%31+2.4%61.3%
all venuesFed rate decision1+45.3%21−1.9%47.6%
all venueshack1+162.6%75−14.3%30.7%
all venueshallmark2−2.1%27−4.3%40.7%
Binancespot listing1−7.1%71−19.0%31.0%
OKXperpetual listing5−4.3%138−22.7%30.4%
OKXspot listing3−7.1%107−22.3%28.0%
  • A month median over fewer than five events is printed but carries less weight than the all-time column.